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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-13

Aerovironment Inc (AVAV) Stock Forecast Oct. 13, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 13, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Total
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $6.46B mid-cap · #3 of 16 peers
Summary

Aerovironment Inc (AVAV) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 13, 2026, AVAV is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.

Aerovironment Inc is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $6.46B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 16 Aircraft issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for AVAV is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +4.5%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +2.1%, strong sell < +0.9% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, AVAV included.

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Price

AVAV price chart and AI forecast

AVAV
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How AVAV ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Aerovironment Inc (AVAV) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Aircraft peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricAVAVIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $6.46B $360M 3/16
P/B Ratio 1.47x 1.70x 7/10
EPS $-4.06 – –
Book Value/Share $86.50 – –
Revenue/Share $39.41 – –
FCF/Share $-0.49 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricAVAVIndustry medianRank
ROE -4.6% -41.5% 1/7
ROA -3.5% -33.1% 2/8
ROIC -4.8% -35.1% 4/12
Gross Margin 26.4% 53.7% 4/5
Operating Margin -12.6% -292.3% 2/7
Net Margin -10.1% – –
EBT Margin -10.6% -327.1% 2/7
Tax Rate 3.9% – –

Financial Health

MetricAVAVIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 4.26x 5.66x 8/13
Quick Ratio 3.33x – –
D/E Ratio 0.30x 0.30x 6/11
Financial Leverage 1.30x 1.30x 6/11
Interest Coverage -33.9x -7.1x 8/13
Working Capital $1.44B $300M 4/13

Cash Flow

MetricAVAVIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $59M -$18M 2/12
Free Cash Flow -$25M -$208M 3/9
Capital Spending -$84M -$84M 5/9
FCF/Sales -1.2% -121.4% 2/6
CapEx/Sales 4.2% 6.7% 5/6

Operational Efficiency

MetricAVAVIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.35x 0.16x 2/7
Receivables Turnover 10.9x 10.9x 3/5
Inventory Turnover 3.6x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 9.9x 5.8x 3/7
Days Sales Outstanding 33 days 33 days 3/5
Days Inventory 102 days – –
Payables Period 43 days 135 days 5/5
Cash Conversion Cycle 92 days – –

Income Statement

MetricAVAVIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $2.00B $92M 2/7
Operating Income -$252M -$25M 9/12
Net Income -$202M -$114M 5/8
R&D Expense $119M $119M 6/11
SG&A Expense $423M $57M 1/5
Cost of Goods Sold $1.47B $32M 2/6

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricAVAVIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 51M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$1.88B32.8% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$278M4.9% of assets
Accounts Receivable$183M3.2% of assets
Inventory$411M7.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.33B23.3% of assets
Short-term Debt$267M4.7% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

AVAV quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Aircraft

Aerovironment Inc (AVAV) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Aerovironment Inc (Aircraft): 17 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
AVAV Aerovironment Inc ▶ $6.46B – 1.5x
BA Boeing Co ▼ $147.40B 60.4x 27.0x
EMBJ Embraer S.A. ▲ $51.94B – –
JOBY Joby Aviation, Inc. ▲ $4.90B – 2.8x
BETA Beta Technologies, Inc. ▲ $4.26B – 5.4x
ACHR Archer Aviation Inc. ▶ $3.42B – 1.8x
AVEX Aevex Corp. ▲ $1.62B – –
EVEX Eve Holding, Inc. ▲ $540M – 23.7x
AIRO Airo Group Holdings, Inc. ▲ $179M – 0.3x
DPRO Draganfly Inc. ▲ $123M – –
HOVR New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. ▲ $98M – 1.4x
UAVS Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc. ▶ $49M – 1.6x
EVTL Vertical Aerospace Ltd. ▲ $42M – –
MOB Mobilicom Ltd ▲ $29M – –
XERI Xeriant, Inc. ▼ $9M – –
BRQL Dynamic Aerospace Systems Corp ▲ $8M – 0.9x
DUKR Duke Robotics Corp. ▼ N/A – –

Where AVAV sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Aircraft
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News

Aerovironment Inc (AVAV) stock news

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FAQ

Aerovironment Inc (AVAV) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Aerovironment Inc (AVAV) stock forecast?

On Oct. 13, 2026, AVAV is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Aerovironment Inc stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for AVAV is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Aerovironment Inc forecasts updated?

Aerovironment Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 13, 2026.

Which companies are Aerovironment Inc's industry peers?

17 issuers in our coverage, AVAV included, share the SEC industry code Aircraft. The largest are: Boeing Co (BA), Embraer S.A. (EMBJ), Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY), Beta Technologies, Inc. (BETA), Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR), Aevex Corp. (AVEX).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.