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Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM) AI Forecast

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Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM) Stock Forecast 2025


Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM) AI Stock Price Forecast & Investment Analysis

Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. Stock Price Chart and Technical Analysis

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Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM) - Comprehensive Stock Analysis & Investment Research

Deep dive into Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc.'s business profile, financial performance, AI predictions, and competitive positioning to make informed investment decisions.

Analysis updated on July 28, 2026, 10:47 p.m. (UTC)

Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. Investment Summary

When evaluating whether Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM) represents a compelling investment opportunity, investors must consider multiple factors including the company's financial health, market position, growth prospects, and what our AI-powered predictive models suggest about its near-term price trajectory.

Company Profile

Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM) operates within the Technology sector, specifically in the Services-Prepackaged Software industry. . With a market capitalization of $3 billion, the company is a mid-cap stock that typically offers a balance between growth potential and established business operations.

Financial Performance Analysis

Our comprehensive financial analysis covers Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc.'s revenue, profitability metrics, balance sheet strength, and cash flow generation...

AI Price Predictions

Get AI-powered 7-day, 30-day and 90-day price forecasts for Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. along with confidence scores and detailed analysis...

Investment Considerations

Expert analysis of whether Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. is suitable for your investment objectives, risk tolerance, and time horizon...

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Corporate Identity

Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. (Stock Symbol: ALRM) is a prominent company operating within the Technology sector, with a specific focus on the Services-Prepackaged Software industry. The company's shares are publicly traded on the Nasdaq exchange.

Leadership & Workforce

Detailed information about Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc.'s leadership team, workforce size, and organizational structure...

Market Classification

Market capitalization analysis and stock classification (mega-cap, large-cap, mid-cap, small-cap) for Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc....

Sector & Industry Analysis

In-depth sector dynamics and industry context for Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc....

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Revenue & Growth Analysis

Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. generates annual revenues of $1 billion , indicating a well-established business with proven market demand.

Profitability Metrics

Net profit margin, gross margin, and operating margin analysis for Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc....

Market Valuation

P/E ratio, price-to-book, and valuation multiples for Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc....

Return Metrics

Return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), and capital efficiency for Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc....

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Strategic Market Position

Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. strategically competes in the highly dynamic Services-Prepackaged Software marketplace. As a mid-cap company, it occupies an attractive position balancing growth potential with established operations. Mid-caps often represent the 'sweet spot' for investors seeking companies that have proven their business models but still have meaningful runway for expansion. These companies are large enough to have competitive advantages but nimble enough to adapt quickly to market changes.

Industry Competitive Landscape

Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. operates within the fast-evolving technology sector where competitive dynamics are shaped by innovation cycles, platform economics, and network effects. Technology companies must continuously invest in R&D to maintain relevance, while also defending against disruption from startups and adjacent market entrants. Success in this sector often requires achieving critical scale or establishing defensible intellectual property positions.

Operational Efficiency

The company shows positive operational efficiency through free cash flow generation of $169 million annually . Positive free cash flow indicates the business generates more cash than required for operations and capital investments, providing resources for growth initiatives or shareholder returns.

Asset Utilization Efficiency

Asset turnover ratio of 0.63x indicates moderate asset turnover common in capital-intensive industries such as utilities, real estate, or heavy manufacturing. Lower turnover in these sectors is expected due to the significant infrastructure required for operations.

Financial Strength & Leverage

Current ratio of 5.16 demonstrates strong short-term liquidity with current assets significantly exceeding current liabilities. This provides a substantial buffer for meeting near-term obligations and handling unexpected financial needs.

Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM) Fundamental Analysis & Insider Trading Data (Quarterly Financial Reports)

Comprehensive quarterly financial data, earnings trends, insider transactions, and institutional holdings for Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. stock analysis.

Deep dive into Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc.'s financial health, valuation metrics, and operational efficiency to make informed investment decisions.

Understanding Valuation Metrics

What these metrics mean: Valuation metrics help determine if Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. stock is fairly priced compared to its earnings, assets, and market position.

How to read them: Lower P/E ratios may indicate undervalued stocks, while higher ratios suggest growth expectations. P/B ratio compares market value to book value.

For Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc.: With a P/E ratio of 21.00, the market moderately values the company's earnings.

P/E Ratio 21.00x
P/B Ratio 3.13x
Market Cap $2.69B
EPS $-20.12
Book Value/Share $17.41
Revenue/Share $21.01
FCF/Share $3.42
Understanding Profitability Metrics

What these metrics mean: These ratios measure how efficiently Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. converts revenue into profit and generates returns for shareholders.

How to read them: Higher ROE/ROA indicate better management efficiency. Margin percentages show profit at different operational levels.

For Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc.: An ROE of 2.6% indicates room for improvement in shareholder value creation.

ROE 2.6%
ROA 1.4%
ROIC 2.5%
Operating Margin 29.5%
Net Margin 17.4%
EBT Margin 29.1%
Tax Rate 40.1%
Understanding Financial Health Metrics

What these metrics mean: These ratios assess Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc.'s ability to meet short-term obligations and manage debt levels effectively.

How to read them: Current ratio >2 is generally good, Quick ratio >1 shows strong liquidity. Lower D/E ratios indicate conservative debt management.

For Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc.: A current ratio of 5.16 indicates strong liquidity.

Current Ratio 5.16x
Quick Ratio 4.55x
D/E Ratio 0.86x
Financial Leverage 1.91x
Interest Coverage 3.1x
Working Capital $646M
Understanding Cash Flow Metrics

What these metrics mean: Cash flow metrics reveal Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc.'s ability to generate cash from operations and fund growth initiatives.

How to read them: Positive operating cash flow is crucial. Free cash flow shows money available for dividends, buybacks, or investments.

For Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc.: Free cash flow of $169M provides flexibility for shareholder returns and growth investments.

Operating Cash Flow $31M
Free Cash Flow $169M
Capital Spending $138M
FCF/Sales 16.3%
CapEx/Sales 13.3%
Understanding Operational Efficiency Metrics

What these metrics mean: These ratios measure how effectively Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. uses its assets and manages working capital.

How to read them: Higher turnover ratios indicate efficient asset utilization. Shorter collection periods show effective credit management.

For Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc.: An asset turnover of 0.63x suggests room for improvement in asset utilization.

Asset Turnover 0.63x
Receivables Turnover 7.4x
Inventory Turnover 1.6x
Fixed Assets Turnover 16.5x
Days Sales Outstanding 50 days
Days Inventory 233 days
Payables Period 69 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 214 days
Understanding Financial Statement Data

What these metrics mean: Key figures from Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc.'s income statement and balance sheet showing absolute financial performance.

How to read them: Revenue shows business scale, while margins indicate profitability. Balance sheet items reveal financial structure.

For Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc.: With annual revenue of $1037M, Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. operates at significant scale.

Income Statement
Total Revenue $1.04B
Operating Income $37M
Net Income $22M
R&D Expense $67M
SG&A Expense $140M
Cost of Goods Sold $149M
Balance Sheet Highlights (% Of Assets)
Total Current Assets 801%
Cash & Short-term Investments 497%
Total Liabilities 740%
Short-term Debt 127%
Accounts Receivable 141%
Inventory 95%
Dividend & Shareholder Information
Shares Outstanding 49M
Growth Metrics (YoY)
Net Income Growth 17.4%
EPS Growth -36.9%

Latest Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. Stock News & Market Analysis

Breaking news, analyst reports, and market updates affecting Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM) stock price and investment outlook.

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Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. Competitors & Peer Analysis - Technology Sector

Comparative analysis of Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. against industry peers and competitors in the Technology sector, featuring AI-powered forecasts and key financial metrics.

