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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. (FGBI) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $134M small-cap · #20 of 34 peers
Summary

First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. (FGBI) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $134M. It ranks number 20 by market capitalization among the 34 Savings Institution, Federally Chartered issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Net Margin of -96.5% is the lowest of the 32 peers that report one. Its Dividend Yield of 0.47% is the lowest of the 19 peers that report one.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for FGBI is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +4.5%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +2.1%, strong sell < +0.9% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, FGBI included.

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Price

FGBI price chart and AI forecast

FGBI
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How FGBI ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. (FGBI) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Savings Institution, Federally Chartered peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricFGBIIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $134M $182M 20/34
P/B Ratio 0.59x 0.99x 30/33
Dividend Yield 0.47% 2.56% 19/19
Book Value/Share $13.75 – –
Revenue/Share $2.28 – –
FCF/Share $2.33 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricFGBIIndustry medianRank
ROE -16.0% 5.8% 31/32
ROA -0.9% 0.7% 31/32
Net Margin -96.5% 20.4% 32/32
EBT Margin -114.6% 25.9% 33/33
Tax Rate 15.8% – –

Financial Health

MetricFGBIIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 16.13x 8.23x 2/33
Financial Leverage 17.13x 9.23x 2/33
Interest Coverage -2.3x – –

Cash Flow

MetricFGBIIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $55M $20M 9/33
Free Cash Flow $38M $20M 10/26
Capital Spending -$16M -$1M 24/26
OCF Growth YoY 400.0% 45.6% 2/29
FCF Growth YoY 274.8% 33.2% 2/21
FCF/Sales 102.1% 30.5% 3/26
CapEx/Sales 42.5% 1.8% 1/26

Operational Efficiency

MetricFGBIIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.01x 0.03x 30/31
Fixed Assets Turnover 0.5x 3.5x 28/28

Income Statement

MetricFGBIIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $37M $59M 23/31
Net Income -$36M $12M 32/32

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricFGBIIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.04 – –
Shares Outstanding 17M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$781M20.1% of assets
Total Liabilities$3.67B94.2% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

FGBI quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Savings Institution, Federally Chartered

First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. (FGBI) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. (Savings Institution, Federally Chartered): 34 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
FGBI First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. ▲ $134M – 0.6x
HSBC Hsbc Holdings Plc ▶ $1.63T – –
AX Axos Financial, Inc. ▶ $5.01B 10.2x 1.6x
EBC Eastern Bankshares, Inc. ▶ $4.79B 12.7x 1.1x
TFSL Tfs Financial Corp ▶ $4.54B 44.5x 2.3x
PFS Provident Financial Services Inc ▶ $2.87B 9.2x 1.0x
CFFN Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. ▲ $1.04B 12.5x 1.0x
HTB Hometrust Bancshares, Inc. ▶ $765M 49.0x 1.3x
KRNY Kearny Financial Corp. ▶ $588M 16.2x 0.8x
NRIM Northrim Bancorp Inc ▶ $541M 7.9x 1.6x
PDLB Ponce Financial Group, Inc. ▲ $486M 14.4x 0.9x
FMAO Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc ▲ $482M 12.0x 1.3x
WSBF Waterstone Financial, Inc. ▲ $356M 11.8x 1.0x
FNRN First Northern Community Bancorp ▶ $273M 12.1x 1.3x
WNEB Western New England Bancorp, Inc. ▲ $272M 16.3x 1.1x
FCAP First Capital Inc ▶ $208M 11.3x 1.5x
CZWI Citizens Community Bancorp Inc. ▲ $205M 16.0x 1.1x
BVFL Bv Financial, Inc. ▶ $184M 14.0x 1.0x
FNWD Finward Bancorp ▶ $179M 18.3x 1.0x
BCBP Bcb Bancorp Inc ▶ $148M – 0.5x
MGYR Magyar Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $121M 10.3x 1.0x
RVSB Riverview Bancorp Inc ▲ $120M – 0.8x
PROV Provident Financial Holdings Inc ▶ $113M 17.0x 0.9x
SFBC Sound Financial Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $110M 13.7x 1.0x
BYFC Broadway Financial Corp \De\ ▶ $109M – 4.3x
FDSB Fifth District Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $90M 54.2x 0.7x
CPBI Central Plains Bancshares, Inc. ▶ $83M 18.5x 0.9x
HFBL Home Federal Bancorp, Inc. Of Louisiana ▶ $76M 12.0x 1.3x
NSTS Nsts Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $75M – 0.9x
CLST Catalyst Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $70M 34.3x 0.8x
KFFB Kentucky First Federal Bancorp ▶ $46M – 0.9x
MGNO Magnolia Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $12M – 0.6x
CARV Carver Bancorp Inc ▲ $10M – 0.3x
MFBI Monroe Federal Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $7M – 0.6x

Where FGBI sits on the market map

Finance · Savings Institution, Federally Chartered
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News

First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. (FGBI) stock news

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FAQ

First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. (FGBI) stock forecast FAQ

What is the First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. (FGBI) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for FGBI is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. forecasts updated?

First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.'s industry peers?

34 issuers in our coverage, FGBI included, share the SEC industry code Savings Institution, Federally Chartered. The largest are: Hsbc Holdings Plc (HSBC), Axos Financial, Inc. (AX), Eastern Bankshares, Inc. (EBC), Tfs Financial Corp (TFSL), Provident Financial Services Inc (PFS), Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. (CFFN).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.