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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Starbucks Corp (SBUX) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $104.88B large-cap · #1 of 8 peers
Summary

Starbucks Corp (SBUX) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 14, 2026, SBUX is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.

Starbucks Corp is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $104.88B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 8 Retail-Eating & Drinking Places issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for SBUX is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, SBUX included.

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Price

SBUX price chart and AI forecast

SBUX
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How SBUX ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Starbucks Corp (SBUX) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Eating & Drinking Places peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricSBUXIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $104.88B $2.13B 1/8
P/E Ratio 52.90x – –
Dividend Yield 2.68% – –
EPS $1.71 – –
Revenue/Share $33.63 – –
FCF/Share $3.19 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricSBUXIndustry medianRank
ROA 7.0% 2.3% 2/6
ROIC 16.2% 4.9% 1/6
Operating Margin 7.8% 3.6% 3/7
Net Margin 5.2% 2.6% 2/5
EBT Margin 8.0% 4.2% 3/7
Tax Rate 35.6% – –

Financial Health

MetricSBUXIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.76x 1.24x 6/9
Quick Ratio 0.54x 1.27x 6/6
Interest Coverage 7.3x 3.6x 4/10
Working Capital -$2.38B $38M 9/9

Cash Flow

MetricSBUXIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $4.99B $21M 1/9
Free Cash Flow $3.64B $42M 1/6
Capital Spending -$1.34B -$149M 6/6
OCF Growth YoY 1.7% – –
FCF Growth YoY 61.6% – –
FCF/Sales 9.5% 2.1% 2/6
CapEx/Sales 3.5% 8.7% 5/6

Operational Efficiency

MetricSBUXIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.35x 0.78x 1/6
Receivables Turnover 29.4x 57.5x 5/5
Fixed Assets Turnover 5.5x 2.5x 2/6
Days Sales Outstanding 12 days 6 days 1/5

Income Statement

MetricSBUXIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $38.34B $1.72B 1/6
Operating Income $2.98B $7M 1/9
Net Income $1.98B $4M 1/7

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricSBUXIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $2.47 – –
Payout Ratio 144.4% – –
Shares Outstanding 1140M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$7.53B26.6% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$3.45B12.2% of assets
Accounts Receivable$1.30B4.6% of assets
Inventory$2.21B7.8% of assets
Total Liabilities$35.96B127.1% of assets
Short-term Debt$8.14B28.8% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

SBUX quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Retail-Eating & Drinking Places

Starbucks Corp (SBUX) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Starbucks Corp (Retail-Eating & Drinking Places): 10 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
SBUX Starbucks Corp ▶ $104.88B 52.9x –
LKNCY Luckin Coffee Inc. ▼ $83.83B – 5.4x
BROS Dutch Bros Inc. ▶ $6.63B – 12.4x
SHAK Shake Shack Inc. ▼ $3.04B 76.0x 5.6x
WEN Wendy's Co ▲ $1.21B 9.6x 10.1x
CNNE Cannae Holdings, Inc. ▶ $682M – 0.7x
BRCB Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. ▲ $370M – 6.8x
EAIQ Eyeonix Aiq, Inc. ▼ $33M – –
KITL Kisses From Italy Inc. ▶ N/A – –
SDOT Sadot Group Inc. ▼ N/A – –

Where SBUX sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Retail-Eating & Drinking Places
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News

Starbucks Corp (SBUX) stock news

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FAQ

Starbucks Corp (SBUX) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Starbucks Corp (SBUX) stock forecast?

On Oct. 14, 2026, SBUX is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Starbucks Corp stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for SBUX is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Starbucks Corp forecasts updated?

Starbucks Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Starbucks Corp's industry peers?

10 issuers in our coverage, SBUX included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Eating & Drinking Places. The largest are: Luckin Coffee Inc. (LKNCY), Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS), Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK), Wendy's Co (WEN), Cannae Holdings, Inc. (CNNE), Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (BRCB).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.