Union Pacific Corp (UNP) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Union Pacific Corp (UNP) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Union Pacific Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Union Pacific Corp is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $167.74B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 6 Railroads, Line-Haul Operating issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for UNP is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)
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How UNP ranks among 5379 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Union Pacific Corp (UNP) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Railroads, Line-Haul Operating peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | UNP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $167.74B | 1/6 |
| P/E Ratio | 22.88x | – |
| P/B Ratio | 8.11x | 1/5 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.95% | 2/5 |
| EPS | $12.36 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $34.80 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $42.77 | – |
| FCF/Share | $10.95 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | UNP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 35.5% | – |
| ROA | 10.3% | 1/5 |
| ROIC | 15.5% | 1/5 |
| Operating Margin | 40.0% | – |
| Net Margin | 28.9% | 1/5 |
| EBT Margin | 37.4% | 1/5 |
| Tax Rate | 22.9% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | UNP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.99x | 1/6 |
| D/E Ratio | 2.44x | 1/5 |
| Financial Leverage | 3.44x | 1/5 |
| Interest Coverage | 4.3x | 4/5 |
| Working Capital | -$79M | 1/6 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | UNP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $10.26B | 1/6 |
| Free Cash Flow | $6.50B | 1/5 |
| Capital Spending | -$3.76B | 5/5 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 4.1% | 3/5 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 3.9% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 25.6% | 1/5 |
| CapEx/Sales | 14.8% | 5/5 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | UNP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.36x | 1/5 |
| Receivables Turnover | 11.9x | – |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 0.4x | 1/5 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 31 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | UNP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $25.41B | 1/5 |
| Operating Income | $10.17B | 1/5 |
| Net Income | $7.33B | 1/5 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | UNP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $5.52 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 44.7% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 594M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $5.53B | 7.8% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $1.61B | 2.3% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $2.13B | 3.0% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $50.54B | 71.0% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $4.68B | 6.6% of assets |
UNP quarterly financials and insider trading
Union Pacific Corp (UNP) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Union Pacific Corp (Railroads, Line-Haul Operating): 6 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Union Pacific Corp (UNP) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Union Pacific Corp (UNP) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Union Pacific Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Union Pacific Corp stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for UNP is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Union Pacific Corp forecasts updated?
Union Pacific Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.
Which companies are Union Pacific Corp's industry peers?
6 issuers in our coverage, UNP included, share the SEC industry code Railroads, Line-Haul Operating. The largest are: Csx Corp (CSX), Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd/Cn (CP), Canadian National Railway Co (CNI), Norfolk Southern Corp (NSC), Ftai Infrastructure Inc. (FIP).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.