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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Matrix Service Co (MTRX) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 4009 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $299M small-cap · #8 of 11 peers
Summary

Matrix Service Co (MTRX) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Matrix Service Co outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Matrix Service Co is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $299M. It ranks number 8 by market capitalization among the 11 Construction - Special Trade Contractors issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for MTRX is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +4.5%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +2.1%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-14 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, MTRX included.

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Price

MTRX price chart and AI forecast

MTRX
Cross-section · 2026-10-14

How MTRX ranks among 4009 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Matrix Service Co (MTRX) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Construction - Special Trade Contractors peers listed below that report each metric.

Reported net income does not reconcile with earnings per share and the share count, so net-income-based ratios are withheld.

Valuation & Market

MetricMTRXIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $299M $611M 8/11
P/B Ratio 2.11x 1.94x 4/8
EPS $-0.09 – –
Book Value/Share $5.01 – –
Revenue/Share $30.88 – –
FCF/Share $0.05 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricMTRXIndustry medianRank
Gross Margin 7.2% 26.6% 11/12
Operating Margin -1.1% -3.2% 7/14
EBT Margin -0.2% -8.5% 5/14
Tax Rate -16.0% – –

Financial Health

MetricMTRXIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 3.25x 2.48x 3/10
Financial Leverage 4.25x 3.59x 3/10
Interest Coverage -8.3x -2.5x 8/11

Cash Flow

MetricMTRXIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $7M -$1M 5/14
Free Cash Flow $1M $33M 5/6
Capital Spending -$5M -$7M 3/6
OCF Growth YoY -94.1% -50.0% 4/6
FCF Growth YoY -98.0% – –
FCF/Sales 0.2% 5.5% 5/6
CapEx/Sales 0.6% 1.2% 5/6

Operational Efficiency

MetricMTRXIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.45x 1.25x 3/8

Income Statement

MetricMTRXIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $873M $778M 4/8
Operating Income -$9M -$2M 10/14
SG&A Expense $64M $64M 6/11
Cost of Goods Sold $810M $99M 4/13

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricMTRXIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 28M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Liabilities$461M76.5% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

MTRX quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Construction - Special Trade Contractors

Matrix Service Co (MTRX) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Matrix Service Co (Construction - Special Trade Contractors): 15 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
MTRX Matrix Service Co ▲ $299M – 2.1x
AGX Argan Inc ▲ $5.44B 30.4x 10.7x
LGN Legence Corp. ▲ $5.17B – 8.6x
FACT Sunpower Inc. ▼ $2.24B – –
RUN Sunrun Inc. ▲ $1.88B – 0.5x
AMRC Ameresco, Inc. ▲ $1.11B – 0.9x
LMB Limbach Holdings, Inc. ▲ $611M 20.2x 3.0x
BBCP Concrete Pumping Holdings, Inc. ▲ $476M – 1.8x
CNTM Connectm Technology Solutions, Inc. ▶ $23M – 1.7x
ZEO Zeo Energy Corp. ▼ $15M – –
PTOS P2 Solar, Inc. ▼ $1M – –
CETX Cemtrex Inc ▶ N/A – –
PMA Pma Graphene Technology Group Inc. ▲ N/A – –
SMXT Solarmax Technology, Inc. ▼ N/A – –
SUNE Sunation Energy, Inc. ▲ N/A – –

Where MTRX sits on the market map

Real Estate & Construction · Construction - Special Trade Contractors
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News

Matrix Service Co (MTRX) stock news

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FAQ

Matrix Service Co (MTRX) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Matrix Service Co (MTRX) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Matrix Service Co outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Matrix Service Co stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for MTRX is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Matrix Service Co forecasts updated?

Matrix Service Co forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Matrix Service Co's industry peers?

15 issuers in our coverage, MTRX included, share the SEC industry code Construction - Special Trade Contractors. The largest are: Argan Inc (AGX), Legence Corp. (LGN), Sunpower Inc. (FACT), Sunrun Inc. (RUN), Ameresco, Inc. (AMRC), Limbach Holdings, Inc. (LMB).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.