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Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) AI Forecast

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Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) Stock Forecast 2025


Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) AI Stock Price Forecast & Investment Analysis

Ulta Beauty, Inc. Stock Price Chart and Technical Analysis

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Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) - Comprehensive Stock Analysis & Investment Research

Deep dive into Ulta Beauty, Inc.'s business profile, financial performance, AI predictions, and competitive positioning to make informed investment decisions.

Analysis updated on March 3, 2026, 1:35 p.m. (UTC)

Ulta Beauty, Inc. Investment Summary

When evaluating whether Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) represents a compelling investment opportunity, investors must consider multiple factors including the company's financial health, market position, growth prospects, and what our AI-powered predictive models suggest about its near-term price trajectory.

Company Profile

Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) operates within the Trade & Services sector, specifically in the Retail-Retail Stores, NEC industry. The company employs approximately 24,999 people. With a market capitalization of $31 billion, the company is a large-cap stock offering relative stability combined with growth potential.

Financial Performance Analysis

Our comprehensive financial analysis covers Ulta Beauty, Inc.'s revenue, profitability metrics, balance sheet strength, and cash flow generation...

AI Price Predictions

Get AI-powered 7-day, 30-day and 90-day price forecasts for Ulta Beauty, Inc. along with confidence scores and detailed analysis...

Investment Considerations

Expert analysis of whether Ulta Beauty, Inc. is suitable for your investment objectives, risk tolerance, and time horizon...

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Corporate Identity

Ulta Beauty, Inc. (Stock Symbol: ULTA) is a prominent company operating within the Trade & Services sector, with a specific focus on the Retail-Retail Stores, NEC industry. The company's shares are publicly traded on the Nasdaq exchange.

Leadership & Workforce

Detailed information about Ulta Beauty, Inc.'s leadership team, workforce size, and organizational structure...

Market Classification

Market capitalization analysis and stock classification (mega-cap, large-cap, mid-cap, small-cap) for Ulta Beauty, Inc....

Sector & Industry Analysis

In-depth sector dynamics and industry context for Ulta Beauty, Inc....

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Revenue & Growth Analysis

Ulta Beauty, Inc. generates annual revenues of $12 billion , demonstrating substantial market presence and operational scale.

Profitability Metrics

Net profit margin, gross margin, and operating margin analysis for Ulta Beauty, Inc....

Market Valuation

P/E ratio, price-to-book, and valuation multiples for Ulta Beauty, Inc....

Return Metrics

Return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), and capital efficiency for Ulta Beauty, Inc....

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Strategic Market Position

Ulta Beauty, Inc. strategically competes in the highly dynamic Retail-Retail Stores, NEC marketplace. As a large-cap market participant, the company has established significant competitive advantages and market presence. Large-cap companies typically benefit from brand recognition, operational scale, diverse revenue streams, and the financial resources to invest in research and development, marketing, and strategic acquisitions. This size category attracts substantial institutional ownership and analyst coverage.

Industry Competitive Landscape

Ulta Beauty, Inc. competes within the Trade & Services sector, navigating the competitive dynamics and market forces specific to this industry. The company's competitive position depends on its ability to differentiate through product quality, cost efficiency, customer relationships, or other strategic advantages relevant to its specific market segment.

Operational Efficiency

The company shows positive operational efficiency through free cash flow generation of $947 million annually , with year-over-year cash flow growth of -26.4%. Positive free cash flow indicates the business generates more cash than required for operations and capital investments, providing resources for growth initiatives or shareholder returns.

Margin & Pricing Power Analysis

The company maintains a 35.0% gross margin reflecting moderate pricing power typical of many manufacturing, retail, or service businesses. While not exceptionally high, these margins provide adequate room for operating expenses and profit generation. Competitive pressures or cost increases could impact profitability if margins compress.

Operating margin of 10.1% demonstrates how efficiently the company converts revenues into operating profits after accounting for all operating expenses including research and development, sales and marketing, and general administrative costs. This healthy operating margin shows balanced investment in growth functions while maintaining reasonable profitability.

