American States Water Co's Dividend Analysis
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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-13
American States Water Co (AWR) Stock Forecast Oct. 13, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 13, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Rating · 90D
Alpha
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
Middle 30%
of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
n/a
No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap
$3.27B
mid-cap · #3 of 11 peers
Summary
American States Water Co (AWR) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 13, 2026, AWR is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.
American States Water Co is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.27B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 11 Water Supply issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its ROE of 12.8% is the highest of the 10 peers that report one.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for AWR is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, AWR included.
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AWR price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-13
How AWR ranks among 5379 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals
American States Water Co (AWR) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Water Supply peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | AWR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $3.27B | 3/11 |
| P/E Ratio | 22.85x | 4/8 |
| P/B Ratio | 2.92x | 3/11 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.40% | 7/10 |
| EPS | $3.59 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $28.29 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $17.60 | – |
| FCF/Share | $0.52 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | AWR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 12.8% | 1/10 |
| ROA | 5.2% | 3/10 |
| ROIC | 8.7% | 1/11 |
| Gross Margin | 90.1% | – |
| Operating Margin | 31.9% | 4/10 |
| Net Margin | 20.5% | 4/9 |
| EBT Margin | 27.0% | 3/10 |
| Tax Rate | 23.9% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | AWR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.98x | 6/11 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.90x | 3/7 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.47x | 8/12 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.47x | 9/12 |
| Interest Coverage | 1.0x | 9/11 |
| Working Capital | -$5M | 6/11 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | AWR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $237M | 5/11 |
| Free Cash Flow | $21M | 2/6 |
| Capital Spending | -$216M | 5/6 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -0.5% | 9/10 |
| FCF/Sales | 3.0% | 2/6 |
| CapEx/Sales | 30.9% | 5/6 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | AWR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.25x | 3/11 |
| Receivables Turnover | 16.7x | 1/11 |
| Inventory Turnover | 3.7x | – |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 0.3x | 4/7 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 22 days | 11/11 |
| Days Inventory | 98 days | – |
| Payables Period | 421 days | – |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | -301 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | AWR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $697M | 5/11 |
| Operating Income | $222M | 3/11 |
| Net Income | $143M | 2/10 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $69M | – |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | AWR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $1.98 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 55.1% | 5/9 |
| Shares Outstanding | 40M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $226M | 8.2% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $22M | 0.8% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $42M | 1.5% of assets |
| Inventory | $19M | 0.7% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $1.65B | 59.6% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $152M | 5.5% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
AWR quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Water Supply
American States Water Co (AWR) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as American States Water Co (Water Supply): 13 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| AWR American States Water Co | ▶ | $3.27B |
| AWK American Water Works Company, Inc. | ▶ | $25.84B |
| WTRG Essential Utilities, Inc. | ▶ | $11.15B |
| CWT California Water Service Group | ▶ | $2.85B |
| HTO H2o America | ▶ | $2.45B |
| MSEX Middlesex Water Co | ▲ | $1.01B |
| CWCO Consolidated Water Co. Ltd. | ▲ | $485M |
| ARTNA Artesian Resources Corp | ▲ | $349M |
| CDZI Cadiz Inc | ▲ | $288M |
| PCYO Pure Cycle Corp | ▲ | $271M |
| GWRS Global Water Resources, Inc. | ▲ | $232M |
| EESH Eestech, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
| SBS Companhia De Saneamento Basico Do Estado De Sao Paulo-Sabesp | ▶ | N/A |
Where AWR sits on the market map
Energy & Transportation · Water Supply
News
American States Water Co (AWR) stock news
AMERICAN STATES WATER CO. R (FDK.F) Q1 FY2026 earnings call transcript
American States Water reported Q1 2026 EPS of $0.76, up 8.6% year-over-year, with all segments showing growth. Management reaffirmed strong infrastructure investment plans ($185M-$225M for 2026), ...
The American States Water residential service from American States Water Co. - fixed-rate tariffs and local monopoly explained
The American States Water residential service provides regulated drinking water and wastewater services to households in franchised territories with tariff structures approved by state regulators.
FAQ
American States Water Co (AWR) stock forecast FAQ
What is the American States Water Co (AWR) stock forecast?
On Oct. 13, 2026, AWR is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are American States Water Co stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for AWR is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are American States Water Co forecasts updated?
American States Water Co forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 13, 2026.
Which companies are American States Water Co's industry peers?
13 issuers in our coverage, AWR included, share the SEC industry code Water Supply. The largest are: American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK), Essential Utilities, Inc. (WTRG), California Water Service Group (CWT), H2o America (HTO), Middlesex Water Co (MSEX), Consolidated Water Co. Ltd. (CWCO).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.