Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Warner Music Group Corp. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Warner Music Group Corp. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $15.12B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 17 Services-Amusement & Recreation Services issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for WMG is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)
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How WMG ranks among 5379 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Amusement & Recreation Services peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | WMG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $15.12B | 3/17 |
| P/E Ratio | 22.50x | – |
| Dividend Yield | 2.64% | – |
| Revenue/Share | $13.96 | – |
| FCF/Share | $1.60 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | WMG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.6% | 3/11 |
| ROIC | 53.5% | 2/17 |
| Gross Margin | 45.8% | 5/10 |
| Operating Margin | 19.9% | 4/18 |
| Net Margin | 9.6% | 3/11 |
| EBT Margin | 17.4% | 3/18 |
| Tax Rate | 23.8% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | WMG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.73x | 12/20 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.72x | – |
| Interest Coverage | 6.6x | 4/17 |
| Working Capital | -$1.18B | 17/19 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | WMG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $939M | 3/18 |
| Free Cash Flow | $836M | 2/7 |
| Capital Spending | -$103M | 5/7 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 25.0% | 4/7 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 37.7% | 2/5 |
| FCF/Sales | 11.4% | 3/7 |
| CapEx/Sales | 1.4% | 4/7 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | WMG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.16x | 3/13 |
| Receivables Turnover | 4.5x | 7/9 |
| Inventory Turnover | 57.4x | – |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 17.6x | 5/11 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 80 days | 3/9 |
| Days Inventory | 6 days | – |
| Payables Period | 33 days | 6/8 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 54 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | WMG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $7.30B | 2/13 |
| Operating Income | $1.00B | 2/18 |
| Net Income | $480M | 1/11 |
| SG&A Expense | $1.88B | 3/11 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $3.96B | 1/9 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | WMG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $0.76 | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 523M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $3.26B | 51.6% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $618M | 9.8% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $1.61B | 25.5% of assets |
| Inventory | $69M | 1.1% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $6.48B | 102.7% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $4.09B | 64.8% of assets |
WMG quarterly financials and insider trading
Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Warner Music Group Corp. (Services-Amusement & Recreation Services): 21 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| WMG Warner Music Group Corp. | ▲ | $15.12B |
| LYV Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. | ▼ | $40.37B |
| TKO Tko Group Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $32.91B |
| LLYVA Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $8.79B |
| SPHR Sphere Entertainment Co. | ▶ | $3.68B |
| ACEL Accel Entertainment, Inc. | ▶ | $917M |
| RSVR Reservoir Media, Inc. | ▲ | $632M |
| ROLR High Roller Technologies, Inc. | ▲ | $52M |
| GAME Gamesquare Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $41M |
| GLXZ Galaxy Gaming, Inc. | ▶ | $39M |
| AIFA All In Futuretech Alliance, Inc. | ▶ | $31M |
| NOMA Nomadar Corp. | ▼ | $23M |
| SFRX Seafarer Exploration Corp | ▶ | $22M |
| ADTI Adapti, Inc. | ▶ | $19M |
| SSGC Safespace Global Corp | ▲ | $15M |
| APHP American Picture House Corp | ▲ | $6M |
| FLZH Flash Sports & Media Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $3M |
| BOTY Lingerie Fighting Championships, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
| GMBL Esports Entertainment Group, Inc. | ▶ | N/A |
| LUCK Lucky Strike Entertainment Corp | ▲ | N/A |
| SPQS Sportsquest, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
Where WMG sits on the market map
Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG) stock news
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Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Warner Music Group Corp. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Warner Music Group Corp. stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for WMG is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Warner Music Group Corp. forecasts updated?
Warner Music Group Corp. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.
Which companies are Warner Music Group Corp.'s industry peers?
21 issuers in our coverage, WMG included, share the SEC industry code Services-Amusement & Recreation Services. The largest are: Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (LYV), Tko Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO), Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. (LLYVA), Sphere Entertainment Co. (SPHR), Accel Entertainment, Inc. (ACEL), Reservoir Media, Inc. (RSVR).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.