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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-15

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) Stock Forecast Oct. 15, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 15, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · CBOE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 4012 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 9.0% Spearman, 272 dates
Market Cap $14.03B large-cap
Summary

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $14.03B.

For FBTC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 9.0%, measured on 272 forecast dates between 2024-03-21 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 11.0%, measured on 314 forecast dates between 2024-03-21 and 2026-09-15. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.4%, sell < -0.8%, strong sell < -1.5% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-15 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, FBTC included.

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Price

FBTC price chart and AI forecast

FBTC
Cross-section · 2026-10-15

How FBTC ranks among 4012 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Commodity Contracts Brokers & Dealers peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricFBTCIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $14.03B – –
P/B Ratio 1.36x – –
Book Value/Share $52.20 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricFBTCIndustry medianRank
ROE -91.7% – –
ROA -91.6% – –

Financial Health

MetricFBTCIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 0.00x – –
Financial Leverage 1.00x – –

Cash Flow

MetricFBTCIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $1.82B – –

Income Statement

MetricFBTCIndustry medianRank
Net Income -$9.45B – –

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricFBTCIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 197M – –
Net Income Growth -217.6% – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$0.00M0.0% of assets
Total Liabilities$12M0.1% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

FBTC quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Commodity Contracts Brokers & Dealers

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (Commodity Contracts Brokers & Dealers): 3 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
FBTC Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund ▼ $14.03B – 1.4x
JAN Ai Financial Corp ▼ $6.15B – 9.2x
AIFC Ai Financial Corp ▼ N/A – –

Where FBTC sits on the market map

Crypto Assets · Commodity Contracts Brokers & Dealers
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News

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) stock news

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FAQ

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund stock predictions?

For FBTC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 9.0%, measured on 272 forecast dates between 2024-03-21 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 11.0%, measured on 314 forecast dates between 2024-03-21 and 2026-09-15. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund forecasts updated?

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 15, 2026.

Which companies are Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund's industry peers?

3 issuers in our coverage, FBTC included, share the SEC industry code Commodity Contracts Brokers & Dealers. The largest are: Ai Financial Corp (JAN), Ai Financial Corp (AIFC).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.