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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Johnson Controls International Plc (JCI) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
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30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $95.46B large-cap · #1 of 6 peers
Summary

Johnson Controls International Plc (JCI) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Johnson Controls International Plc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Johnson Controls International Plc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $95.46B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 6 Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for JCI is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, JCI included.

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Price

JCI price chart and AI forecast

JCI
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How JCI ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Johnson Controls International Plc (JCI) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricJCIIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $95.46B $9.65B 1/6
P/E Ratio 25.73x – –
P/B Ratio 6.72x 6.72x 3/5
Dividend Yield 1.07% – –
EPS $5.31 – –
Book Value/Share $23.28 – –
Revenue/Share $40.05 – –
FCF/Share $2.24 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricJCIIndustry medianRank
ROE 26.1% 9.7% 2/7
ROA 9.2% -12.1% 2/8
Gross Margin 36.6% – –
Net Margin 14.4% 8.2% 2/5
EBT Margin 10.3% 9.9% 2/5
Tax Rate 18.0% – –

Financial Health

MetricJCIIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.04x 2.25x 6/6
Quick Ratio 0.85x 0.85x 3/5
D/E Ratio 1.84x 0.84x 2/7
Financial Leverage 2.84x 1.84x 2/7
Interest Coverage 10.7x – –
Working Capital $386M $410M 4/6

Cash Flow

MetricJCIIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $1.74B $87M 2/7
Free Cash Flow $1.37B $661M 2/5
Capital Spending -$372M -$149M 4/5
OCF Growth YoY -48.8% -13.2% 4/5
FCF Growth YoY -53.1% – –
FCF/Sales 5.6% – –
CapEx/Sales 1.5% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricJCIIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.64x 0.78x 4/5
Receivables Turnover 3.7x 5.8x 5/5
Inventory Turnover 8.0x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 11.7x 7.0x 2/5
Days Sales Outstanding 99 days 62 days 1/5
Days Inventory 46 days – –
Payables Period 85 days – –
Cash Conversion Cycle 59 days – –

Income Statement

MetricJCIIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $24.43B $5.26B 1/5
Net Income $3.53B $80M 1/8
SG&A Expense $5.56B $488M 1/6
Cost of Goods Sold $15.50B – –

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricJCIIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $1.68 – –
Payout Ratio 31.6% – –
Shares Outstanding 610M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$10.99B28.7% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$698M1.8% of assets
Accounts Receivable$6.61B17.2% of assets
Inventory$1.93B5.0% of assets
Total Liabilities$24.81B64.7% of assets
Short-term Debt$7.00B18.2% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

JCI quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip

Johnson Controls International Plc (JCI) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Johnson Controls International Plc (Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip): 8 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
JCI Johnson Controls International Plc ▼ $95.46B 25.7x 6.7x
CARR Carrier Global Corp ▼ $45.71B 35.0x 3.4x
LII Lennox International Inc ▼ $12.18B 15.8x 10.4x
AAON Aaon, Inc. ▶ $7.11B 44.6x 7.0x
TGEN Tecogen Inc. ▲ $71M – 4.0x
QWTR Quest Water Global, Inc. ▼ $4M – –
AIRJ Airjoule Technologies Corp. ▲ N/A – –
SHGI Sparx Holdings Group, Inc. ▼ N/A – –

Where JCI sits on the market map

Technology · Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip
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News

Johnson Controls International Plc (JCI) stock news

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FAQ

Johnson Controls International Plc (JCI) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Johnson Controls International Plc (JCI) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Johnson Controls International Plc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Johnson Controls International Plc stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for JCI is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Johnson Controls International Plc forecasts updated?

Johnson Controls International Plc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Johnson Controls International Plc's industry peers?

8 issuers in our coverage, JCI included, share the SEC industry code Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip. The largest are: Carrier Global Corp (CARR), Lennox International Inc (LII), Aaon, Inc. (AAON), Tecogen Inc. (TGEN), Quest Water Global, Inc. (QWTR), Airjoule Technologies Corp. (AIRJ).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.