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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-13

Acadia Pharmaceuticals Inc (ACAD) Stock Forecast Oct. 13, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 13, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $3.21B mid-cap · #60 of 60 peers
Summary

Acadia Pharmaceuticals Inc (ACAD) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Acadia Pharmaceuticals Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Acadia Pharmaceuticals Inc is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.21B. It ranks number 60 by market capitalization among the 60 Pharmaceutical Preparations issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/E Ratio of 8.43x is the lowest of the 16 peers that report one.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for ACAD is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +4.5%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +2.1%, strong sell < +0.9% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, ACAD included.

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Price

ACAD price chart and AI forecast

ACAD
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How ACAD ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Acadia Pharmaceuticals Inc (ACAD) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Pharmaceutical Preparations peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricACADIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $3.21B $12.02B 60/60
P/E Ratio 8.43x 28.53x 16/16
P/B Ratio 2.46x 7.75x 39/43
EPS $2.32 – –
Book Value/Share $7.58 – –
Revenue/Share $6.61 – –
FCF/Share $0.85 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricACADIndustry medianRank
ROE 29.1% 5.1% 5/33
ROA 21.8% -1.5% 2/39
ROIC 6.2% -5.8% 13/41
Gross Margin 91.1% 79.5% 6/29
Operating Margin 7.6% 4.4% 15/33
Net Margin 33.4% 6.8% 6/33
EBT Margin 10.7% 7.8% 19/40
Tax Rate -213.5% – –

The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.

Financial Health

MetricACADIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 3.39x 3.37x 24/50
Quick Ratio 3.09x 2.67x 11/37
D/E Ratio 0.33x 0.85x 30/43
Financial Leverage 1.33x 1.85x 30/43
Working Capital $863M $1.12B 30/50

Cash Flow

MetricACADIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $160M $131M 23/49
Free Cash Flow $146M $131M 19/39
Capital Spending -$15M -$29M 17/39
OCF Growth YoY -14.7% 7.8% 21/28
FCF/Sales 12.8% 16.2% 21/34
CapEx/Sales 1.3% 2.5% 25/34

Operational Efficiency

MetricACADIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.65x 0.45x 9/38
Receivables Turnover 7.6x 5.2x 5/34
Inventory Turnover 0.9x 1.3x 20/27
Fixed Assets Turnover 66.6x 6.8x 10/37
Days Sales Outstanding 48 days 70 days 30/34
Days Inventory 393 days 276 days 8/27
Payables Period 161 days 169 days 13/23
Cash Conversion Cycle 280 days 232 days 9/21

Income Statement

MetricACADIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $1.14B $1.56B 22/39
Operating Income $86M -$40M 17/41
Net Income $380M -$32M 15/40
R&D Expense $331M $415M 29/48
SG&A Expense $620M $1.01B 24/35
Cost of Goods Sold $101M $905M 20/27

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricACADIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 172M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$1.22B70.4% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$385M22.1% of assets
Accounts Receivable$151M8.7% of assets
Inventory$109M6.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$436M25.1% of assets
Short-term Debt$317M18.2% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

ACAD quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Pharmaceutical Preparations

