Mp Materials Corp. / De (MP) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE
Mp Materials Corp. / De (MP) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 14, 2026, MP is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 4009 stocks scored that day.
Mp Materials Corp. / De is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $7.56B. It ranks number 7 by market capitalization among the 39 Metal Mining issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for MP is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +4.5%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +2.1%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-14 signals)
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How MP ranks among 4009 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Mp Materials Corp. / De (MP) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Metal Mining peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | MP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $7.56B | 7/39 |
| P/B Ratio | 3.86x | 8/17 |
| EPS | $-0.42 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $10.99 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $1.71 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-2.83 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | MP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -3.1% | 7/21 |
| ROA | -1.6% | 6/30 |
| ROIC | -3.6% | 11/22 |
| Gross Margin | 21.3% | 7/8 |
| Operating Margin | -41.5% | 6/9 |
| Net Margin | -19.9% | 5/8 |
| EBT Margin | -29.8% | 5/9 |
| Tax Rate | 33.3% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | MP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 9.51x | 8/32 |
| Quick Ratio | 8.56x | 2/6 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.69x | 10/24 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.90x | 9/24 |
| Interest Coverage | -2.4x | 10/26 |
| Working Capital | $1.56B | 5/32 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | MP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$84M | 31/34 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$505M | 8/9 |
| Capital Spending | -$421M | 7/9 |
| FCF/Sales | -165.2% | – |
| CapEx/Sales | 137.7% | – |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | MP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.08x | 5/8 |
| Receivables Turnover | 7.5x | 5/6 |
| Inventory Turnover | 1.4x | – |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 0.2x | 6/7 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 48 days | 2/7 |
| Days Inventory | 264 days | – |
| Payables Period | 70 days | 3/5 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 242 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | MP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $305M | 4/8 |
| Operating Income | -$126M | 25/29 |
| Net Income | -$60M | 26/30 |
| SG&A Expense | $129M | 5/7 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $240M | 4/8 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | MP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 178M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $1.75B | 52.7% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $429M | 12.9% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $40M | 1.2% of assets |
| Inventory | $173M | 5.2% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $1.36B | 40.9% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $138M | 4.1% of assets |
MP quarterly financials and insider trading
Mp Materials Corp. / De (MP) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Mp Materials Corp. / De (Metal Mining): 52 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| MP Mp Materials Corp. / De | ▶ | $7.56B |
| BHP Bhp Group Ltd | ▶ | $431.21B |
| SCCO Southern Copper Corp/ | ▲ | $173.06B |
| RIO Rio Tinto Plc | ▼ | $116.88B |
| FCX Freeport-Mcmoran Inc | ▶ | $104.00B |
| VALE Vale S.A. | ▶ | $57.07B |
| HBM Hudbay Minerals Inc. | ▲ | $10.16B |
| CLF Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. | ▲ | $7.34B |
| ERO Ero Copper Corp. | ▲ | $3.82B |
| ALM Almonty Industries Inc. | ▲ | $2.89B |
| USAR Usa Rare Earth, Inc. | ▶ | $2.76B |
| NEXA Nexa Resources S.A. | ▲ | $1.74B |
| IE Ivanhoe Electric Inc. | ▲ | $1.41B |
| USAS Americas Gold & Silver Corp | ▲ | $1.29B |
| TMC Tmc The Metals Co Inc. | ▲ | $1.24B |
| SGML Sigma Lithium Corp | ▶ | $969M |
| RBTK Zhen Ding Resources Inc. | ▼ | $886M |
| LAR Lithium Argentina Ag | ▲ | $812M |
| GSM Ferroglobe Plc | ▲ | $783M |
| DC Dakota Gold Corp. | ▲ | $765M |
| THM International Tower Hill Mines Ltd | ▲ | $589M |
| WRN Western Copper & Gold Corp | ▲ | $391M |
| REA Rare Earths Americas, Inc. | ▲ | $163M |
| COBA Chilean Cobalt Corp. | ▼ | $133M |
| PZG Paramount Gold Nevada Corp. | ▲ | $98M |
| THMG Thunder Mountain Gold Inc | ▲ | $78M |
| GSTX Graphene & Solar Technologies Ltd | ▼ | $63M |
| LCGMF Lion Copper Corp. | ▼ | $62M |
| WWR Westwater Resources, Inc. | ▲ | $56M |
| SRGZ Star Gold Corp. | ▶ | $33M |
| DYNR Dynaresource, Inc. | ▼ | $27M |
| LTUM Lithium Corp | ▶ | $6M |
| HNOI Hno International, Inc. | ▼ | $3M |
| SVBL Silver Bull Resources, Inc. | ▼ | $2M |
| MAGE Magellan Copper & Gold Corp | ▼ | $2M |
| LBSR Liberty Star Uranium & Metals Corp. | ▲ | $2M |
| ARRT Artisan Consumer Goods, Inc. | ▼ | $1M |
| FUST Fuse Group Holding Inc. | ▼ | $1M |
| ENRT Enertopia Corp. | ▶ | $430K |
| ACRL Atacama Resources International, Inc. | ▶ | N/A |
| ADMG Adamant Dri Processing & Minerals Group | ▼ | N/A |
| AEC Anfield Energy Inc. | ▶ | N/A |
| ALOY Realloys Inc. | ▲ | N/A |
| AMLM American Lithium Minerals, Inc. | ▶ | N/A |
| ASM Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd | ▲ | N/A |
| BHLL Bunker Hill Mining Corp. | ▶ | N/A |
| COPR Idaho Copper Corp | ▼ | N/A |
| CRML Critical Metals Corp. | ▲ | N/A |
| LZM Lifezone Metals Ltd | ▲ | N/A |
| NB Niocorp Developments Ltd | ▲ | N/A |
| NEXM Nexmetals Mining Corp. | ▶ | N/A |
| RYES Rise Gold Corp. | ▼ | N/A |
Where MP sits on the market map
Mp Materials Corp. / De (MP) stock news
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Mp Materials Corp. / De (MP) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Mp Materials Corp. / De (MP) stock forecast?
On Oct. 14, 2026, MP is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 4009 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Mp Materials Corp. / De stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for MP is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Mp Materials Corp. / De forecasts updated?
Mp Materials Corp. / De forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.
Which companies are Mp Materials Corp. / De's industry peers?
52 issuers in our coverage, MP included, share the SEC industry code Metal Mining. The largest are: Bhp Group Ltd (BHP), Southern Copper Corp/ (SCCO), Rio Tinto Plc (RIO), Freeport-Mcmoran Inc (FCX), Vale S.A. (VALE), Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.