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Alcoa Corp (AA) AI Forecast

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Alcoa Corp (AA) Stock Forecast 2025


Alcoa Corp (AA) AI Stock Price Forecast & Investment Analysis

Alcoa Corp Stock Price Chart and Technical Analysis

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Alcoa Corp (AA) - Comprehensive Stock Analysis & Investment Research

Deep dive into Alcoa Corp's business profile, financial performance, AI predictions, and competitive positioning to make informed investment decisions.

Analysis updated on April 2, 2026, 1:05 p.m. (UTC)

Alcoa Corp Investment Summary

When evaluating whether Alcoa Corp (AA) represents a compelling investment opportunity, investors must consider multiple factors including the company's financial health, market position, growth prospects, and what our AI-powered predictive models suggest about its near-term price trajectory.

Company Profile

Alcoa Corp (AA) operates within the Manufacturing sector, specifically in the Primary Production of Aluminum industry. The company employs approximately 15,102 people. With a market capitalization of $19 billion, the company is a large-cap stock offering relative stability combined with growth potential.

Financial Performance Analysis

Our comprehensive financial analysis covers Alcoa Corp's revenue, profitability metrics, balance sheet strength, and cash flow generation...

AI Price Predictions

Get AI-powered 7-day, 30-day and 90-day price forecasts for Alcoa Corp along with confidence scores and detailed analysis...

Investment Considerations

Expert analysis of whether Alcoa Corp is suitable for your investment objectives, risk tolerance, and time horizon...

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Corporate Identity

Alcoa Corp (Stock Symbol: AA) is a prominent company operating within the Manufacturing sector, with a specific focus on the Primary Production of Aluminum industry. The company's shares are publicly traded on the NYSE exchange.

Leadership & Workforce

Detailed information about Alcoa Corp's leadership team, workforce size, and organizational structure...

Market Classification

Market capitalization analysis and stock classification (mega-cap, large-cap, mid-cap, small-cap) for Alcoa Corp...

Sector & Industry Analysis

In-depth sector dynamics and industry context for Alcoa Corp...

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Revenue & Growth Analysis

Alcoa Corp generates annual revenues of $13 billion , demonstrating substantial market presence and operational scale.

Profitability Metrics

Net profit margin, gross margin, and operating margin analysis for Alcoa Corp...

Market Valuation

P/E ratio, price-to-book, and valuation multiples for Alcoa Corp...

Return Metrics

Return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), and capital efficiency for Alcoa Corp...

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Strategic Market Position

Alcoa Corp strategically competes in the highly dynamic Primary Production of Aluminum marketplace. As a large-cap market participant, the company has established significant competitive advantages and market presence. Large-cap companies typically benefit from brand recognition, operational scale, diverse revenue streams, and the financial resources to invest in research and development, marketing, and strategic acquisitions. This size category attracts substantial institutional ownership and analyst coverage.

Industry Competitive Landscape

Alcoa Corp competes within the Manufacturing sector, navigating the competitive dynamics and market forces specific to this industry. The company's competitive position depends on its ability to differentiate through product quality, cost efficiency, customer relationships, or other strategic advantages relevant to its specific market segment.

Operational Efficiency

The company shows positive operational efficiency through free cash flow generation of $559 million annually , with year-over-year cash flow growth of -42.6%. Positive free cash flow indicates the business generates more cash than required for operations and capital investments, providing resources for growth initiatives or shareholder returns.

Margin & Pricing Power Analysis

The company maintains a 28.1% gross margin reflecting moderate pricing power typical of many manufacturing, retail, or service businesses. While not exceptionally high, these margins provide adequate room for operating expenses and profit generation. Competitive pressures or cost increases could impact profitability if margins compress.

Operating margin of 20.7% demonstrates how efficiently the company converts revenues into operating profits after accounting for all operating expenses including research and development, sales and marketing, and general administrative costs. This strong operating margin indicates excellent cost control and efficient organizational structure relative to the revenue base.

Asset Utilization Efficiency

Asset turnover ratio of 0.81x indicates solid asset utilization efficiency appropriate for many manufacturing or mixed business models. This level suggests the company generates meaningful revenue from its asset base while maintaining necessary capital investments for operations.

Financial Strength & Leverage

Current ratio of 1.62 indicates adequate liquidity to meet short-term obligations with reasonable cushion. This level balances working capital efficiency with financial safety.

Alcoa Corp (AA) Fundamental Analysis & Insider Trading Data (Quarterly Financial Reports)

Comprehensive quarterly financial data, earnings trends, insider transactions, and institutional holdings for Alcoa Corp stock analysis.

Deep dive into Alcoa Corp's financial health, valuation metrics, and operational efficiency to make informed investment decisions.

Understanding Valuation Metrics

What these metrics mean: Valuation metrics help determine if Alcoa Corp stock is fairly priced compared to its earnings, assets, and market position.

How to read them: Lower P/E ratios may indicate undervalued stocks, while higher ratios suggest growth expectations. P/B ratio compares market value to book value.

For Alcoa Corp: With a P/E ratio of 16.25, the market moderately values the company's earnings.

