Steel Dynamics Inc (STLD) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq
Steel Dynamics Inc (STLD) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 14, 2026, STLD is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.
Steel Dynamics Inc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $34.49B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 11 Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens) issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for STLD is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +4.5%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +2.1%, strong sell < +0.9% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)
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How STLD ranks among 5379 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Steel Dynamics Inc (STLD) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens) peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | STLD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $34.49B | 5/11 |
| P/E Ratio | 21.46x | – |
| P/B Ratio | 3.66x | 2/7 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.86% | 4/5 |
| EPS | $11.01 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $65.72 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $143.30 | – |
| FCF/Share | $6.67 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | STLD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 17.1% | 2/5 |
| ROA | 9.4% | 2/5 |
| ROIC | 13.9% | – |
| Gross Margin | 14.7% | 4/6 |
| Operating Margin | 10.0% | – |
| Net Margin | 7.8% | 3/5 |
| EBT Margin | 9.8% | 3/7 |
| Tax Rate | 20.9% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | STLD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.18x | 1/6 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.45x | 2/6 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.82x | 4/7 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.82x | 4/7 |
| Interest Coverage | 17.0x | 1/5 |
| Working Capital | $4.99B | 2/6 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | STLD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $1.57B | 2/7 |
| Free Cash Flow | $956M | 2/6 |
| Capital Spending | -$616M | 5/6 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 0.7% | 5/6 |
| FCF/Sales | 4.7% | 2/6 |
| CapEx/Sales | 3.0% | 5/6 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | STLD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.20x | 1/7 |
| Receivables Turnover | 8.4x | 3/6 |
| Inventory Turnover | 4.4x | 3/5 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 2.4x | 3/6 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 43 days | 4/6 |
| Days Inventory | 82 days | 3/5 |
Income Statement
| Metric | STLD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $20.54B | 2/7 |
| Operating Income | $2.06B | – |
| Net Income | $1.61B | 2/5 |
| SG&A Expense | $754M | 3/7 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $17.53B | 2/5 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | STLD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $2.07 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 18.8% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 143M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $7.28B | 42.5% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $568M | 3.3% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $2.44B | 14.3% of assets |
| Inventory | $3.96B | 23.1% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $7.75B | 45.3% of assets |
STLD quarterly financials and insider trading
Steel Dynamics Inc (STLD) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Steel Dynamics Inc (Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens)): 11 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| STLD Steel Dynamics Inc | ▶ | $34.49B |
| TX Ternium S.A. | ▶ | $118.26B |
| TS Tenaris Sa | ▼ | $62.75B |
| NUE Nucor Corp | ▶ | $57.58B |
| MT Arcelormittal | ▶ | $48.31B |
| CRS Carpenter Technology Corp | ▲ | $18.85B |
| CMC Commercial Metals Co | ▶ | $7.17B |
| SXC Suncoke Energy, Inc. | ▲ | $867M |
| MTUS Metallus Inc. | ▶ | $852M |
| TWI Titan International Inc | ▲ | $451M |
| ASTL Algoma Steel Group Inc. | ▲ | $450M |
Where STLD sits on the market map
Steel Dynamics Inc (STLD) stock news
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Steel Dynamics Inc (STLD) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Steel Dynamics Inc (STLD) stock forecast?
On Oct. 14, 2026, STLD is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Steel Dynamics Inc stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for STLD is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Steel Dynamics Inc forecasts updated?
Steel Dynamics Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.
Which companies are Steel Dynamics Inc's industry peers?
11 issuers in our coverage, STLD included, share the SEC industry code Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens). The largest are: Ternium S.A. (TX), Tenaris Sa (TS), Nucor Corp (NUE), Arcelormittal (MT), Carpenter Technology Corp (CRS), Commercial Metals Co (CMC).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.