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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-15

Bilibili Inc. (BILI) Stock Forecast Oct. 15, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 15, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5111 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 29.0% Spearman, 358 dates
Market Cap $5.96B mid-cap · #8 of 60 peers
Summary

Bilibili Inc. (BILI) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Bilibili Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Bilibili Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $5.96B. It ranks number 8 by market capitalization among the 60 Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For BILI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 29.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-07-28 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 10.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-28 and 2026-09-15. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.5% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-15 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, BILI included.

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Price

BILI price chart and AI forecast

BILI
Cross-section · 2026-10-15

How BILI ranks among 5111 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2024-12-31

Bilibili Inc. (BILI) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in CNY and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).

Valuation & Market

MetricBILIIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $5.96B $1.04B 8/60
P/B Ratio 42.87x 3.53x 4/46
EPS $-0.14 – –
Book Value/Share $0.33 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricBILIIndustry medianRank
Gross Margin 66.1% 62.1% 19/40
Operating Margin -40.9% 4.8% 38/46
EBT Margin -40.9% 3.6% 39/47
Tax Rate -1.2% – –

Financial Health

MetricBILIIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 1.12x 1.12x 25/49
Interest Coverage -15.1x 0.9x 37/45

Cash Flow

MetricBILIIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $35M $152M 33/49

Income Statement

MetricBILIIndustry medianRank
Operating Income -$55M $33M 38/48
R&D Expense $52M $107M 22/30
SG&A Expense $120M $403M 33/44
Cost of Goods Sold $246M $238M 19/41

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricBILIIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 418M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from CNY)

Total Liabilities$155M52.7% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

BILI quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation

Bilibili Inc. (BILI) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Bilibili Inc. (Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
BILI Bilibili Inc. ▼ $5.96B – 42.9x
ADP Automatic Data Processing Inc ▼ $113.48B 26.1x 18.8x
WDAY Workday, Inc. ▶ $45.49B 36.4x 18.3x
RDDT Reddit, Inc. ▲ $28.52B 33.5x 8.7x
VRSK Verisk Analytics, Inc. ▼ $23.66B 24.8x –
TOST Toast, Inc. ▲ $17.25B 35.5x 8.4x
HNGE Hinge Health, Inc. ▲ $8.47B 18.0x 24.6x
RNG Ringcentral, Inc. ▲ $6.28B 95.2x 98.9x
APLD Applied Digital Corp. ▼ $5.92B – 3.7x
PEGA Pegasystems Inc ▲ $5.56B 16.6x 9.9x
QBTS D-Wave Quantum Inc. ▼ $4.44B – 4.1x
JOYY Joyy Inc. ▼ $4.19B – 92.7x
LIF Life360, Inc. ▶ $3.39B 23.7x 5.5x
FA First Advantage Corp ▶ $3.26B – 2.5x
LFTO Liftoff Mobile, Inc. ▶ $2.70B – –
CARG Cargurus, Inc. ▲ $2.67B 16.1x 10.1x
FIVN Five9, Inc. ▲ $2.47B 68.9x 3.2x
ATHM Autohome Inc. ▶ $2.40B 132.3x 5.8x
RAMP Liveramp Holdings, Inc. ▼ $2.29B 15.7x 1.7x
INFQ Infleqtion, Inc. ▼ $2.05B – 3.6x
DXC Dxc Technology Co ▶ $2.04B 17.3x 0.7x
EVTC Evertec, Inc. ▼ $1.85B 18.5x 2.9x
INOD Innodata Inc ▲ $1.83B 47.0x 11.5x
GLOB Globant S.A. ▲ $1.62B 2.8x –
TRVG Trivago N.V. ▲ $1.41B – 6.6x
HAWK Hawkeye 360, Inc. ▼ $1.21B – 1.5x
GDRX Goodrx Holdings, Inc. ▶ $1.15B 48.3x 1.8x
SHAZ Sharonai Holdings Inc. ▼ $1.11B – 1.0x
CLVT Clarivate Plc ▲ $1.07B – 0.2x
UPWK Upwork, Inc ▲ $1.05B 10.3x 1.7x
LZ Legalzoom.Com, Inc. ▶ $1.03B 54.5x 8.1x
PLTK Playtika Holding Corp. ▲ $782M – –
BRUN Boost Run Inc. ▼ $767M – –
TASK Taskus, Inc. ▲ $746M 7.0x 2.5x
YEXT Yext, Inc. ▲ $690M – 19.4x
DDI Doubledown Interactive Co., Ltd. ▼ $676M – –
NRDS Nerdwallet, Inc. ▲ $610M 15.9x 1.9x
IBEX Ibex Ltd ▲ $594M 14.3x 3.5x
OOMA Ooma Inc ▲ $549M 124.3x 5.6x
CARS Cars.Com Inc. ▲ $531M 21.5x 1.2x
SOPH Sophia Genetics Sa ▲ $484M – –
GRVY Gravity Co., Ltd. ▼ $462M – –
GLOO Gloo Holdings, Inc. ▲ $306M – –
EGHT 8x8 Inc /De/ ▲ $290M 67.0x 2.0x
FCCN Spectral Capital Corp ▲ $273M – 4.8x
AIAI Aiai Holdings Corp ▲ $218M – 0.2x
FIRY Firy Inc. ▲ $186M – 2.2x
SSTK Shutterstock, Inc. ▶ $149M – 0.4x
TRAK Repositrak, Inc. ▲ $139M 15.5x 2.8x
QMLS Qumulusai, Inc. ▼ $125M – –
TCX Tucows Inc /Pa/ ▲ $107M – –
BHIC Bioscience Health Innovations, Inc. ▶ $80M – 43.4x
DTCX Datacentrex, Inc. ▼ $62M – 0.8x
VERI Veritone, Inc. ▲ $59M – 1.6x
CAST Freecast, Inc. ▶ $42M – 18.7x
PHUN Phunware, Inc. ▲ $42M – 0.5x
SJ Scienjoy Holding Corp ▲ $41M – –
BIRD Smartbird, Inc. ▲ $28M – –
AVAI Avai Bio, Inc. ▼ $18M – –
DTST Data Storage Corp ▼ $7M – 0.7x

Where BILI sits on the market map

Technology · Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation
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News

Bilibili Inc. (BILI) stock news

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FAQ

Bilibili Inc. (BILI) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Bilibili Inc. (BILI) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Bilibili Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Bilibili Inc. stock predictions?

For BILI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 29.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-07-28 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 10.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-28 and 2026-09-15. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Bilibili Inc. forecasts updated?

Bilibili Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 15, 2026.

Which companies are Bilibili Inc.'s industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, BILI included, share the SEC industry code Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation. The largest are: Automatic Data Processing Inc (ADP), Workday, Inc. (WDAY), Reddit, Inc. (RDDT), Verisk Analytics, Inc. (VRSK), Toast, Inc. (TOST), Hinge Health, Inc. (HNGE).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.