Company Ticker Symbol 90-Day AI Forecast Market Cap (USD M) P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
ADBE ██% $99.42B 13.8x 8.6x
ADSK ██% $50.09B 34.2x 15.7x
AEYE ██% $75M x 23.7x
AI ██% $1.25B x 1.9x
AIFF ██% $16M x 2.0x
AISP ██% $66M 13.6x x
AITX ██% $3M x x
ALAR ██% $13M x x
ALKT ██% $1.93B x 5.3x
ALRM ██% $2.69B 21.0x 3.1x
AMPL ██% $1.17B x 5.4x
AMST ██% $6M x 4.3x
APCX ██% $11M x 36.1x
API ██% $333M x 0.5x
APPF ██% $6.31B 40.1x 12.0x
APPN ██% $2.01B 2271.4x x
ARQQ ██% $305M x x
ASAN ██% $1.95B x 14.2x
ASFT ██% $1M x x
ATDS ██% N/A x x
ATHR ██% $44M x 18.8x
AUID ██% $11M x 2.1x
AVPT ██% $2.74B 58.7x 6.2x
AWRE ██% $24M x 1.1x
BAND ██% $1.66B x 4.1x
BB ██% $4.74B 108.7x 6.3x
BBAI ██% $1.32B x 1.7x
BCAR ██% $233M 26.9x x
BILL ██% $4.60B x 1.2x
BKYI ██% $5M x 1.1x
BL ██% $1.81B 68.2x 5.9x
BLIN ██% $15M x 1.6x
BLKB ██% $1.60B 11.3x 46.3x
BLZE ██% $730M x 8.6x
BMR ██% $19M x 1.2x
BNZI ██% $7M x 0.9x
BOX ██% $4.38B 17.2x x
BRZE ██% $2.60B x 4.5x
BSY ██% $10.54B 37.4x 8.6x
CCC ██% $3.61B 2141.3x 2.0x
CCLD ██% $95M 9.7x 1.6x
CCSI ██% $686M 7.8x 31.2x
CDNS ██% $93.39B 79.8x 14.2x
CERT ██% $1.19B x 1.2x
CGNT ██% $655M x 3.2x
CHKP ██% $14.02B 6.6x 4.9x
CLBT ██% $3.64B 23.2x 7.5x
CLOQ ██% $25M x x
CLPS ██% $26M x x
CMRC ██% $233M x 5.0x
COUR ██% $1.61B x 2.5x
CRM ██% $158.92B 19.6x 4.6x
CRNC ██% $374M x 2.4x
CRWD ██% $183.40B x 39.6x
CRWV ██% $37.31B x 7.8x
CTGL ██% $10M x x
CVLT ██% $6.17B 87.3x 822.8x
CWAN ██% $7.24B x 3.5x
CXAI ██% $12M x x
CXM ██% $1.46B 51.0x 3.0x
CYAB ██% $4M x x
DBX ██% $7.53B 15.9x x
DCBO ██% $512M x x
DDD ██% $430M 6.9x 1.8x
DDOG ██% $88.98B 655.8x 22.3x
DH ██% $71M x 0.5x
DOMO ██% $165M x x
DPLS ██% $890K x x
DSGX ██% $6.11B 18.7x 3.8x
DSNY ██% $3M x 2.0x
DT ██% $12.88B 79.2x 4.9x
DTSS ██% $8M x 2.2x
DUOL ██% $6.51B 15.4x 4.7x
DUOT ██% $238M x 2.2x
EA ██% $52.47B 59.2x 7.8x
EBZT ██% $3M x 4.5x
EGAN ██% $191M 5.0x 2.1x
ESTC ██% $6.41B 17.4x 5.0x
EVCM ██% $2.15B 66.1x 3.0x
EXFY ██% $170M x 1.2x
FATN ██% $73M 14.7x 2.9x
FDCT ██% $15M 25.5x 0.4x
FDCTD ██% $16M 26.8x 0.5x
FIG ██% $12.12B x 8.3x
FNGR ██% $17M x 1.2x
FROG ██% $9.84B x 10.7x
FRSH ██% $3.07B 17.0x 3.0x
FRSX ██% $3M x 0.5x
FSLY ██% $3.13B x 3.2x
GDYN ██% $514M 77.5x 1.0x
GEG ██% $65M x 1.6x
GEN ██% $15.99B 16.4x 6.1x
GHST ██% $4M x x
GLBE ██% $6.38B x 6.8x
GMER ██% $710K x x
GNS ██% $30M x x
GTIC ██% $2M x x
GTLB ██% $5.59B x 5.7x
GTM ██% $912M 7.2x 0.6x
GWRE ██% $12.58B 70.3x 9.6x
GXAI ██% $11M x 0.7x
HPAI ██% $17M x 1.0x
HUBS ██% $11.59B 115.6x 5.8x
IDAI ██% $11M x 1.5x
IDN ██% $73M 33.0x 3.4x
IFBD ██% $9M x 0.1x
IIIV ██% $577M 36.4x 1.8x
IMAA ██% $160K x x
INLX ██% $24M x 2.3x
INSE ██% $192M x x
INTA ██% $2.27B x 7.1x
ITOX ██% $290K x x
IVDA ██% $3M x 0.4x
KC ██% $2.97B x 0.3x
KLTR ██% $215M x 46.4x
KOAN ██% $170K x x
KVYO ██% $5.40B x 4.7x
LIVG ██% $520K x 0.0x
LPSN ██% $20M x x
LSPD ██% $1.35B x x
MANH ██% $9.42B 43.5x 45.9x
MAPS ██% $59M 39.8x 1.0x
MBLY ██% $2.02B x 0.3x
MDB ██% $25.01B x 8.5x
MFON ██% $3M x x
MNDY ██% $3.47B 14.6x 2.8x
MQ ██% $1.85B 853.6x 2.5x
MRDN ██% $174M x 3.6x
MSFT ██% $2.89T 23.1x 7.0x
MSGM ██% $18M 3.0x 2.6x
MTC ██% $291M x x
MYPS ██% $78M x 0.4x
MYSZ ██% $2M x 0.5x
NABL ██% $823M x 1.0x
NAVN ██% $6.56B x 5.3x
NCNO ██% $1.92B 144.8x 2.0x
NET ██% $93.66B x 61.4x
NICE ██% $5.74B x 1.5x
