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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-13

Estee Lauder Companies Inc (EL) Stock Forecast Oct. 13, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 13, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
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30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 4004 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $36.08B large-cap · #2 of 16 peers
Summary

Estee Lauder Companies Inc (EL) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Estee Lauder Companies Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Estee Lauder Companies Inc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $36.08B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 16 Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Gross Margin of 75.5% is the highest of the 14 peers that report one.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for EL is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.6%, strong sell < -1.7% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-14 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, EL included.

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Price

EL price chart and AI forecast

EL
Cross-section · 2026-10-14

How EL ranks among 4004 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Estee Lauder Companies Inc (EL) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricELIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $36.08B $83M 2/16
P/E Ratio 198.25x 21.77x 1/7
P/B Ratio 9.48x 2.89x 2/13
Dividend Yield 1.41% 2.35% 5/6
EPS $0.50 – –
Book Value/Share $10.52 – –
Revenue/Share $41.59 – –
FCF/Share $3.64 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricELIndustry medianRank
ROE 4.8% 4.8% 7/13
ROA 0.9% -3.3% 7/16
ROIC 5.8% 5.9% 7/12
Gross Margin 75.5% 57.9% 1/14
Operating Margin 5.2% -0.1% 7/15
Net Margin 1.2% -3.4% 7/15
EBT Margin 3.4% -3.1% 7/15
Tax Rate 64.8% – –

The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.

Financial Health

MetricELIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.22x 1.77x 10/16
Quick Ratio 0.90x 1.04x 11/16
D/E Ratio 4.19x 1.27x 2/14
Financial Leverage 5.19x 2.26x 2/14
Working Capital $1.38B $21M 1/16

Cash Flow

MetricELIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $1.77B $3M 3/17
Free Cash Flow $1.32B $246M 3/11
Capital Spending -$457M -$17M 10/11
OCF Growth YoY 39.4% 15.4% 4/10
FCF Growth YoY 96.4% 23.3% 3/9
FCF/Sales 8.7% 12.4% 7/11
CapEx/Sales 3.0% 2.1% 3/11

Operational Efficiency

MetricELIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.76x 0.79x 8/14
Receivables Turnover 9.9x 10.4x 8/12
Inventory Turnover 1.8x 2.8x 10/13
Fixed Assets Turnover 5.4x 8.5x 11/13
Days Sales Outstanding 37 days 35 days 5/12
Days Inventory 198 days 117 days 3/13

Income Statement

MetricELIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $15.05B $778M 3/14
Operating Income $780M $0.00M 3/16
Net Income $182M $0.00M 3/16
SG&A Expense $9.69B $566M 1/12
Cost of Goods Sold $3.69B $60M 3/15

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricELIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $1.40 – –
Payout Ratio 280.0% – –
Shares Outstanding 362M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$7.61B38.5% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$3.50B17.7% of assets
Accounts Receivable$1.52B7.7% of assets
Inventory$2.00B10.1% of assets
Total Liabilities$15.96B80.7% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

EL quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations

Estee Lauder Companies Inc (EL) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Estee Lauder Companies Inc (Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations): 19 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
EL Estee Lauder Companies Inc ▼ $36.08B 198.3x 9.5x
CL Colgate Palmolive Co ▼ $71.71B 35.2x 303.8x
KVUE Kenvue Inc. ▶ $34.11B 20.6x 3.2x
ELF E.L.F. Beauty, Inc. ▼ $6.38B 107.1x 5.5x
IPAR Interparfums Inc ▼ $3.65B 21.8x 4.2x
COTY Coty Inc. ▲ $2.60B – 0.9x
EPC Edgewell Personal Care Co ▼ $1.31B – 0.9x
WALD Waldencast Plc ▲ $97M – 0.3x
SLSN Solesence, Inc. ▲ $70M – 5.3x
SHFH Scientist Home Future Health Ltd ▼ $40M – –
AXIL Axil Brands, Inc. ▶ $40M 14.2x 2.9x
UG United Guardian Inc ▲ $32M 12.8x 2.7x
DQWS Dswiss Inc ▶ $17M – –
CABR Caring Brands, Inc. ▲ $14M – –
BNKK Bonk, Inc. ▶ $10M – 0.4x
YCBD Cbdmd, Inc. ▲ $4M – 0.5x
HLN Haleon Plc ▼ N/A – –
KARX Karbon-X Corp. ▼ N/A – –
ODD Oddity Tech Ltd ▶ N/A – –

Where EL sits on the market map

Industrial Applications and Services · Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations
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News

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FAQ

Estee Lauder Companies Inc (EL) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Estee Lauder Companies Inc (EL) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Estee Lauder Companies Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Estee Lauder Companies Inc stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for EL is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Estee Lauder Companies Inc forecasts updated?

Estee Lauder Companies Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 13, 2026.

Which companies are Estee Lauder Companies Inc's industry peers?

19 issuers in our coverage, EL included, share the SEC industry code Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations. The largest are: Colgate Palmolive Co (CL), Kenvue Inc. (KVUE), E.L.F. Beauty, Inc. (ELF), Interparfums Inc (IPAR), Coty Inc. (COTY), Edgewell Personal Care Co (EPC).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.