Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Jefferies Financial Group Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Jefferies Financial Group Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $9.12B. It ranks number 9 by market capitalization among the 21 Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for JEF is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)
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How JEF ranks among 5379 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies peers listed below that report each metric.
Reported net income does not reconcile with earnings per share and the share count, so net-income-based ratios are withheld.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | JEF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $9.12B | 9/21 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.85x | 15/17 |
| Dividend Yield | 4.06% | 2/11 |
| EPS | $2.96 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $52.68 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $59.83 | – |
| FCF/Share | $20.63 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | JEF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 98.7% | – |
| EBT Margin | 9.3% | 16/21 |
| Tax Rate | 19.3% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | JEF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 6.58x | 11/23 |
| Financial Leverage | 7.59x | 11/23 |
| Interest Coverage | 2.6x | 7/12 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | JEF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $4.41B | 2/21 |
| Free Cash Flow | $4.20B | 1/14 |
| Capital Spending | -$218M | 11/14 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 436.0% | 2/15 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 596.8% | 1/11 |
| FCF/Sales | 34.5% | 1/14 |
| CapEx/Sales | 1.8% | 6/14 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | JEF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.15x | 14/20 |
Income Statement
| Metric | JEF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $12.17B | 5/21 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $156M | – |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | JEF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $1.82 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 61.5% | 2/10 |
| Shares Outstanding | 203M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $16.88B | 20.8% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $70.55B | 86.8% of assets |
JEF quarterly financials and insider trading
Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies): 27 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| JEF Jefferies Financial Group Inc. | ▲ | $9.12B |
| MS Morgan Stanley | ▶ | $293.13B |
| GS Goldman Sachs Group Inc | ▶ | $259.70B |
| HOOD Robinhood Markets, Inc. | ▲ | $99.37B |
| IBKR Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. | ▶ | $39.82B |
| RJF Raymond James Financial Inc | ▼ | $30.15B |
| NMR Nomura Holdings Inc | ▼ | $27.79B |
| SEIC Sei Investments Co | ▶ | $12.66B |
| SF Stifel Financial Corp | ▶ | $10.52B |
| VIRT Virtu Financial, Inc. | ▶ | $8.68B |
| GLXY Galaxy Digital Inc. | ▲ | $7.70B |
| MKTX Marketaxess Holdings Inc | ▼ | $5.79B |
| PIPR Piper Sandler Companies | ▶ | $4.51B |
| WT Wisdomtree, Inc. | ▲ | $3.27B |
| MIAX Miami International Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $2.93B |
| JSM Navient Corp | ▼ | $1.55B |
| OPY Oppenheimer Holdings Inc | ▶ | $1.15B |
| ACGP Associated Capital Group, Inc. | ▼ | $663M |
| CSHR Coinshares Plc | ▲ | $563M |
| SIEB Siebert Financial Corp | ▲ | $91M |
| COHN Cohen & Co Inc. | ▲ | $34M |
| DOMH Dominari Holdings Inc. | ▶ | N/A |
| ETOR Etoro Group Ltd. | ▶ | N/A |
| FRHC Freedom Holding Corp. | ▼ | N/A |
| GLDI Credit Suisse Ag | ▼ | N/A |
| LGHL Lion Group Holding Ltd | ▼ | N/A |
| MTC Mmtec, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
Where JEF sits on the market map
Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) stock news
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Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Jefferies Financial Group Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Jefferies Financial Group Inc. stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for JEF is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Jefferies Financial Group Inc. forecasts updated?
Jefferies Financial Group Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.
Which companies are Jefferies Financial Group Inc.'s industry peers?
27 issuers in our coverage, JEF included, share the SEC industry code Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies. The largest are: Morgan Stanley (MS), Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS), Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD), Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR), Raymond James Financial Inc (RJF), Nomura Holdings Inc (NMR).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.