NTNX ██% $15.37B 90.5x x
NTSK ██% $4.82B x 27.5x
NTWK ██% $51M x 1.4x
NXNT ██% $12M x 97.7x
NYAX ██% $2.60B x x
OKTA ██% $24.21B 98.0x 3.5x
OPRA ██% $1.69B x x
ORCL ██% $345.31B 20.2x 8.1x
PATH ██% $6.08B 18.6x 3.2x
PAYC ██% $7.05B 15.0x 8.7x
PCOR ██% $7.02B x 5.9x
PCTY ██% $6.97B 27.0x 5.9x
PD ██% $768M 4.1x 3.5x
PDFS ██% $1.90B 265.2x 6.8x
PDYN ██% $244M x 3.5x
PLTR ██% $315.29B 138.2x 37.3x
PNXP ██% $40K x x
PRCH ██% $1.35B x x
PRGS ██% $1.60B 17.9x 3.2x
PTC ██% $14.46B 11.6x 3.8x
QLYS ██% $4.77B 23.7x 8.4x
QTWO ██% $3.64B 49.3x 6.0x
QUBT ██% $1.79B x 1.1x
QXL ██% $63M x 2.9x
RBLX ██% $34.66B x 80.2x
RBRK ██% $15.24B x x
RCAT ██% $1.19B x 5.0x
RDVT ██% $889M 63.1x 8.5x
RPD ██% $642M 25.0x 3.7x
RPMT ██% $78M x x
S ██% $6.11B x 4.3x
SAIL ██% $8.70B x 1.3x
SAP ██% $220.63B x x
SEGG ██% $14M x 0.4x
SHOP ██% $171.05B 128.4x 13.7x
SKIL ██% $60M x x
SKKY ██% $27M x 31.8x
SMSI ██% $14M x 0.8x
SNAL ██% $46M x 4.6x
SNPS ██% $74.47B 96.3x 2.4x
SOUN ██% $2.55B x 5.5x
SPSC ██% $2.43B 26.7x 2.5x
SPT ██% $513M x 2.4x
SSNC ██% $18.67B 23.1x 2.7x
SSTI ██% $109M x 1.6x
SVCO ██% $232M x 3.0x
SVMB ██% $555M x x
TAOP ██% $7M x 0.4x
TDC ██% $2.74B 6.5x 4.9x
TEAM ██% $25.51B x 29.0x
TENB ██% $3.65B x 14.7x
TTAN ██% $7.52B x 4.8x
TTWO ██% $45.56B x 13.0x
TWLO ██% $29.35B 282.3x 3.8x
TYL ██% $13.64B 43.2x 3.8x
UPLD ██% $13M x x
UPYY ██% N/A x x
VEEV ██% $32.94B 35.0x 4.5x
VIIQ ██% $3M x 0.1x
VPRB ██% $11M 10.2x x
VRNS ██% $5.30B x 11.7x
VTEX ██% $747M x 3.2x
VWAV ██% $65M x 0.7x
WBSR ██% $8M x x
WEAV ██% $549M x 6.6x
WFCF ██% $61M 38.1x 6.6x
WHEN ██% N/A x x
WIMI ██% $21M x 0.0x
WK ██% $3.38B 238.0x x
XYZ ██% $49.41B 61.2x 2.3x
XZO ██% $1.52B 11.0x 5.5x
ZDGE ██% $40M x 1.6x
ZETA ██% $5.19B x 5.9x
ZPTA ██% $157M 14.7x x
ZSPC ██% $770K x x
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Frequently Asked Questions - Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. Stock Forecast

How accurate are Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. stock predictions?

Our AI model shows a -18% Spearman correlation coefficient for ALRM predictions, based on advanced machine learning algorithms trained on over 10 years of market data. This measures the strength of the monotonic relationship between predicted and actual price movements.

What factors influence Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. stock price forecasts?

Our analysis considers Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc.'s financial metrics, Technology sector trends, market sentiment, technical indicators, earnings data, and macroeconomic factors affecting stock performance.

Is Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. a good investment in 2025?

Based on our AI analysis, Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. shows potential for various market scenarios. Consider your risk tolerance, investment timeline, and portfolio diversification before making investment decisions.

How often are Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. forecasts updated?

Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. stock forecasts are updated daily using real-time market data, ensuring you receive the most current AI-powered predictions and investment insights.

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