P/E Ratio 16.25x
P/B Ratio 3.07x
Market Cap $18.80B
Dividend Yield 0.56%
EPS $4.26
Book Value/Share $23.25
Revenue/Share $48.77
FCF/Share $1.30
Understanding Profitability Metrics

What these metrics mean: These ratios measure how efficiently Alcoa Corp converts revenue into profit and generates returns for shareholders.

How to read them: Higher ROE/ROA indicate better management efficiency. Margin percentages show profit at different operational levels.

For Alcoa Corp: An ROE of 18.5% demonstrates excellent shareholder value creation.

ROE 18.5%
ROA 4.7%
ROIC 13.3%
Gross Margin 28.1%
Operating Margin 20.7%
Net Margin 5.8%
EBT Margin 13.1%
Tax Rate 45.2%
Understanding Financial Health Metrics

What these metrics mean: These ratios assess Alcoa Corp's ability to meet short-term obligations and manage debt levels effectively.

How to read them: Current ratio >2 is generally good, Quick ratio >1 shows strong liquidity. Lower D/E ratios indicate conservative debt management.

For Alcoa Corp: A current ratio of 1.62 shows adequate liquidity.

Current Ratio 1.62x
Quick Ratio 0.75x
D/E Ratio 0.38x
Financial Leverage 3.49x
Interest Coverage 10.3x
Working Capital $1.76B
Understanding Cash Flow Metrics

What these metrics mean: Cash flow metrics reveal Alcoa Corp's ability to generate cash from operations and fund growth initiatives.

How to read them: Positive operating cash flow is crucial. Free cash flow shows money available for dividends, buybacks, or investments.

For Alcoa Corp: Free cash flow of $559M provides flexibility for shareholder returns and growth investments.

Operating Cash Flow $948M
Free Cash Flow $559M
Capital Spending -$389M
OCF Growth YoY -42.6%
FCF Growth YoY -86.7%
FCF/Sales 4.5%
CapEx/Sales 3.1%
Understanding Operational Efficiency Metrics

What these metrics mean: These ratios measure how effectively Alcoa Corp uses its assets and manages working capital.

How to read them: Higher turnover ratios indicate efficient asset utilization. Shorter collection periods show effective credit management.

For Alcoa Corp: An asset turnover of 0.81x suggests room for improvement in asset utilization.

Asset Turnover 0.81x
Receivables Turnover 16.3x
Inventory Turnover 4.6x
Fixed Assets Turnover 1.8x
Days Sales Outstanding 22 days
Days Inventory 79 days
Payables Period 59 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 42 days
Understanding Financial Statement Data

What these metrics mean: Key figures from Alcoa Corp's income statement and balance sheet showing absolute financial performance.

How to read them: Revenue shows business scale, while margins indicate profitability. Balance sheet items reveal financial structure.

For Alcoa Corp: With annual revenue of $12831M, Alcoa Corp operates at significant scale.

Income Statement
Total Revenue $12.83B
Operating Income $2.60B
Net Income -$417M
R&D Expense $47M
SG&A Expense $2M
Cost of Goods Sold $72M
Balance Sheet Highlights (% Of Assets)
Total Current Assets 35%
Cash & Short-term Investments 10%
Total Liabilities 68%
Short-term Debt 0%
Accounts Receivable 7%
Inventory 16%
Dividend & Shareholder Information
Dividends Per Share $0.20
Payout Ratio -0.3%
Shares Outstanding 263M
Growth Metrics (YoY)
EPS Growth -4.9%

Latest Alcoa Corp Stock News & Market Analysis

Breaking news, analyst reports, and market updates affecting Alcoa Corp (AA) stock price and investment outlook.

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Alcoa Corp Competitors & Peer Analysis - Manufacturing Sector

Comparative analysis of Alcoa Corp against industry peers and competitors in the Manufacturing sector, featuring AI-powered forecasts and key financial metrics.

Company Ticker Symbol 90-Day AI Forecast Market Cap (USD M) P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
Alcoa Corp AA ██% $18.80B 16.3x 3.1x
Century Aluminum Co CENX ██% $6.29B 150.4x 7.8x
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Frequently Asked Questions - Alcoa Corp Stock Forecast

How accurate are Alcoa Corp stock predictions?

Our AI model shows a 31% Spearman correlation coefficient for AA predictions, based on advanced machine learning algorithms trained on over 10 years of market data. This measures the strength of the monotonic relationship between predicted and actual price movements.

What factors influence Alcoa Corp stock price forecasts?

Our analysis considers Alcoa Corp's financial metrics, Manufacturing sector trends, market sentiment, technical indicators, earnings data, and macroeconomic factors affecting stock performance.

Is Alcoa Corp a good investment in 2025?

Based on our AI analysis, Alcoa Corp shows potential for various market scenarios. Consider your risk tolerance, investment timeline, and portfolio diversification before making investment decisions.

How often are Alcoa Corp forecasts updated?

Alcoa Corp stock forecasts are updated daily using real-time market data, ensuring you receive the most current AI-powered predictions and investment insights.

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