Intratio
Quantitative Research
Skip to main content
AI Market Summary
Loading market intelligence...
AI 90-DAY FORECAST
NEUTRAL SIGNAL
██.█% Sign up free to reveal

Mesa Air Group Inc (MESA) AI Forecast

Our AI analyzed Mesa Air Group Inc. Create a free account to see the 90-day price prediction.

Free account • 30-day free trial

$MESA Neutral Signal Full forecast available

Mesa Air Group Inc (MESA) Stock Forecast 2025


Mesa Air Group Inc (MESA) AI Stock Price Forecast & Investment Analysis

Mesa Air Group Inc Stock Price Chart and Technical Analysis

Loading chart...

Mesa Air Group Inc (MESA) - Comprehensive Stock Analysis & Investment Research

Deep dive into Mesa Air Group Inc's business profile, financial performance, AI predictions, and competitive positioning to make informed investment decisions.

Analysis updated on April 4, 2026, 1:28 a.m. (UTC)

Mesa Air Group Inc Investment Summary

When evaluating whether Mesa Air Group Inc (MESA) represents a compelling investment opportunity, investors must consider multiple factors including the company's financial health, market position, growth prospects, and what our AI-powered predictive models suggest about its near-term price trajectory.

Company Profile

Mesa Air Group Inc (MESA) operates within the Energy & Transportation sector, specifically in the Air Transportation, Scheduled industry. The company employs approximately 2,500 people. With a market capitalization of $70 million, the company is a small-cap stock that may offer higher growth potential but also carries higher volatility.

Financial Performance Analysis

Our comprehensive financial analysis covers Mesa Air Group Inc's revenue, profitability metrics, balance sheet strength, and cash flow generation...

AI Price Predictions

Get AI-powered 7-day, 30-day and 90-day price forecasts for Mesa Air Group Inc along with confidence scores and detailed analysis...

Investment Considerations

Expert analysis of whether Mesa Air Group Inc is suitable for your investment objectives, risk tolerance, and time horizon...

Continue Reading Full Analysis

Get the complete investment breakdown for Mesa Air Group Inc

Sign Up Free
Corporate Identity

Mesa Air Group Inc (Stock Symbol: MESA) is a prominent company operating within the Energy & Transportation sector, with a specific focus on the Air Transportation, Scheduled industry. The company's shares are publicly traded on the Nasdaq exchange.

Leadership & Workforce

Detailed information about Mesa Air Group Inc's leadership team, workforce size, and organizational structure...

Market Classification

Market capitalization analysis and stock classification (mega-cap, large-cap, mid-cap, small-cap) for Mesa Air Group Inc...

Sector & Industry Analysis

In-depth sector dynamics and industry context for Mesa Air Group Inc...

Unlock Full Company Profile

Get complete details about Mesa Air Group Inc

Sign Up Free
Revenue & Growth Analysis

Mesa Air Group Inc generates annual revenues of $527 million , representing an emerging company in its growth phase.

Profitability Metrics

Net profit margin, gross margin, and operating margin analysis for Mesa Air Group Inc...

Market Valuation

P/E ratio, price-to-book, and valuation multiples for Mesa Air Group Inc...

Return Metrics

Return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), and capital efficiency for Mesa Air Group Inc...

Unlock Financial Analysis

Get complete financial metrics for Mesa Air Group Inc

Sign Up Free
AI ANALYSIS AVAILABLE

Unlock Mesa Air Group Inc's AI Price Forecast

Join 10,000+ investors using our 67%+ accurate AI predictions

4,000+ Stocks Analyzed
67%+ Accuracy Rate
Daily Updates
Start 30-Day Free Trial

30-day free trial • Cancel anytime

Strategic Market Position

Mesa Air Group Inc strategically competes in the highly dynamic Air Transportation, Scheduled marketplace. As a small-cap company, it represents an emerging market participant with potentially significant growth opportunities. Small-caps often offer greater growth potential as they capture market share and scale their operations, though this comes with higher risk and volatility. Success at this stage can lead to substantial returns for early investors who identify winning business models.

Industry Competitive Landscape

Mesa Air Group Inc competes within the Energy & Transportation sector, navigating the competitive dynamics and market forces specific to this industry. The company's competitive position depends on its ability to differentiate through product quality, cost efficiency, customer relationships, or other strategic advantages relevant to its specific market segment.

