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Stock comparison · Signal date 2026-11-03

AFG vs THG: stock comparison and AI forecast

American Financial Group Inc (AFG) and Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. (THG) compared on price performance, valuation, profitability and the daily AI forecast. · Alpha · vs market

Share
NYSE · Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance

AFG American Financial Group Inc

Price
$155.17 +18.1% · 6M
Market Cap
$12.87B
P/E Ratio
13.6x
Size
large-cap
AI Forecast
Full analysis →
NYSE · Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance

THG Hanover Insurance Group, Inc.

Price
$248.40 +35.5% · 6M
Market Cap
$8.65B
P/E Ratio
11.9x
Size
mid-cap
AI Forecast
Full analysis →
Model output

Which one does the AI model favor?

Intratio's model scores both stocks every trading day. Sign in to see their current direction; the exact ratings and forecasts come with a plan or a free follow slot.

6M · 2026-05-04 → 2026-11-03

Six-month price performance

Closing prices rebased to 100 at the start of the window.

100110120130
AFG +18.1% THG +35.5%
AFG · THG

Key facts

  • AFG is 1.5 times larger than THG by market capitalization ($12.87B against $8.65B).
  • THG trades at 11.9 times trailing earnings, AFG at 13.6 times.
  • Over the last six months THG returned +35.5% and AFG +18.1%.
  • AFG turns 11.5% of its revenue into net income, against 11.0% for THG.
  • AFG carries 5.85 times debt per unit of equity, against 3.95 times for THG.
  • AFG yields 8.79% in dividends and THG 1.54%.
  • Both companies share the SEC industry classification Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance.
Fundamentals

Fundamentals side by side

Trailing twelve months.

Valuation & Market

MetricAFGTHG
Market Cap$12.87B$8.65B
P/E Ratio13.55x11.89x
P/B Ratio2.67x2.51x
Dividend Yield8.79%1.54%
EPS$11.45$20.90
Book Value/Share$58.14$98.84
Revenue/Share$99.83$196.29
FCF/Share–$35.03

Profitability & Margins

MetricAFGTHG
ROE19.8%21.8%
ROA2.9%4.4%
Operating Margin14.5%15.2%
Net Margin11.5%11.0%
EBT Margin15.2%14.0%
Tax Rate19.8%22.1%

Financial Health

MetricAFGTHG
D/E Ratio5.85x3.95x
Financial Leverage6.85x4.95x
Interest Coverage13.2x24.4x

Cash Flow

MetricAFGTHG
Operating Cash Flow$1.57B$1.23B
Free Cash Flow–$1.22B
Capital Spending–-$9M
OCF Growth YoY-6.0%21.3%
FCF Growth YoY–21.5%
FCF/Sales–17.9%
CapEx/Sales–0.1%

Operational Efficiency

MetricAFGTHG
Asset Turnover0.25x0.40x

Income Statement

MetricAFGTHG
Total Revenue$8.28B$6.83B
Operating Income$1.20B$1.04B
Net Income$953M$750M
SG&A Expense$2.11B–

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricAFGTHG
Dividends Per Share$13.64$3.83
Payout Ratio119.1%18.3%
Shares Outstanding83M35M
Net Income Growth24.7%18.6%
EPS Growth25.8%20.8%
FAQ

AFG vs THG: stock comparison and AI forecast

Which is bigger, AFG or THG?

AFG is 1.5 times larger than THG by market capitalization ($12.87B against $8.65B).

Which is cheaper on earnings, AFG or THG?

THG trades at 11.9 times trailing earnings, AFG at 13.6 times.

Which stock performed better over the last six months, AFG or THG?

Over the last six months THG returned +35.5% and AFG +18.1%.

Which one does Intratio's AI model rank higher, AFG or THG?

Intratio's model scores both stocks every trading day. Sign in to see their current direction; the exact ratings and forecasts come with a plan or a free follow slot.

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This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.