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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Us Foods Holding Corp. (USFD) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 4004 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $21.18B large-cap · #2 of 5 peers
Summary

Us Foods Holding Corp. (USFD) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Us Foods Holding Corp. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Us Foods Holding Corp. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $21.18B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 5 Wholesale-Groceries & Related Products issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for USFD is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.2%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.6%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-14 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, USFD included.

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Price

USFD price chart and AI forecast

USFD
Cross-section · 2026-10-14

How USFD ranks among 4004 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Us Foods Holding Corp. (USFD) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Wholesale-Groceries & Related Products peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricUSFDIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $21.18B $9.80B 2/5
P/E Ratio 29.09x – –
P/B Ratio 4.95x – –
EPS $3.22 – –
Book Value/Share $19.78 – –
Revenue/Share $185.52 – –
FCF/Share $4.37 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricUSFDIndustry medianRank
ROE 17.0% – –
ROA 5.1% 5.1% 4/7
ROIC 12.1% 17.3% 4/5
Gross Margin 17.6% 18.0% 4/6
Operating Margin 3.1% 3.1% 4/7
Net Margin 1.8% 1.8% 4/7
EBT Margin 2.4% 2.4% 4/7
Tax Rate 24.2% – –

Financial Health

MetricUSFDIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.14x 1.12x 3/6
Quick Ratio 0.70x – –
D/E Ratio 2.35x – –
Financial Leverage 3.35x – –
Interest Coverage 7.5x 5.2x 2/7
Working Capital $536M $17M 2/6

Cash Flow

MetricUSFDIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $1.37B $29M 2/7
Free Cash Flow $946M $636M 2/5
Capital Spending -$423M -$125M 4/5
OCF Growth YoY 7.1% 4.6% 1/5
FCF Growth YoY 1.5% 1.5% 3/5
FCF/Sales 2.4% 2.4% 3/5
CapEx/Sales 1.1% 1.1% 3/5

Operational Efficiency

MetricUSFDIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 2.80x 2.80x 3/5
Receivables Turnover 18.0x – –
Inventory Turnover 19.4x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 14.8x 14.2x 2/5
Days Sales Outstanding 20 days – –
Days Inventory 19 days – –
Payables Period 31 days – –
Cash Conversion Cycle 8 days – –

Income Statement

MetricUSFDIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $40.13B $5.07B 2/5
Operating Income $1.26B $3M 2/7
Net Income $728M $2M 2/7
SG&A Expense $5.75B – –
Cost of Goods Sold $33.09B $2.04B 2/6

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricUSFDIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 216M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$4.45B31.0% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$56M0.4% of assets
Accounts Receivable$2.23B15.5% of assets
Inventory$1.70B11.9% of assets
Total Liabilities$10.06B70.2% of assets
Short-term Debt$1.12B7.8% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

USFD quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Wholesale-Groceries & Related Products

Us Foods Holding Corp. (USFD) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Us Foods Holding Corp. (Wholesale-Groceries & Related Products): 7 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
USFD Us Foods Holding Corp. ▼ $21.18B 29.1x 5.0x
SYY Sysco Corp ▶ $37.86B 21.6x 14.2x
DPZ Dominos Pizza Inc ▶ $9.80B 16.1x –
HFFG Hf Foods Group Inc. ▶ $86M – 0.4x
RAVE Rave Restaurant Group, Inc. ▲ $31M 11.6x 1.9x
CUEN Cuentas Inc. ▶ N/A – –
WTER Alkaline Water Co Inc ▼ N/A – –

Where USFD sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Wholesale-Groceries & Related Products
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News

Us Foods Holding Corp. (USFD) stock news

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FAQ

Us Foods Holding Corp. (USFD) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Us Foods Holding Corp. (USFD) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Us Foods Holding Corp. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Us Foods Holding Corp. stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for USFD is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Us Foods Holding Corp. forecasts updated?

Us Foods Holding Corp. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Us Foods Holding Corp.'s industry peers?

7 issuers in our coverage, USFD included, share the SEC industry code Wholesale-Groceries & Related Products. The largest are: Sysco Corp (SYY), Dominos Pizza Inc (DPZ), Hf Foods Group Inc. (HFFG), Rave Restaurant Group, Inc. (RAVE), Cuentas Inc. (CUEN), Alkaline Water Co Inc (WTER).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.