Asset Utilization Efficiency

Asset turnover ratio of 1.79x indicates exceptional efficiency in utilizing company assets to generate revenue. High asset turnover is characteristic of retail, distribution, or service businesses that operate with relatively lean asset bases. This efficiency translates to higher returns on invested capital when combined with reasonable margins.

Financial Strength & Leverage

Current ratio of 1.58 indicates adequate liquidity to meet short-term obligations with reasonable cushion. This level balances working capital efficiency with financial safety.

Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) Fundamental Analysis & Insider Trading Data (Quarterly Financial Reports)

Comprehensive quarterly financial data, earnings trends, insider transactions, and institutional holdings for Ulta Beauty, Inc. stock analysis.

Deep dive into Ulta Beauty, Inc.'s financial health, valuation metrics, and operational efficiency to make informed investment decisions.

Understanding Valuation Metrics

What these metrics mean: Valuation metrics help determine if Ulta Beauty, Inc. stock is fairly priced compared to its earnings, assets, and market position.

How to read them: Lower P/E ratios may indicate undervalued stocks, while higher ratios suggest growth expectations. P/B ratio compares market value to book value.

For Ulta Beauty, Inc.: With a P/E ratio of 26.00, the market highly values future growth prospects.

P/E Ratio 26.00x
P/B Ratio 11.75x
Market Cap $30.94B
EPS $26.14
Book Value/Share $59.17
Revenue/Share $269.25
FCF/Share $11.09
Understanding Profitability Metrics

What these metrics mean: These ratios measure how efficiently Ulta Beauty, Inc. converts revenue into profit and generates returns for shareholders.

How to read them: Higher ROE/ROA indicate better management efficiency. Margin percentages show profit at different operational levels.

For Ulta Beauty, Inc.: An ROE of 60.6% demonstrates excellent shareholder value creation.

ROE 60.6%
ROA 21.5%
ROIC 29.7%
Gross Margin 35.0%
Operating Margin 10.1%
Net Margin 6.0%
EBT Margin 15.8%
Tax Rate 23.9%
Understanding Financial Health Metrics

What these metrics mean: These ratios assess Ulta Beauty, Inc.'s ability to meet short-term obligations and manage debt levels effectively.

How to read them: Current ratio >2 is generally good, Quick ratio >1 shows strong liquidity. Lower D/E ratios indicate conservative debt management.

For Ulta Beauty, Inc.: A current ratio of 1.58 shows adequate liquidity.

Current Ratio 1.58x
Quick Ratio 0.53x
D/E Ratio 0.90x
Financial Leverage 2.87x
Interest Coverage 334.2x
Working Capital $1.17B
Understanding Cash Flow Metrics

What these metrics mean: Cash flow metrics reveal Ulta Beauty, Inc.'s ability to generate cash from operations and fund growth initiatives.

How to read them: Positive operating cash flow is crucial. Free cash flow shows money available for dividends, buybacks, or investments.

For Ulta Beauty, Inc.: Free cash flow of $947M provides flexibility for shareholder returns and growth investments.

Operating Cash Flow $1.16B
Free Cash Flow $947M
Capital Spending -$208M
OCF Growth YoY -26.4%
FCF Growth YoY -18.0%
FCF/Sales 10.5%
CapEx/Sales 2.3%
Understanding Operational Efficiency Metrics

What these metrics mean: These ratios measure how effectively Ulta Beauty, Inc. uses its assets and manages working capital.

How to read them: Higher turnover ratios indicate efficient asset utilization. Shorter collection periods show effective credit management.

For Ulta Beauty, Inc.: An asset turnover of 1.79x demonstrates efficient asset utilization.

Asset Turnover 1.79x
Receivables Turnover 52.1x
Inventory Turnover 3.8x
Fixed Assets Turnover 3.7x
Days Sales Outstanding 7 days
Days Inventory 97 days
Payables Period 38 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 66 days
Understanding Financial Statement Data

What these metrics mean: Key figures from Ulta Beauty, Inc.'s income statement and balance sheet showing absolute financial performance.

