Provident Financial Holdings Inc (PROV) Stock Forecast Oct. 13, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 13, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Provident Financial Holdings Inc (PROV) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Provident Financial Holdings Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Provident Financial Holdings Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $113M. It ranks number 23 by market capitalization among the 34 Savings Institution, Federally Chartered issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for PROV is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)
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How PROV ranks among 5379 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Provident Financial Holdings Inc (PROV) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Savings Institution, Federally Chartered peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | PROV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $113M | 23/34 |
| P/E Ratio | 17.00x | 7/24 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.90x | 23/33 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.17% | 7/19 |
| EPS | $1.03 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $20.25 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $6.51 | – |
| FCF/Share | $1.37 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | PROV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 5.3% | 18/32 |
| ROA | 0.6% | 20/32 |
| Net Margin | 16.4% | 22/32 |
| EBT Margin | 23.7% | 21/33 |
| Tax Rate | 30.9% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | PROV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 8.57x | 12/33 |
| Financial Leverage | 9.57x | 12/33 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | PROV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $9M | 22/33 |
| Free Cash Flow | $9M | 20/26 |
| Capital Spending | -$430K | 7/26 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 3.3% | 24/29 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 4.7% | 16/21 |
| FCF/Sales | 21.0% | 21/26 |
| CapEx/Sales | 1.1% | 20/26 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | PROV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.03x | 16/31 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 4.4x | 11/28 |
Income Statement
| Metric | PROV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $40M | 21/31 |
| Net Income | $6M | 20/32 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | PROV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $0.58 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 56.3% | 6/16 |
| Shares Outstanding | 6M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $49M | 4.1% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $1.08B | 89.6% of assets |
PROV quarterly financials and insider trading
Provident Financial Holdings Inc (PROV) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Provident Financial Holdings Inc (Savings Institution, Federally Chartered): 34 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| PROV Provident Financial Holdings Inc | ▲ | $113M |
| HSBC Hsbc Holdings Plc | ▼ | $1.63T |
| AX Axos Financial, Inc. | ▶ | $5.01B |
| EBC Eastern Bankshares, Inc. | ▶ | $4.79B |
| TFSL Tfs Financial Corp | ▲ | $4.54B |
| PFS Provident Financial Services Inc | ▶ | $2.87B |
| CFFN Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. | ▲ | $1.04B |
| HTB Hometrust Bancshares, Inc. | ▲ | $765M |
| KRNY Kearny Financial Corp. | ▲ | $588M |
| NRIM Northrim Bancorp Inc | ▲ | $541M |
| PDLB Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | ▲ | $486M |
| FMAO Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc | ▲ | $482M |
| WSBF Waterstone Financial, Inc. | ▲ | $356M |
| FNRN First Northern Community Bancorp | ▲ | $273M |
| WNEB Western New England Bancorp, Inc. | ▲ | $272M |
| FCAP First Capital Inc | ▲ | $208M |
| CZWI Citizens Community Bancorp Inc. | ▲ | $205M |
| BVFL Bv Financial, Inc. | ▲ | $181M |
| FNWD Finward Bancorp | ▲ | $181M |
| BCBP Bcb Bancorp Inc | ▲ | $148M |
| FGBI First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. | ▲ | $138M |
| MGYR Magyar Bancorp, Inc. | ▲ | $121M |
| RVSB Riverview Bancorp Inc | ▲ | $120M |
| SFBC Sound Financial Bancorp, Inc. | ▲ | $110M |
| BYFC Broadway Financial Corp \De\ | ▲ | $108M |
| FDSB Fifth District Bancorp, Inc. | ▲ | $91M |
| CPBI Central Plains Bancshares, Inc. | ▶ | $85M |
| NSTS Nsts Bancorp, Inc. | ▼ | $75M |
| HFBL Home Federal Bancorp, Inc. Of Louisiana | ▲ | $74M |
| CLST Catalyst Bancorp, Inc. | ▲ | $70M |
| KFFB Kentucky First Federal Bancorp | ▲ | $46M |
| MGNO Magnolia Bancorp, Inc. | ▼ | $12M |
| CARV Carver Bancorp Inc | ▲ | $10M |
| MFBI Monroe Federal Bancorp, Inc. | ▼ | $7M |
Where PROV sits on the market map
Provident Financial Holdings Inc (PROV) stock news
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Provident Financial Holdings Inc (PROV) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Provident Financial Holdings Inc (PROV) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Provident Financial Holdings Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Provident Financial Holdings Inc stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for PROV is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Provident Financial Holdings Inc forecasts updated?
Provident Financial Holdings Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 13, 2026.
Which companies are Provident Financial Holdings Inc's industry peers?
34 issuers in our coverage, PROV included, share the SEC industry code Savings Institution, Federally Chartered. The largest are: Hsbc Holdings Plc (HSBC), Axos Financial, Inc. (AX), Eastern Bankshares, Inc. (EBC), Tfs Financial Corp (TFSL), Provident Financial Services Inc (PFS), Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. (CFFN).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.