Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE
On Oct. 14, 2026, GEO is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.
Geo Group Inc is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $4.24B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 6 General Bldg Contractors - Residential Bldgs issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for GEO is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +4.5%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +2.1%, strong sell < +0.9% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, GEO included.
Follow GEO free90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the General Bldg Contractors - Residential Bldgs peers listed below that report each metric.
| Metric | GEO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $4.24B | 3/6 |
| P/E Ratio | 14.53x | – |
| P/B Ratio | 2.79x | – |
| EPS | $1.97 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $11.52 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $21.49 | – |
| FCF/Share | $0.20 | – |
| Metric | GEO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 19.2% | – |
| ROA | 7.8% | – |
| ROIC | 9.4% | – |
| Operating Margin | 11.2% | – |
| Net Margin | 10.3% | – |
| EBT Margin | 14.8% | – |
| Tax Rate | 25.5% | – |
| Metric | GEO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.65x | 3/5 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.47x | – |
| Financial Leverage | 2.47x | – |
| Interest Coverage | 2.6x | – |
| Working Capital | $251M | 2/5 |
| Metric | GEO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $199M | 3/5 |
| Free Cash Flow | $26M | – |
| Capital Spending | -$172M | – |
| OCF Growth YoY | -16.6% | – |
| FCF Growth YoY | -79.8% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 0.9% | – |
| CapEx/Sales | 6.1% | – |
| Metric | GEO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.76x | – |
| Receivables Turnover | 5.3x | – |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 1.5x | – |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 69 days | – |
| Metric | GEO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $2.83B | – |
| Operating Income | $315M | – |
| Net Income | $291M | 2/5 |
| Metric | GEO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 132M | – |
| Total Current Assets | $635M | 17.0% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $55M | 1.5% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $532M | 14.2% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $2.23B | 59.5% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $328M | 8.8% of assets |
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Geo Group Inc (General Bldg Contractors - Residential Bldgs): 6 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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The GEO Group, Inc. is a diversified government service provider. The Company specializes in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing ...
Good day, and welcome to the GEO Group Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to ...
On Oct. 14, 2026, GEO is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for GEO is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Geo Group Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.
6 issuers in our coverage, GEO included, share the SEC industry code General Bldg Contractors - Residential Bldgs. The largest are: Lennar Corp /New/ (LEN), Installed Building Products, Inc. (IBP), Boxabl Inc. (BXBL), Springview Holdings Ltd (SPHL), Eline Entertainment Group, Inc. (EEGI).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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