How to read them: Revenue shows business scale, while margins indicate profitability. Balance sheet items reveal financial structure.

For Ulta Beauty, Inc.: With annual revenue of $11982M, Ulta Beauty, Inc. operates at significant scale.

Income Statement
Total Revenue $11.98B
Operating Income $156M
Net Income $93M
SG&A Expense $23M
Cost of Goods Sold $1.00B
Balance Sheet Highlights (% Of Assets)
Total Current Assets 51%
Cash & Short-term Investments 13%
Total Liabilities 65%
Accounts Receivable 4%
Inventory 31%
Dividend & Shareholder Information
Dividends Per Share $1.00
Shares Outstanding 45M
Growth Metrics (YoY)
EPS Growth 0.2%

Latest Ulta Beauty, Inc. Stock News & Market Analysis

Breaking news, analyst reports, and market updates affecting Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) stock price and investment outlook.

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Ulta Beauty, Inc. Competitors & Peer Analysis - Trade & Services Sector

Comparative analysis of Ulta Beauty, Inc. against industry peers and competitors in the Trade & Services sector, featuring AI-powered forecasts and key financial metrics.

Company Ticker Symbol 90-Day AI Forecast Market Cap (USD M) P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
Alpine Auto Brokers Inc. ALTB ██% $5.38B x x
Bark, Inc. BARK ██% $140M -11.5x 1.7x
Bath & Body Works, Inc. BBWI ██% $4.52B 6.5x -4.6x
1 800 Flowers Com Inc FLWS ██% $217M -23.6x 0.8x
High Tide Inc. HITI ██% $220M x x
Jd.Com, Inc. JD ██% $39.14B x 0.5x
Jd.Com, Inc. JDCMF ██% $45.04B x 0.6x
Leslie's, Inc. LESL ██% $10M 63.5x -0.3x
Newegg Commerce, Inc. NEGG ██% $904M x 26.0x
Novelstem International Corp. NSTM ██% $470K 0.2x 0.3x
Rent The Runway, Inc. RENT ██% $200M 18.9x 28.2x
Regenerative Medical Technology Group Inc. RMTG ██% $470K x 0.1x
Samsara Luggage, Inc. SAML ██% $30K x 0.0x
Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. SBH ██% $1.56B 8.7x 1.9x
Star Group, L.P. SGU ██% $434M 5.9x 1.4x
Titan Machinery Inc. TITN ██% $455M 6.1x 0.7x
Tokyo Lifestyle Co., Ltd. TKLF ██% $12M x 0.3x
Ulta Beauty, Inc. ULTA ██% $30.94B 26.0x 11.8x
Petco Health & Wellness Company, Inc. WOOF ██% $711M -0.8x 0.6x
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Frequently Asked Questions - Ulta Beauty, Inc. Stock Forecast

How accurate are Ulta Beauty, Inc. stock predictions?

Our AI model shows a -6% Spearman correlation coefficient for ULTA predictions, based on advanced machine learning algorithms trained on over 10 years of market data. This measures the strength of the monotonic relationship between predicted and actual price movements.

What factors influence Ulta Beauty, Inc. stock price forecasts?

Our analysis considers Ulta Beauty, Inc.'s financial metrics, Trade & Services sector trends, market sentiment, technical indicators, earnings data, and macroeconomic factors affecting stock performance.

Is Ulta Beauty, Inc. a good investment in 2025?

Based on our AI analysis, Ulta Beauty, Inc. shows potential for various market scenarios. Consider your risk tolerance, investment timeline, and portfolio diversification before making investment decisions.

How often are Ulta Beauty, Inc. forecasts updated?

Ulta Beauty, Inc. stock forecasts are updated daily using real-time market data, ensuring you receive the most current AI-powered predictions and investment insights.

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