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Churchill Downs Inc (CHDN) AI Forecast

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Churchill Downs Inc (CHDN) Stock Forecast 2025


Churchill Downs Inc (CHDN) AI Stock Price Forecast & Investment Analysis

Churchill Downs Inc Stock Price Chart and Technical Analysis

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Churchill Downs Inc (CHDN) - Comprehensive Stock Analysis & Investment Research

Deep dive into Churchill Downs Inc's business profile, financial performance, AI predictions, and competitive positioning to make informed investment decisions.

Analysis updated on March 14, 2026, 2:08 p.m. (UTC)

Churchill Downs Inc Investment Summary

When evaluating whether Churchill Downs Inc (CHDN) represents a compelling investment opportunity, investors must consider multiple factors including the company's financial health, market position, growth prospects, and what our AI-powered predictive models suggest about its near-term price trajectory.

Company Profile

Churchill Downs Inc (CHDN) operates within the Trade & Services sector, specifically in the Services-Racing, Including Track Operation industry. The company employs approximately 719 people. With a market capitalization of $6 billion, the company is a mid-cap stock that typically offers a balance between growth potential and established business operations.

Financial Performance Analysis

Our comprehensive financial analysis covers Churchill Downs Inc's revenue, profitability metrics, balance sheet strength, and cash flow generation...

AI Price Predictions

Get AI-powered 7-day, 30-day and 90-day price forecasts for Churchill Downs Inc along with confidence scores and detailed analysis...

Investment Considerations

Expert analysis of whether Churchill Downs Inc is suitable for your investment objectives, risk tolerance, and time horizon...

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Corporate Identity

Churchill Downs Inc (Stock Symbol: CHDN) is a prominent company operating within the Trade & Services sector, with a specific focus on the Services-Racing, Including Track Operation industry. The company's shares are publicly traded on the Nasdaq exchange.

Leadership & Workforce

Detailed information about Churchill Downs Inc's leadership team, workforce size, and organizational structure...

Market Classification

Market capitalization analysis and stock classification (mega-cap, large-cap, mid-cap, small-cap) for Churchill Downs Inc...

Sector & Industry Analysis

In-depth sector dynamics and industry context for Churchill Downs Inc...

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Revenue & Growth Analysis

Churchill Downs Inc generates annual revenues of $3 billion , indicating a well-established business with proven market demand.

Profitability Metrics

Net profit margin, gross margin, and operating margin analysis for Churchill Downs Inc...

Market Valuation

P/E ratio, price-to-book, and valuation multiples for Churchill Downs Inc...

Return Metrics

Return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), and capital efficiency for Churchill Downs Inc...

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Strategic Market Position

Churchill Downs Inc strategically competes in the highly dynamic Services-Racing, Including Track Operation marketplace. As a mid-cap company, it occupies an attractive position balancing growth potential with established operations. Mid-caps often represent the 'sweet spot' for investors seeking companies that have proven their business models but still have meaningful runway for expansion. These companies are large enough to have competitive advantages but nimble enough to adapt quickly to market changes.

Industry Competitive Landscape

Churchill Downs Inc competes within the Trade & Services sector, navigating the competitive dynamics and market forces specific to this industry. The company's competitive position depends on its ability to differentiate through product quality, cost efficiency, customer relationships, or other strategic advantages relevant to its specific market segment.

Operational Efficiency

The company shows positive operational efficiency through free cash flow generation of $356 million annually , with year-over-year cash flow growth of -51.0%. Positive free cash flow indicates the business generates more cash than required for operations and capital investments, providing resources for growth initiatives or shareholder returns.

Margin & Pricing Power Analysis

The company maintains a 449.0% gross margin which reflects exceptional pricing power and/or an asset-light business model. Gross margins at this level are typically seen in software, pharmaceuticals, or luxury goods companies where the cost of incremental production is minimal relative to selling prices. Such margins indicate significant competitive advantages protecting the company from price-based competition.

Operating margin of 118.2% demonstrates how efficiently the company converts revenues into operating profits after accounting for all operating expenses including research and development, sales and marketing, and general administrative costs. This strong operating margin indicates excellent cost control and efficient organizational structure relative to the revenue base.

Asset Utilization Efficiency

Asset turnover ratio of 0.56x indicates moderate asset turnover common in capital-intensive industries such as utilities, real estate, or heavy manufacturing. Lower turnover in these sectors is expected due to the significant infrastructure required for operations.

Financial Strength & Leverage

Current ratio of 1.20 indicates adequate liquidity to meet short-term obligations with reasonable cushion. This level balances working capital efficiency with financial safety.

Churchill Downs Inc (CHDN) Fundamental Analysis & Insider Trading Data (Quarterly Financial Reports)

Comprehensive quarterly financial data, earnings trends, insider transactions, and institutional holdings for Churchill Downs Inc stock analysis.

Deep dive into Churchill Downs Inc's financial health, valuation metrics, and operational efficiency to make informed investment decisions.

Understanding Valuation Metrics

What these metrics mean: Valuation metrics help determine if Churchill Downs Inc stock is fairly priced compared to its earnings, assets, and market position.

How to read them: Lower P/E ratios may indicate undervalued stocks, while higher ratios suggest growth expectations. P/B ratio compares market value to book value.

