Vital Farms, Inc. (VITL) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Vital Farms, Inc. (VITL) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Vital Farms, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Vital Farms, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $401M. It ranks number 10 by market capitalization among the 19 Food and Kindred Products issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for VITL is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-14 signals)
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How VITL ranks among 4004 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Vital Farms, Inc. (VITL) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Food and Kindred Products peers listed below that report each metric.
Reported net income does not reconcile with earnings per share and the share count, so net-income-based ratios are withheld.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | VITL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $401M | 10/19 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.41x | 8/13 |
| EPS | $0.36 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $6.61 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $17.83 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-2.94 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | VITL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | 0.1% | 8/13 |
| Gross Margin | 28.1% | 8/15 |
| Operating Margin | 0.0% | 8/14 |
| EBT Margin | 0.2% | 7/15 |
| Tax Rate | 91.0% | – |
The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.
Financial Health
| Metric | VITL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.10x | 9/16 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.60x | 8/14 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.77x | 11/15 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.77x | 11/15 |
| Interest Coverage | -138.0x | 16/17 |
| Working Capital | $15M | 8/15 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | VITL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$17M | 16/17 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$126M | 7/7 |
| Capital Spending | -$109M | 4/7 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -157.1% | 9/9 |
| FCF/Sales | -16.5% | 6/7 |
| CapEx/Sales | 14.3% | 1/7 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | VITL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.53x | 2/9 |
| Receivables Turnover | 15.1x | 1/8 |
| Inventory Turnover | 7.5x | 3/12 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 4.0x | 6/8 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 24 days | 8/8 |
| Days Inventory | 49 days | 10/12 |
| Payables Period | 37 days | 6/12 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 36 days | 6/8 |
Income Statement
| Metric | VITL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $765M | 7/9 |
| Operating Income | $0.00M | 7/15 |
| SG&A Expense | $173M | 9/13 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $550M | 9/17 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | VITL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 43M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $163M | 32.4% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $21M | 4.2% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $51M | 10.1% of assets |
| Inventory | $74M | 14.7% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $218M | 43.4% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $91M | 18.2% of assets |
VITL quarterly financials and insider trading
Vital Farms, Inc. (VITL) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Vital Farms, Inc. (Food and Kindred Products): 22 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| VITL Vital Farms, Inc. | ▲ | $401M |
| MDLZ Mondelez International, Inc. | ▼ | $78.94B |
| OTLY Oatly Group Ab | ▶ | $6.79B |
| CAG Conagra Brands Inc. | ▼ | $6.56B |
| CPB Campbell's Co | ▲ | $5.65B |
| NOMD Nomad Foods Ltd | ▶ | $1.63B |
| FLO Flowers Foods Inc | ▶ | $1.27B |
| BRBR Bellring Brands, Inc. | ▲ | $990M |
| SMPL Simply Good Foods Co | ▲ | $933M |
| OFRM Once Upon A Farm, Pbc | ▲ | $688M |
| BGS B&G Foods, Inc. | ▲ | $198M |
| BYND Beyond Meat, Inc. | ▲ | $124M |
| GWLL Goldenwell Biotech, Inc. | ▼ | $68M |
| HAIN Hain Celestial Group Inc | ▲ | $52M |
| BOF Branchout Food Inc. | ▲ | $38M |
| LSF Laird Superfood, Inc. | ▲ | $31M |
| BRLS Borealis Foods Inc. | ▶ | $24M |
| TRWD Tradewinds Universal | ▼ | $1M |
| CHSN Chanson International Holding | ▼ | $410K |
| NXMH Next Meats Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | N/A |
| SOWG Sow Good Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
| STKH Steakholder Foods Ltd. | ▼ | N/A |
Where VITL sits on the market map
Vital Farms, Inc. (VITL) stock news
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Vital Farms, Inc. (VITL) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Vital Farms, Inc. (VITL) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Vital Farms, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Vital Farms, Inc. stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for VITL is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Vital Farms, Inc. forecasts updated?
Vital Farms, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.
Which companies are Vital Farms, Inc.'s industry peers?
22 issuers in our coverage, VITL included, share the SEC industry code Food and Kindred Products. The largest are: Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ), Oatly Group Ab (OTLY), Conagra Brands Inc. (CAG), Campbell's Co (CPB), Nomad Foods Ltd (NOMD), Flowers Foods Inc (FLO).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.