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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

St Joe Co (JOE) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Total
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 4009 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $3.78B mid-cap · #1 of 6 peers
Summary

St Joe Co (JOE) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 14, 2026, JOE is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 4009 stocks scored that day.

St Joe Co is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.78B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 6 Land Subdividers & Developers (No Cemeteries) issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for JOE is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +4.5%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +2.1%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-14 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, JOE included.

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Price

JOE price chart and AI forecast

JOE
Cross-section · 2026-10-14

How JOE ranks among 4009 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

St Joe Co (JOE) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Land Subdividers & Developers (No Cemeteries) peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricJOEIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $3.78B $81M 1/6
P/E Ratio 30.70x – –
P/B Ratio 4.94x 1.22x 1/5
Dividend Yield 0.94% – –
EPS $2.19 – –
Book Value/Share $13.43 – –
Revenue/Share $9.62 – –
FCF/Share $3.73 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricJOEIndustry medianRank
ROE 16.1% – –
ROA 8.2% 4.0% 2/5
Gross Margin 44.0% 43.9% 2/5
Operating Margin 30.2% 15.3% 2/7
Net Margin 22.5% 22.5% 3/5
EBT Margin 30.3% 10.4% 3/7
Tax Rate 25.4% – –

Financial Health

MetricJOEIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 0.96x 0.86x 2/5
Financial Leverage 1.97x 1.97x 3/5
Interest Coverage 4.0x – –

Cash Flow

MetricJOEIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $217M -$280K 1/7
Free Cash Flow $212M – –
Capital Spending -$5M – –
OCF Growth YoY 84.3% – –
FCF Growth YoY 91.1% – –
FCF/Sales 38.8% – –
CapEx/Sales 0.8% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricJOEIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.36x 0.36x 3/5
Receivables Turnover 30.5x – –
Inventory Turnover 84.1x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 15.2x – –
Days Sales Outstanding 12 days – –
Days Inventory 4 days – –

Income Statement

MetricJOEIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $547M $41M 1/5
Operating Income $165M $6M 1/7
Net Income $123M $10M 1/5
Cost of Goods Sold $306M $38M 1/5

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricJOEIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.63 – –
Payout Ratio 28.8% – –
Shares Outstanding 57M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$117M7.8% of assets
Accounts Receivable$18M1.2% of assets
Inventory$4M0.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$735M49.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

JOE quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Land Subdividers & Developers (No Cemeteries)

St Joe Co (JOE) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as St Joe Co (Land Subdividers & Developers (No Cemeteries)): 7 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
JOE St Joe Co ▶ $3.78B 30.7x 4.9x
STRS Stratus Properties Inc ▼ $143M 6.9x 0.7x
AXR Amrep Corp. ▲ $109M 18.5x 1.2x
KANP Kaanapali Land Llc ▼ $53M 5.1x 0.6x
ILAL International Land Alliance Inc. ▼ $12M – 1.4x
PRSI Portsmouth Square Inc ▼ $4M – –
CRDV Community Redevelopment Inc. ▶ N/A – –

Where JOE sits on the market map

Real Estate & Construction · Land Subdividers & Developers (No Cemeteries)
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News

St Joe Co (JOE) stock news

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FAQ

St Joe Co (JOE) stock forecast FAQ

What is the St Joe Co (JOE) stock forecast?

On Oct. 14, 2026, JOE is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 4009 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are St Joe Co stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for JOE is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are St Joe Co forecasts updated?

St Joe Co forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are St Joe Co's industry peers?

7 issuers in our coverage, JOE included, share the SEC industry code Land Subdividers & Developers (No Cemeteries). The largest are: Stratus Properties Inc (STRS), Amrep Corp. (AXR), Kaanapali Land Llc (KANP), International Land Alliance Inc. (ILAL), Portsmouth Square Inc (PRSI), Community Redevelopment Inc. (CRDV).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.