Operational Efficiency

The company shows positive operational efficiency through free cash flow generation of $23 million annually , with year-over-year cash flow growth of 15.2%. Positive free cash flow indicates the business generates more cash than required for operations and capital investments, providing resources for growth initiatives or shareholder returns.

Margin & Pricing Power Analysis

The company maintains a 0.8% gross margin characteristic of commodity-like businesses or high-volume, low-margin operators. Thin gross margins require exceptional operational efficiency and volume to generate meaningful profits. Companies at this margin level are particularly sensitive to cost increases or pricing pressures.

Operating margin of 1.9% demonstrates how efficiently the company converts revenues into operating profits after accounting for all operating expenses including research and development, sales and marketing, and general administrative costs. Operating margin compression relative to gross margin suggests high operating expenses that may warrant efficiency improvements or reflect necessary growth investments.

Asset Utilization Efficiency

Asset turnover ratio of 0.37x indicates lower asset turnover that may reflect the industry's capital-intensive nature or potentially underutilized assets. Companies with low turnover typically depend on strong margins to generate adequate returns on capital.

Financial Strength & Leverage

Current ratio of 0.48 reflects potential liquidity concerns with current liabilities exceeding current assets. While some businesses operate successfully with negative working capital, this warrants understanding of the specific circumstances.

Mesa Air Group Inc (MESA) Fundamental Analysis & Insider Trading Data (Quarterly Financial Reports)

Comprehensive quarterly financial data, earnings trends, insider transactions, and institutional holdings for Mesa Air Group Inc stock analysis.

Deep dive into Mesa Air Group Inc's financial health, valuation metrics, and operational efficiency to make informed investment decisions.

Understanding Valuation Metrics

What these metrics mean: Valuation metrics help determine if Mesa Air Group Inc stock is fairly priced compared to its earnings, assets, and market position.

How to read them: Lower P/E ratios may indicate undervalued stocks, while higher ratios suggest growth expectations. P/B ratio compares market value to book value.

For Mesa Air Group Inc: With a P/E ratio of -0.59, the market sees the stock as potentially undervalued.

P/E Ratio -0.59x
P/B Ratio -0.79x
Market Cap $70M
EPS $-2.35
Book Value/Share $-1.51
Revenue/Share $11.64
FCF/Share $2.66
Understanding Profitability Metrics

What these metrics mean: These ratios measure how efficiently Mesa Air Group Inc converts revenue into profit and generates returns for shareholders.

How to read them: Higher ROE/ROA indicate better management efficiency. Margin percentages show profit at different operational levels.

For Mesa Air Group Inc: An ROE of -13.1% indicates room for improvement in shareholder value creation.

ROE -13.1%
ROA -4.2%
ROIC -2.9%
Gross Margin 0.8%
Operating Margin 1.9%
Net Margin -11.4%
EBT Margin -14.7%
Tax Rate 26.0%
Understanding Financial Health Metrics

What these metrics mean: These ratios assess Mesa Air Group Inc's ability to meet short-term obligations and manage debt levels effectively.

How to read them: Current ratio >2 is generally good, Quick ratio >1 shows strong liquidity. Lower D/E ratios indicate conservative debt management.

For Mesa Air Group Inc: A current ratio of 0.48 suggests potential liquidity concerns.

Current Ratio 0.48x
Quick Ratio 0.33x
D/E Ratio 1.29x
Financial Leverage 3.13x
Interest Coverage -1.4x
Working Capital -$198M
Understanding Cash Flow Metrics

What these metrics mean: Cash flow metrics reveal Mesa Air Group Inc's ability to generate cash from operations and fund growth initiatives.

How to read them: Positive operating cash flow is crucial. Free cash flow shows money available for dividends, buybacks, or investments.

For Mesa Air Group Inc: Free cash flow of $23M provides flexibility for shareholder returns and growth investments.

Operating Cash Flow $64M
Free Cash Flow $23M
Capital Spending -$41M
OCF Growth YoY 15.2%
FCF Growth YoY 462.2%
FCF/Sales 4.4%
CapEx/Sales 7.8%
Understanding Operational Efficiency Metrics

What these metrics mean: These ratios measure how effectively Mesa Air Group Inc uses its assets and manages working capital.

How to read them: Higher turnover ratios indicate efficient asset utilization. Shorter collection periods show effective credit management.

For Mesa Air Group Inc: An asset turnover of 0.37x suggests room for improvement in asset utilization.