Acadia Pharmaceuticals Inc (ACAD) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Acadia Pharmaceuticals Inc (Pharmaceutical Preparations): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
ACAD Acadia Pharmaceuticals Inc ▲ $3.21B 8.4x 2.5x
LLY Eli Lilly & Co ▶ $1.10T 41.1x 111.7x
JNJ Johnson & Johnson ▼ $599.12B 28.5x 7.1x
ONC Beone Medicines Ltd. ▶ $515.98B – 99.7x
ABBV Abbvie Inc. ▼ $484.61B 76.8x –
MRK Merck & Co., Inc. ▼ $350.29B 110.4x 8.4x
NVS Novartis Ag ▼ $271.74B – –
GSK Gsk Plc ▼ $199.68B – –
ABT Abbott Laboratories ▼ $178.85B 28.6x 3.5x
PFE Pfizer Inc ▶ $161.70B 37.3x 1.9x
VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc / Ma ▼ $122.98B 27.9x 6.1x
BMY Bristol Myers Squibb Co ▼ $115.76B 12.5x 5.2x
REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▼ $77.54B 17.9x 2.5x
TEVA Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd ▶ $48.07B 68.0x 6.2x
SNY Sanofi ▼ $47.70B – –
RPRX Royalty Pharma Plc ▶ $32.53B 39.9x 4.8x
ZTS Zoetis Inc. ▼ $31.26B 12.0x 9.9x
ALNY Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▼ $29.95B – 22.1x
TAK Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd ▼ $29.46B – –
ZLAB Zai Lab Ltd ▶ $27.60B – 45.5x
ATHE Alterity Therapeutics Ltd ▶ $26.74B – –
ROIV Roivant Sciences Ltd. ▶ $24.09B – 5.7x
UTHR United Therapeutics Corp ▼ $23.31B 17.8x 3.6x
INSM Insmed Inc ▼ $21.14B – 27.9x
VTRS Viatris Inc ▶ $19.81B – –
ASND Ascendis Pharma A/S ▶ $13.83B – –
JAZZ Jazz Pharmaceuticals Plc ▼ $13.66B 14.5x 2.8x
CORT Corcept Therapeutics Inc ▲ $12.73B – 18.0x
SMMT Summit Therapeutics Inc. ▶ $12.38B – 19.7x
BBIO Bridgebio Pharma, Inc. ▲ $12.37B – –
KNSA Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International, Plc ▲ $12.25B – 20.2x
HCM Hutchmed (China) Ltd ▶ $11.78B – 9.5x
ELAN Elanco Animal Health Inc ▲ $11.20B – 1.7x
RDY Dr Reddys Laboratories Ltd ▼ $10.66B – –
BMRN Biomarin Pharmaceutical Inc ▼ $10.53B – 1.7x
MDGL Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▶ $10.45B – 20.0x
PTGX Protagonist Therapeutics, Inc ▲ $8.96B – 10.7x
CYTK Cytokinetics Inc ▶ $8.57B – –
ARWR Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▲ $8.21B – 17.6x
AXSM Axsome Therapeutics, Inc. ▼ $8.19B – 98.3x
SYRE Spyre Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $7.09B – 6.4x
IONS Ionis Pharmaceuticals Inc ▶ $7.04B – 16.0x
ABVX Abivax S.A. ▼ $6.83B – –
PRAX Praxis Precision Medicines, Inc. ▲ $6.79B – 5.1x
ALKS Alkermes Plc. ▶ $6.67B – 3.7x
LEGN Legend Biotech Corp ▶ $6.61B – –
AMRX Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▶ $6.25B – –
LGND Ligand Pharmaceuticals Inc ▼ $6.05B 30.7x 6.3x
BLTE Belite Bio, Inc ▲ $5.97B – 7.8x
RYTM Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▶ $5.96B – 57.9x
BLRX Biolinerx Ltd. ▼ $5.67B – –
MIRM Mirum Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▲ $5.17B – –
ERAS Erasca, Inc. ▲ $5.17B – 14.3x
PTCT Ptc Therapeutics, Inc. ▶ $5.00B – –
TVTX Travere Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $4.88B – 199.1x
COGT Cogent Biosciences, Inc. ▲ $4.87B – 9.2x
AMRN Amarin Corp Plc\Uk ▶ $4.86B – 11.0x
MANE Veradermics, Inc ▲ $4.86B – 6.0x
GPCR Structure Therapeutics Inc. ▲ $4.77B – 3.5x
DNTH Dianthus Therapeutics, Inc. /De/ ▲ $4.34B – 3.7x

Where ACAD sits on the market map

Life Sciences · Pharmaceutical Preparations
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News

Acadia Pharmaceuticals Inc (ACAD) stock news

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FAQ

Acadia Pharmaceuticals Inc (ACAD) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Acadia Pharmaceuticals Inc (ACAD) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Acadia Pharmaceuticals Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Acadia Pharmaceuticals Inc stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for ACAD is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Acadia Pharmaceuticals Inc forecasts updated?

Acadia Pharmaceuticals Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 13, 2026.

Which companies are Acadia Pharmaceuticals Inc's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, ACAD included, share the SEC industry code Pharmaceutical Preparations. The largest are: Eli Lilly & Co (LLY), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Beone Medicines Ltd. (ONC), Abbvie Inc. (ABBV), Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK), Novartis Ag (NVS).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.