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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14
Vail Resorts Inc (MTN) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Rating · 90D
▼ Bearish
Exact rating locked
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
Bottom 35%
of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
n/a
No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap
$5.44B
mid-cap · #4 of 20 peers
Summary
Vail Resorts Inc (MTN) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Vail Resorts Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Vail Resorts Inc is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $5.44B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 20 Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its D/E Ratio of 11.84x is the highest of the 12 peers that report one.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for MTN is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, MTN included.
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MTN price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-13
How MTN ranks among 5379 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals
Vail Resorts Inc (MTN) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation peers listed below that report each metric.
Reported net income does not reconcile with earnings per share and the share count, so net-income-based ratios are withheld.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | MTN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $5.44B | 4/20 |
| P/E Ratio | 36.85x | 2/7 |
| P/B Ratio | 12.81x | 3/12 |
| Dividend Yield | 5.83% | – |
| EPS | $4.12 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $11.91 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $79.65 | – |
| FCF/Share | $6.96 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | MTN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | 9.0% | 10/16 |
| Operating Margin | 38.8% | 2/17 |
| EBT Margin | 20.9% | 3/18 |
| Tax Rate | 24.8% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | MTN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.80x | 9/18 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.68x | 8/12 |
| D/E Ratio | 11.84x | 1/12 |
| Financial Leverage | 13.61x | 1/12 |
| Working Capital | -$221M | 14/18 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | MTN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $480M | 5/22 |
| Free Cash Flow | $248M | 4/12 |
| Capital Spending | -$232M | 10/12 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -13.6% | 7/11 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -22.4% | 5/10 |
| FCF/Sales | 8.7% | 6/12 |
| CapEx/Sales | 8.2% | 5/12 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | MTN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.49x | 10/13 |
| Receivables Turnover | 8.0x | 8/13 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 1.2x | 10/13 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 46 days | 6/13 |
Income Statement
| Metric | MTN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $2.84B | 3/15 |
| Operating Income | $420M | 3/20 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | MTN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $8.90 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 216.0% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 36M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $876M | 15.2% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $231M | 4.0% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $355M | 6.1% of assets |
| Inventory | $135M | 2.3% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $5.02B | 87.0% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
MTN quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation
Vail Resorts Inc (MTN) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Vail Resorts Inc (Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation): 24 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| MTN Vail Resorts Inc | ▼ | $5.44B |
| DIS Walt Disney Co | ▼ | $187.48B |
| DKNG Draftkings Inc. | ▲ | $17.54B |
| MSGS Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. | ▼ | $9.73B |
| RSI Rush Street Interactive, Inc. | ▲ | $4.42B |
| STUB Stubhub Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $2.24B |
| BRSL Brightstar Lottery Plc | ▼ | $1.86B |
| PRKS United Parks & Resorts Inc. | ▶ | $1.54B |
| FBYD Falcon's Beyond Global, Inc. | ▲ | $1.01B |
| BUKS Butler National Corp | ▲ | $286M |
| SEG Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. | ▶ | $285M |
| XPOF Xponential Fitness, Inc. | ▲ | $191M |
| GENI Genius Sports Ltd | ▲ | $65M |
| GRSD Grandstand Ltd | ▶ | $52M |
| SEAT Vivid Seats Inc. | ▲ | $32M |
| PRKA Parks America, Inc | ▼ | $30M |
| TBTC Table Trac Inc | ▲ | $24M |
| EVTK Eventiko Inc. | ▼ | $10M |
| BRVO Bravo Multinational Inc. | ▶ | $1M |
| VIVC Vivic Corp. | ▼ | $300K |
| ENHA Enhanced Group Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
| GAMG Global Asset Management Group, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
| LIMX Limitless X Holdings Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
| SGHC Super Group (Sghc) Ltd | ▶ | N/A |
Where MTN sits on the market map
Trade & Services · Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation
News
Vail Resorts Inc (MTN) stock news
Vail Resorts Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year Fiscal 2026 Results and Provides Fiscal 2027 Outlook
Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE: MTN) today reported results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended July 31, 2026, reported season-to-date pass product sales and provided its outlook for the fiscal ...
Vail Resorts, Inventiva and other big stocks moving lower in Tuesday’s pre-market session
U.S. stock futures were mixed this morning, with the Dow futures falling around 0.1% on Tuesday. Shares of Vail Resorts Inc MTN fell sharply in pre-market trading as the company reported mixed results ...
FAQ
Vail Resorts Inc (MTN) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Vail Resorts Inc (MTN) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Vail Resorts Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Vail Resorts Inc stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for MTN is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Vail Resorts Inc forecasts updated?
Vail Resorts Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.
Which companies are Vail Resorts Inc's industry peers?
24 issuers in our coverage, MTN included, share the SEC industry code Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation. The largest are: Walt Disney Co (DIS), Draftkings Inc. (DKNG), Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (MSGS), Rush Street Interactive, Inc. (RSI), Stubhub Holdings, Inc. (STUB), Brightstar Lottery Plc (BRSL).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.