Asset Turnover 0.37x
Receivables Turnover 50.9x
Inventory Turnover 21.2x
Fixed Assets Turnover 0.4x
Days Sales Outstanding 7 days
Days Inventory 17 days
Payables Period 51 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -27 days
Understanding Financial Statement Data

What these metrics mean: Key figures from Mesa Air Group Inc's income statement and balance sheet showing absolute financial performance.

How to read them: Revenue shows business scale, while margins indicate profitability. Balance sheet items reveal financial structure.

For Mesa Air Group Inc: With annual revenue of $527M, Mesa Air Group Inc demonstrates solid business size.

Income Statement
Total Revenue $527M
SG&A Expense $9M
Cost of Goods Sold $99M
Balance Sheet Highlights (% Of Assets)
Total Current Assets 9%
Cash & Short-term Investments 6%
Total Liabilities 68%
Short-term Debt 8%
Accounts Receivable 1%
Inventory 2%
Dividend & Shareholder Information
Shares Outstanding 42M
Growth Metrics (YoY)
EPS Growth -221.7%

Latest Mesa Air Group Inc Stock News & Market Analysis

Breaking news, analyst reports, and market updates affecting Mesa Air Group Inc (MESA) stock price and investment outlook.

source: Law

ATLANTA AP - A federal appeals court has upheld a preliminary injunction barring Delta Air Lines Inc., the world's biggest airline operator, from terminating a regional flying contract with Mesa Air ...

More news available

Sign up free to read all 4 news articles and stay updated on market developments.

Sign Up Free to Read More

Mesa Air Group Inc Competitors & Peer Analysis - Energy & Transportation Sector

Comparative analysis of Mesa Air Group Inc against industry peers and competitors in the Energy & Transportation sector, featuring AI-powered forecasts and key financial metrics.

Company Ticker Symbol 90-Day AI Forecast Market Cap (USD M) P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
American Airlines Group Inc. AAL ██% $7.38B 66.5x 42.0x
Allegiant Travel Co ALGT ██% $1.52B -58.3x 1.4x
Alaska Air Group, Inc. ALK ██% $4.36B 43.6x 1.1x
Copa Holdings, S.A. CPA ██% $4.67B x x
Delta Air Lines, Inc. DAL ██% $43.80B 8.8x 2.1x
Spirit Aviation Holdings, Inc. FLYYQ ██% $8M x x
Harbor Diversified, Inc. HRBR ██% $88M x 0.4x
Jetblue Airways Corp JBLU ██% $1.72B -2.8x 0.8x
Global Crossing Airlines Group Inc. JETBF ██% $47M x x
Global Crossing Airlines Group Inc. JETMF ██% $43M x x
Latam Airlines Group S.A. LTM ██% $14.87B x x
Southwest Airlines Co LUV ██% $18.78B 42.6x 2.4x
Mesa Air Group Inc MESA ██% $70M -0.6x -0.8x
Republic Airways Holdings Inc. RJET ██% $821M 8.1x 0.6x
Ryanair Holdings Plc RYAAY ██% $31.42B x x
Skywest Inc SKYW ██% $4.38B 21.1x 1.6x
Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc. SNCY ██% $897M 17.0x 1.4x
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. UAL ██% $28.87B 8.6x 1.9x
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. ULCC ██% $808M -38.6x 1.7x
Reveal all forecasts See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free

Frequently Asked Questions - Mesa Air Group Inc Stock Forecast

How accurate are Mesa Air Group Inc stock predictions?

Our AI model shows a 9% Spearman correlation coefficient for MESA predictions, based on advanced machine learning algorithms trained on over 10 years of market data. This measures the strength of the monotonic relationship between predicted and actual price movements.

What factors influence Mesa Air Group Inc stock price forecasts?

Our analysis considers Mesa Air Group Inc's financial metrics, Energy & Transportation sector trends, market sentiment, technical indicators, earnings data, and macroeconomic factors affecting stock performance.

Is Mesa Air Group Inc a good investment in 2025?

Based on our AI analysis, Mesa Air Group Inc shows potential for various market scenarios. Consider your risk tolerance, investment timeline, and portfolio diversification before making investment decisions.

How often are Mesa Air Group Inc forecasts updated?

Mesa Air Group Inc stock forecasts are updated daily using real-time market data, ensuring you receive the most current AI-powered predictions and investment insights.

Want a simpler view of Mesa Air Group Inc?

View simplified analysis on AI Stock Finder →

My Portfolio

Investment Dashboard

Loading your portfolio...