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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-13

Ciena Corp (CIEN) Stock Forecast Oct. 13, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 13, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
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30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $56.78B large-cap · #1 of 9 peers
Summary

Ciena Corp (CIEN) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Ciena Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Ciena Corp is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $56.78B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 9 Telephone & Telegraph Apparatus issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for CIEN is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, CIEN included.

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Price

CIEN price chart and AI forecast

CIEN
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How CIEN ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Ciena Corp (CIEN) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Telephone & Telegraph Apparatus peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricCIENIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $56.78B $311M 1/9
P/E Ratio 86.77x – –
P/B Ratio 18.58x 4.38x 1/7
EPS $4.85 – –
Book Value/Share $21.56 – –
Revenue/Share $42.46 – –
FCF/Share $5.74 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricCIENIndustry medianRank
ROE 21.4% -2.9% 1/7
ROA 8.2% -3.0% 3/8
ROIC 11.2% 6.2% 3/6
Gross Margin 44.1% 28.2% 2/8
Operating Margin 12.3% 0.9% 1/8
Net Margin 10.9% 8.8% 2/7
EBT Margin 12.1% 2.8% 1/8
Tax Rate 9.8% – –

Financial Health

MetricCIENIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 3.80x 2.24x 2/8
Quick Ratio 3.17x 1.95x 2/7
D/E Ratio 1.62x 0.59x 2/7
Financial Leverage 2.62x 1.59x 2/7
Interest Coverage 17.0x 3.4x 2/6
Working Capital $3.88B $128M 1/8

Cash Flow

MetricCIENIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $1.05B $19M 1/9
Free Cash Flow $814M $16M 1/5
Capital Spending -$240M -$36M 4/5
OCF Growth YoY 34.5% -21.8% 2/5
FCF Growth YoY 34.5% – –
FCF/Sales 13.5% 4.1% 1/5
CapEx/Sales 4.0% 2.6% 2/5

Operational Efficiency

MetricCIENIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.75x 1.06x 4/5
Receivables Turnover 4.9x 5.9x 4/5
Inventory Turnover 3.9x 4.0x 5/7
Fixed Assets Turnover 12.2x 12.2x 3/5
Days Sales Outstanding 75 days 62 days 2/5
Days Inventory 95 days 89 days 2/7
Payables Period 71 days 43 days 2/6
Cash Conversion Cycle 98 days – –

Income Statement

MetricCIENIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $6.02B $758M 1/6
Operating Income $738M $1M 1/9
Net Income $654M -$6M 1/8
R&D Expense $925M $40M 1/6
SG&A Expense $1.28B $70M 1/8
Cost of Goods Sold $3.37B $91M 2/8

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricCIENIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 142M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$5.26B65.8% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$2.45B30.6% of assets
Accounts Receivable$1.23B15.4% of assets
Inventory$872M10.9% of assets
Total Liabilities$4.94B61.8% of assets
Short-term Debt$732M9.2% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

CIEN quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Telephone & Telegraph Apparatus

Ciena Corp (CIEN) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Ciena Corp (Telephone & Telegraph Apparatus): 9 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
CIEN Ciena Corp ▲ $56.78B 86.8x 18.6x
FN Fabrinet ▶ $15.33B 32.4x 6.3x
ADTN Adtran Holdings, Inc. ▶ $567M – 4.4x
CLFD Clearfield, Inc. ▲ $442M – 1.8x
AUDC Audiocodes Ltd ▲ $311M – 1.8x
FKWL Franklin Wireless Corp ▶ $27M – 0.9x
CLRO Clearone Inc ▲ $11M – –
VPLM Voip-Pal.Com Inc ▼ $11M – 5.0x
SONM Dna X, Inc. ▼ $5M – –

Where CIEN sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Telephone & Telegraph Apparatus
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News

Ciena Corp (CIEN) stock news

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FAQ

Ciena Corp (CIEN) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Ciena Corp (CIEN) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Ciena Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Ciena Corp stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for CIEN is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Ciena Corp forecasts updated?

Ciena Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 13, 2026.

Which companies are Ciena Corp's industry peers?

9 issuers in our coverage, CIEN included, share the SEC industry code Telephone & Telegraph Apparatus. The largest are: Fabrinet (FN), Adtran Holdings, Inc. (ADTN), Clearfield, Inc. (CLFD), Audiocodes Ltd (AUDC), Franklin Wireless Corp (FKWL), Clearone Inc (CLRO).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.