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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Hca Healthcare, Inc. (HCA) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 4009 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $102.21B large-cap · #1 of 6 peers
Summary

Hca Healthcare, Inc. (HCA) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Hca Healthcare, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Hca Healthcare, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $102.21B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 6 Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for HCA is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +4.5%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +2.1%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-14 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, HCA included.

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Price

HCA price chart and AI forecast

HCA
Cross-section · 2026-10-14

How HCA ranks among 4009 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Hca Healthcare, Inc. (HCA) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricHCAIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $102.21B $6.23B 1/6
P/E Ratio 13.91x 9.59x 2/5
Dividend Yield 0.72% – –
EPS $29.03 – –
Revenue/Share $344.34 – –
FCF/Share $35.73 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricHCAIndustry medianRank
ROA 11.1% 3.4% 1/6
Net Margin 8.9% 4.3% 1/6
EBT Margin 12.8% 11.2% 2/6
Tax Rate 20.2% – –

Financial Health

MetricHCAIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.83x 1.47x 6/6
Quick Ratio 0.75x – –
Working Capital -$3.21B $806M 6/6

Cash Flow

MetricHCAIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $13.00B $1.16B 1/6
Free Cash Flow $7.93B $845M 1/5
Capital Spending -$5.07B -$955M 5/5
OCF Growth YoY 34.1% 15.9% 3/6
FCF Growth YoY 60.2% 7.0% 2/5
FCF/Sales 10.4% 5.6% 2/5
CapEx/Sales 6.6% 4.5% 1/5

Operational Efficiency

MetricHCAIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.24x 1.06x 1/6
Receivables Turnover 6.8x 6.6x 3/6
Fixed Assets Turnover 2.4x 3.2x 6/6
Days Sales Outstanding 54 days 55 days 4/6

Income Statement

MetricHCAIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $76.39B $15.05B 1/6
Net Income $6.79B $826M 1/6

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricHCAIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $3.33 – –
Payout Ratio 11.5% – –
Shares Outstanding 222M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$16.05B
Cash & Short-term Investments$940M
Accounts Receivable$11.32B
Inventory$1.68B
Total Liabilities$64.43B
Short-term Debt$14.45B
Quarterly Financial Reports

HCA quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC

Hca Healthcare, Inc. (HCA) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Hca Healthcare, Inc. (Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC): 6 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
HCA Hca Healthcare, Inc. ▼ $102.21B 13.9x –
THC Tenet Healthcare Corp ▶ $21.49B 9.6x 5.1x
UHS Universal Health Services Inc ▼ $10.55B 6.9x 1.4x
SGRY Surgery Partners, Inc. ▶ $1.90B – 1.1x
ARDT Ardent Health, Inc. ▲ $1.65B 21.1x 1.2x
CYH Community Health Systems Inc ▲ $422M 1.7x –

Where HCA sits on the market map

Industrial Applications and Services · Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC
Explore the map →
News

Hca Healthcare, Inc. (HCA) stock news

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FAQ

Hca Healthcare, Inc. (HCA) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Hca Healthcare, Inc. (HCA) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Hca Healthcare, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Hca Healthcare, Inc. stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for HCA is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Hca Healthcare, Inc. forecasts updated?

Hca Healthcare, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Hca Healthcare, Inc.'s industry peers?

6 issuers in our coverage, HCA included, share the SEC industry code Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC. The largest are: Tenet Healthcare Corp (THC), Universal Health Services Inc (UHS), Surgery Partners, Inc. (SGRY), Ardent Health, Inc. (ARDT), Community Health Systems Inc (CYH).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.