For Churchill Downs Inc: With a P/E ratio of 15.69, the market moderately values the company's earnings.

P/E Ratio 15.69x
P/B Ratio 5.95x
Market Cap $6.01B
Dividend Yield 0.34%
EPS $5.54
Book Value/Share $14.51
Revenue/Share $42.04
FCF/Share $-2.35
Understanding Profitability Metrics

What these metrics mean: These ratios measure how efficiently Churchill Downs Inc converts revenue into profit and generates returns for shareholders.

How to read them: Higher ROE/ROA indicate better management efficiency. Margin percentages show profit at different operational levels.

For Churchill Downs Inc: An ROE of 98.1% demonstrates excellent shareholder value creation.

ROE 98.1%
ROA 8.8%
ROIC 14.3%
Gross Margin 449.0%
Operating Margin 118.2%
Net Margin 31.6%
EBT Margin 21.4%
Tax Rate 27.1%
Understanding Financial Health Metrics

What these metrics mean: These ratios assess Churchill Downs Inc's ability to meet short-term obligations and manage debt levels effectively.

How to read them: Current ratio >2 is generally good, Quick ratio >1 shows strong liquidity. Lower D/E ratios indicate conservative debt management.

For Churchill Downs Inc: A current ratio of 1.20 shows adequate liquidity.

Current Ratio 1.20x
Quick Ratio 0.93x
D/E Ratio 6.17x
Financial Leverage 9.55x
Interest Coverage 5.0x
Working Capital -$189M
Understanding Cash Flow Metrics

What these metrics mean: Cash flow metrics reveal Churchill Downs Inc's ability to generate cash from operations and fund growth initiatives.

How to read them: Positive operating cash flow is crucial. Free cash flow shows money available for dividends, buybacks, or investments.

For Churchill Downs Inc: Free cash flow of $356M provides flexibility for shareholder returns and growth investments.

Operating Cash Flow $491M
Free Cash Flow $356M
Capital Spending -$135M
OCF Growth YoY -51.0%
FCF Growth YoY 161.0%
FCF/Sales 21.7%
CapEx/Sales 8.3%
Understanding Operational Efficiency Metrics

What these metrics mean: These ratios measure how effectively Churchill Downs Inc uses its assets and manages working capital.

How to read them: Higher turnover ratios indicate efficient asset utilization. Shorter collection periods show effective credit management.

For Churchill Downs Inc: An asset turnover of 0.56x suggests room for improvement in asset utilization.

Asset Turnover 0.56x
Receivables Turnover 35.9x
Fixed Assets Turnover 1.6x
Days Sales Outstanding 10 days
Payables Period 27 days
Understanding Financial Statement Data

What these metrics mean: Key figures from Churchill Downs Inc's income statement and balance sheet showing absolute financial performance.

How to read them: Revenue shows business scale, while margins indicate profitability. Balance sheet items reveal financial structure.

For Churchill Downs Inc: With annual revenue of $2925M, Churchill Downs Inc operates at significant scale.

Income Statement
Total Revenue $2.92B
R&D Expense $10M
SG&A Expense $9M
Cost of Goods Sold $72M
Balance Sheet Highlights (% Of Assets)
Total Current Assets 17%
Cash & Short-term Investments 10%
Total Liabilities 90%
Short-term Debt 0%
Accounts Receivable 3%
Dividend & Shareholder Information
Dividends Per Share $0.67
Payout Ratio 10.2%
Shares Outstanding 70M
Growth Metrics (YoY)
EPS Growth 0.8%

Latest Churchill Downs Inc Stock News & Market Analysis

Breaking news, analyst reports, and market updates affecting Churchill Downs Inc (CHDN) stock price and investment outlook.

📰 We are currently updating our news feed for Churchill Downs Inc. Check back soon for the latest market analysis and company updates.

Churchill Downs Inc Competitors & Peer Analysis - Trade & Services Sector

Comparative analysis of Churchill Downs Inc against industry peers and competitors in the Trade & Services sector, featuring AI-powered forecasts and key financial metrics.

Company Ticker Symbol 90-Day AI Forecast Market Cap (USD M) P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
Churchill Downs Inc CHDN ██% $6.01B 15.7x 6.0x
Canterbury Park Holding Corp CPHC ██% $81M 25.0x 1.0x
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Frequently Asked Questions - Churchill Downs Inc Stock Forecast

How accurate are Churchill Downs Inc stock predictions?

Our AI model shows a 8500% Spearman correlation coefficient for CHDN predictions, based on advanced machine learning algorithms trained on over 10 years of market data. This measures the strength of the monotonic relationship between predicted and actual price movements.

What factors influence Churchill Downs Inc stock price forecasts?

Our analysis considers Churchill Downs Inc's financial metrics, Trade & Services sector trends, market sentiment, technical indicators, earnings data, and macroeconomic factors affecting stock performance.

Is Churchill Downs Inc a good investment in 2025?

Based on our AI analysis, Churchill Downs Inc shows potential for various market scenarios. Consider your risk tolerance, investment timeline, and portfolio diversification before making investment decisions.

How often are Churchill Downs Inc forecasts updated?

Churchill Downs Inc stock forecasts are updated daily using real-time market data, ensuring you receive the most current AI-powered predictions and investment insights.

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