Adtran Holdings, Inc. (ADTN) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Adtran Holdings, Inc. (ADTN) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 14, 2026, ADTN is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 4004 stocks scored that day.
Adtran Holdings, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $567M. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 9 Telephone & Telegraph Apparatus issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for ADTN is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.6%, strong sell < -1.7% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-14 signals)
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How ADTN ranks among 4004 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Adtran Holdings, Inc. (ADTN) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Telephone & Telegraph Apparatus peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | ADTN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $567M | 3/9 |
| P/B Ratio | 4.38x | 4/7 |
| EPS | $-0.41 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $1.59 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $17.01 | – |
| FCF/Share | $0.70 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | ADTN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -28.8% | 6/7 |
| ROA | -3.2% | 5/8 |
| ROIC | -0.7% | 5/6 |
| Gross Margin | 38.4% | 3/8 |
| Operating Margin | -0.4% | 5/8 |
| Net Margin | -2.7% | 5/7 |
| EBT Margin | -1.4% | 5/8 |
| Tax Rate | -35.0% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | ADTN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.79x | 6/8 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.19x | 6/7 |
| D/E Ratio | 5.11x | 1/7 |
| Financial Leverage | 8.88x | 1/7 |
| Interest Coverage | -2.4x | 4/6 |
| Working Capital | $273M | 3/8 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | ADTN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $93M | 3/9 |
| Free Cash Flow | $57M | 2/5 |
| Capital Spending | -$36M | 3/5 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -43.7% | 5/5 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -60.1% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 4.1% | 3/5 |
| CapEx/Sales | 2.6% | 3/5 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | ADTN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.21x | 1/5 |
| Receivables Turnover | 6.7x | 2/5 |
| Inventory Turnover | 4.1x | 3/7 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 11.3x | 4/5 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 54 days | 4/5 |
| Days Inventory | 89 days | 4/7 |
| Payables Period | 72 days | 1/6 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 71 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | ADTN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $1.39B | 3/6 |
| Operating Income | -$5M | 8/9 |
| Net Income | -$37M | 8/8 |
| R&D Expense | $257M | 2/6 |
| SG&A Expense | $282M | 2/8 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $853M | 3/8 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | ADTN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 81M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $618M | 53.7% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $79M | 6.9% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $206M | 17.9% of assets |
| Inventory | $209M | 18.2% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $661M | 57.5% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $175M | 15.3% of assets |
ADTN quarterly financials and insider trading
Adtran Holdings, Inc. (ADTN) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Adtran Holdings, Inc. (Telephone & Telegraph Apparatus): 9 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Adtran Holdings, Inc. (ADTN) stock news
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Adtran Holdings, Inc. (ADTN) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Adtran Holdings, Inc. (ADTN) stock forecast?
On Oct. 14, 2026, ADTN is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 4004 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Adtran Holdings, Inc. stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for ADTN is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Adtran Holdings, Inc. forecasts updated?
Adtran Holdings, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.
Which companies are Adtran Holdings, Inc.'s industry peers?
9 issuers in our coverage, ADTN included, share the SEC industry code Telephone & Telegraph Apparatus. The largest are: Ciena Corp (CIEN), Fabrinet (FN), Clearfield, Inc. (CLFD), Audiocodes Ltd (AUDC), Franklin Wireless Corp (FKWL), Clearone Inc (CLRO).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.