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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Mattel Inc /De/ (MAT) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
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30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 4004 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $4.80B mid-cap
Summary

Mattel Inc /De/ (MAT) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Mattel Inc /De/ outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Mattel Inc /De/ is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $4.80B.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for MAT is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.2%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.6%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-14 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, MAT included.

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Price

MAT price chart and AI forecast

MAT
Cross-section · 2026-10-14

How MAT ranks among 4004 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Mattel Inc /De/ (MAT) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months.

Reported net income does not reconcile with earnings per share and the share count, so net-income-based ratios are withheld.

Valuation & Market

MetricMATIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $4.80B – –
P/B Ratio 2.15x – –
EPS $1.02 – –
Book Value/Share $7.82 – –
Revenue/Share $19.22 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricMATIndustry medianRank
ROIC 8.0% – –
Gross Margin 47.5% – –
Operating Margin 6.1% – –
EBT Margin 6.7% – –
Tax Rate 15.2% – –

Financial Health

MetricMATIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.90x – –
Quick Ratio 1.26x – –
D/E Ratio 1.97x – –
Financial Leverage 2.97x – –
Interest Coverage 1.2x – –
Working Capital $1.16B – –

Cash Flow

MetricMATIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $666M – –
OCF Growth YoY -10.3% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricMATIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.83x – –
Receivables Turnover 6.7x – –
Inventory Turnover 3.5x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 8.6x – –
Days Sales Outstanding 55 days – –
Days Inventory 105 days – –
Payables Period 57 days – –
Cash Conversion Cycle 103 days – –

Income Statement

MetricMATIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $5.49B – –
Operating Income $429M – –
R&D Expense $262M – –
Cost of Goods Sold $2.88B – –

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricMATIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 286M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$2.45B36.9% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$524M7.9% of assets
Accounts Receivable$820M12.4% of assets
Inventory$830M12.5% of assets
Total Liabilities$4.41B66.4% of assets
Short-term Debt$842M12.7% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

MAT quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Dolls & Stuffed Toys

Mattel Inc /De/ (MAT) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Mattel Inc /De/ (Dolls & Stuffed Toys): 1 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
MAT Mattel Inc /De/ ▲ $4.80B – 2.2x

Where MAT sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Dolls & Stuffed Toys
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News

Mattel Inc /De/ (MAT) stock news

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FAQ

Mattel Inc /De/ (MAT) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Mattel Inc /De/ (MAT) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Mattel Inc /De/ outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Mattel Inc /De/ stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for MAT is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Mattel Inc /De/ forecasts updated?

Mattel Inc /De/ forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.