Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 14, 2026, ULTA is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 4004 stocks scored that day.
Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $24.76B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 15 Retail-Retail Stores, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 9.36x is the highest of the 8 peers that report one.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for ULTA is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.2%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.6%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-14 signals)
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How ULTA ranks among 4004 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Retail Stores, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | ULTA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $24.76B | 2/15 |
| P/E Ratio | 20.46x | – |
| P/B Ratio | 9.36x | 1/8 |
| EPS | $27.45 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $61.83 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $303.00 | – |
| FCF/Share | $28.35 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | ULTA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 50.5% | 1/6 |
| ROA | 19.2% | 1/7 |
| ROIC | 34.5% | 2/12 |
| Gross Margin | 39.3% | 6/11 |
| Operating Margin | 11.5% | 2/11 |
| Net Margin | 9.5% | 1/6 |
| EBT Margin | 11.4% | 3/11 |
| Tax Rate | 24.3% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | ULTA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.35x | 4/13 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.29x | 8/11 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.63x | 7/9 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.63x | 7/9 |
| Interest Coverage | 49.3x | 2/14 |
| Working Capital | $787M | 1/12 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | ULTA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $1.61B | 1/12 |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.21B | 1/7 |
| Capital Spending | -$398M | 7/7 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 18.6% | 5/6 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 10.0% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 9.4% | 2/7 |
| CapEx/Sales | 3.1% | 3/7 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | ULTA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.86x | 4/10 |
| Receivables Turnover | 52.0x | 4/9 |
| Inventory Turnover | 3.3x | 6/10 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 9.2x | 7/10 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 7 days | 6/9 |
| Days Inventory | 112 days | 5/10 |
| Payables Period | 30 days | 6/10 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 89 days | 4/8 |
Income Statement
| Metric | ULTA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $12.96B | 1/9 |
| Operating Income | $1.61B | 1/12 |
| Net Income | $1.33B | 1/7 |
| SG&A Expense | $3.46B | 1/8 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $7.86B | 1/11 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | ULTA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 43M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $3.07B | 44.1% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $158M | 2.3% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $249M | 3.6% of assets |
| Inventory | $2.41B | 34.6% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $4.32B | 62.0% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $1.64B | 23.5% of assets |
ULTA quarterly financials and insider trading
Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Ulta Beauty, Inc. (Retail-Retail Stores, NEC): 18 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| ULTA Ulta Beauty, Inc. | ▶ | $24.76B |
| JD Jd.Com, Inc. | ▼ | $76.25B |
| BBWI Bath & Body Works, Inc. | ▶ | $3.63B |
| SBH Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $1.49B |
| WOOF Petco Health & Wellness Company, Inc. | ▶ | $781M |
| TITN Titan Machinery Inc. | ▲ | $554M |
| HITI High Tide Inc. | ▶ | $225M |
| FLWS 1 800 Flowers Com Inc | ▲ | $166M |
| BARK Bark, Inc. | ▶ | $72M |
| TKLF Tokyo Lifestyle Co., Ltd. | ▶ | $67M |
| RENT Rent The Runway, Inc. | ▲ | $60M |
| RCT Redcloud Holdings Plc | ▼ | $7M |
| RMTG Regenerative Medical Technology Group Inc. | ▲ | $660K |
| LESL Leslie's, Inc. | ▼ | $560K |
| NSTM Novelstem International Corp. | ▼ | $490K |
| INHD Inno Holdings Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
| NAAS Naas Technology Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
| NEGG Newegg Commerce, Inc. | ▶ | N/A |
Where ULTA sits on the market map
Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) stock news
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Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) stock forecast?
On Oct. 14, 2026, ULTA is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 4004 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Ulta Beauty, Inc. stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for ULTA is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Ulta Beauty, Inc. forecasts updated?
Ulta Beauty, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.
Which companies are Ulta Beauty, Inc.'s industry peers?
18 issuers in our coverage, ULTA included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Retail Stores, NEC. The largest are: Jd.Com, Inc. (JD), Bath & Body Works, Inc. (BBWI), Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. (SBH), Petco Health & Wellness Company, Inc. (WOOF), Titan Machinery Inc. (TITN), High Tide Inc. (HITI).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.