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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-13

Amazon Com Inc (AMZN) Stock Forecast Oct. 13, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 13, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 44.0% Spearman, 358 dates
Market Cap $2.79T mega-cap · #1 of 20 peers
Summary

Amazon Com Inc (AMZN) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Amazon Com Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Amazon Com Inc is a mega-cap company with a market capitalization of $2.79T. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 20 Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its ROE of 24.5% is the highest of the 10 peers that report one. Its Net Margin of 17.4% is the highest of the 12 peers that report one.

For AMZN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 44.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-07-07 and 2026-06-26 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 16.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-07 and 2026-08-25. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

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Price

AMZN price chart and AI forecast

AMZN
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How AMZN ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Amazon Com Inc (AMZN) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricAMZNIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $2.79T $604M 1/20
P/E Ratio 20.62x 24.52x 5/5
P/B Ratio 5.06x 3.75x 4/14
EPS $12.43 – –
Book Value/Share $51.14 – –
Revenue/Share $71.91 – –
FCF/Share $-1.08 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricAMZNIndustry medianRank
ROE 24.5% -8.9% 1/10
ROA 12.3% -6.6% 2/13
ROIC 11.0% -8.8% 6/17
Gross Margin 50.8% 43.7% 8/17
Operating Margin 12.1% -2.2% 1/18
Net Margin 17.4% -4.2% 1/12
EBT Margin 17.4% -2.6% 1/18
Tax Rate 29.3% – –

Financial Health

MetricAMZNIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.03x 1.15x 11/18
Quick Ratio 0.87x 0.78x 7/14
D/E Ratio 0.99x 1.88x 11/16
Financial Leverage 1.99x 2.88x 11/16
Interest Coverage 23.8x -1.8x 5/18
Working Capital $7.99B $12M 1/17

Cash Flow

MetricAMZNIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $161.40B $32M 1/18
Free Cash Flow -$11.62B $20M 15/15
Capital Spending -$173.03B -$15M 15/15
OCF Growth YoY 33.2% 30.3% 4/9
FCF Growth YoY -186.2% -3.3% 8/8
FCF/Sales -1.5% 1.5% 13/15
CapEx/Sales 22.3% 1.1% 1/15

Operational Efficiency

MetricAMZNIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.71x 1.80x 15/15
Receivables Turnover 8.8x 56.5x 13/14
Inventory Turnover 10.0x 6.8x 5/14
Fixed Assets Turnover 1.8x 38.2x 16/16
Days Sales Outstanding 41 days 6 days 2/14
Days Inventory 36 days 54 days 10/14
Payables Period 141 days 47 days 2/15
Cash Conversion Cycle -63 days 41 days 10/10

Income Statement

MetricAMZNIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $775.68B $1.22B 1/16
Operating Income $93.71B -$8M 1/18
Net Income $135.28B -$7M 1/13
Cost of Goods Sold $381.87B $599M 1/17

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricAMZNIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 10786M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$249.26B22.7% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$78.21B7.1% of assets
Accounts Receivable$88.09B8.0% of assets
Inventory$38.18B3.5% of assets
Total Liabilities$544.07B49.7% of assets
Short-term Debt$93.83B8.6% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

AMZN quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses

Amazon Com Inc (AMZN) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Amazon Com Inc (Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses): 23 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
AMZN Amazon Com Inc ▼ $2.79T 20.6x 5.1x
CPNG Coupang, Inc. ▲ $27.18B – 9.1x
CHWY Chewy, Inc. ▶ $7.92B 28.9x –
NSIT Insight Enterprises Inc ▶ $5.16B 24.5x 3.2x
GCT Gigacloud Technology Inc ▲ $4.07B – 7.6x
PTRN Pattern Group Inc. ▶ $3.05B – 4.7x
RVLV Revolve Group, Inc. ▶ $1.53B 21.1x 2.8x
JMIA Jumia Technologies Ag ▶ $1.46B – –
LUXE Luxexperience B.V. ▲ $1.33B – –
LITB Lightinthebox Holding Co., Ltd. ▲ $651M – –
HNST Honest Company, Inc. ▲ $557M – 3.3x
SFIX Stitch Fix, Inc. ▲ $327M – 4.2x
TDUP Thredup Inc. ▲ $303M – 5.0x
NXH Neighborhood Intelligence, Inc. ▲ $155M – 0.7x
DIBS 1stdibs.Com, Inc. ▲ $123M – 1.7x
AKA A.K.A. Brands Holding Corp. ▶ $113M – 1.2x
HOUR Hour Loop, Inc ▲ $59M 33.8x 6.7x
GROV Grove Collaborative Holdings, Inc. ▲ $43M – –
GIFT Giftify, Inc. ▲ $19M – 0.9x
AMZE Amaze Holdings, Inc. ▼ $340K – –
DDL Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd ▼ N/A – –
IPSI Innovative Payment Solutions, Inc. ▼ N/A – –
UZX Linkage Global Inc ▼ N/A – –

Where AMZN sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses
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News

Amazon Com Inc (AMZN) stock news

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FAQ

Amazon Com Inc (AMZN) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Amazon Com Inc (AMZN) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Amazon Com Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Amazon Com Inc stock predictions?

For AMZN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 44.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-07-07 and 2026-06-26 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 16.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-07 and 2026-08-25. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Amazon Com Inc forecasts updated?

Amazon Com Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 13, 2026.

Which companies are Amazon Com Inc's industry peers?

23 issuers in our coverage, AMZN included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses. The largest are: Coupang, Inc. (CPNG), Chewy, Inc. (CHWY), Insight Enterprises Inc (NSIT), Gigacloud Technology Inc (GCT), Pattern Group Inc. (PTRN), Revolve Group, Inc. (RVLV).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.