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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-13

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc (COLL) Stock Forecast Oct. 13, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 13, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $701M small-cap · #60 of 60 peers
Summary

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc (COLL) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 13, 2026, COLL is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $701M. It ranks number 60 by market capitalization among the 60 Pharmaceutical Preparations issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for COLL is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, COLL included.

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Price

COLL price chart and AI forecast

COLL
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How COLL ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc (COLL) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Pharmaceutical Preparations peers listed below that report each metric.

Reported net income does not reconcile with earnings per share and the share count, so net-income-based ratios are withheld.

Valuation & Market

MetricCOLLIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $701M $12.02B 60/60
P/B Ratio 2.25x 7.75x 40/43
EPS $0.93 – –
Book Value/Share $9.58 – –
Revenue/Share $24.83 – –
FCF/Share $10.08 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricCOLLIndustry medianRank
ROIC 10.2% -5.8% 8/41
Gross Margin 60.0% 76.1% 22/29
Operating Margin 19.5% 4.4% 10/33
EBT Margin 9.6% 7.8% 19/40
Tax Rate 38.3% – –

Financial Health

MetricCOLLIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.03x 3.27x 48/50
Quick Ratio 0.84x 1.92x 34/37
D/E Ratio 5.85x 1.06x 3/43
Financial Leverage 6.85x 2.06x 3/43
Interest Coverage 0.3x 0.5x 20/36
Working Capital $18M $1.12B 48/50

Cash Flow

MetricCOLLIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $330M $131M 20/49
Free Cash Flow $328M $131M 17/39
Capital Spending -$2M -$29M 10/39
OCF Growth YoY 62.1% 9.7% 6/28
FCF Growth YoY 62.7% 6.6% 5/25
FCF/Sales 40.6% 16.8% 4/34
CapEx/Sales 0.2% 2.5% 31/34

Operational Efficiency

MetricCOLLIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.38x 0.44x 24/38
Receivables Turnover 2.8x 5.1x 28/34
Inventory Turnover 2.9x 1.4x 5/27
Fixed Assets Turnover 75.9x 6.8x 10/37
Days Sales Outstanding 129 days 71 days 7/34
Days Inventory 128 days 263 days 23/27
Payables Period 10 days 169 days 23/23
Cash Conversion Cycle 246 days 232 days 10/21

Income Statement

MetricCOLLIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $808M $1.56B 25/39
Operating Income $157M -$40M 12/41
SG&A Expense $328M $1.01B 29/35
Cost of Goods Sold $323M $905M 17/27

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricCOLLIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 33M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$608M28.5% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$129M6.1% of assets
Accounts Receivable$285M13.3% of assets
Inventory$113M5.3% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.82B85.4% of assets
Short-term Debt$581M27.2% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

COLL quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Pharmaceutical Preparations

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc (COLL) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc (Pharmaceutical Preparations): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
COLL Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc ▶ $701M – 2.3x
LLY Eli Lilly & Co ▲ $1.10T 41.1x 111.7x
JNJ Johnson & Johnson ▼ $599.12B 28.5x 7.1x
ONC Beone Medicines Ltd. ▶ $515.98B – 99.7x
ABBV Abbvie Inc. ▼ $484.61B 76.8x –
MRK Merck & Co., Inc. ▼ $350.29B 110.4x 8.4x
NVS Novartis Ag ▼ $271.74B – –
GSK Gsk Plc ▼ $199.68B – –
ABT Abbott Laboratories ▶ $178.85B 28.6x 3.5x
PFE Pfizer Inc ▲ $161.70B 37.3x 1.9x
VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc / Ma ▼ $122.98B 27.9x 6.1x
BMY Bristol Myers Squibb Co ▼ $115.76B 12.5x 5.2x
REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▼ $77.54B 17.9x 2.5x
TEVA Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd ▶ $48.07B 68.0x 6.2x
SNY Sanofi ▼ $47.70B – –
RPRX Royalty Pharma Plc ▲ $32.53B 39.9x 4.8x
ZTS Zoetis Inc. ▼ $30.70B 11.7x 9.8x
ALNY Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▼ $29.95B – 22.1x
TAK Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd ▼ $29.46B – –
ATHE Alterity Therapeutics Ltd ▶ $26.01B – –
ZLAB Zai Lab Ltd ▼ $25.93B – 42.7x
ROIV Roivant Sciences Ltd. ▶ $24.09B – 5.7x
UTHR United Therapeutics Corp ▼ $23.31B 17.8x 3.6x
INSM Insmed Inc ▶ $21.14B – 27.9x
VTRS Viatris Inc ▶ $19.81B – –
ASND Ascendis Pharma A/S ▶ $13.83B – –
JAZZ Jazz Pharmaceuticals Plc ▶ $13.66B 14.5x 2.8x
CORT Corcept Therapeutics Inc ▲ $12.73B – 18.0x
SMMT Summit Therapeutics Inc. ▶ $12.38B – 19.7x
BBIO Bridgebio Pharma, Inc. ▲ $12.37B – –
KNSA Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International, Plc ▲ $12.25B – 20.2x
HCM Hutchmed (China) Ltd ▶ $11.78B – 9.5x
ELAN Elanco Animal Health Inc ▶ $11.20B – 1.7x
RDY Dr Reddys Laboratories Ltd ▼ $10.66B – –
BMRN Biomarin Pharmaceutical Inc ▼ $10.53B – 1.7x
MDGL Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▶ $10.45B – 20.0x
PTGX Protagonist Therapeutics, Inc ▲ $8.96B – 10.7x
CYTK Cytokinetics Inc ▶ $8.57B – –
ARWR Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▲ $8.21B – 17.6x
AXSM Axsome Therapeutics, Inc. ▼ $8.19B – 98.3x
SYRE Spyre Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $7.09B – 6.4x
IONS Ionis Pharmaceuticals Inc ▶ $7.04B – 16.0x
ABVX Abivax S.A. ▼ $6.83B – –
PRAX Praxis Precision Medicines, Inc. ▶ $6.79B – 5.1x
ALKS Alkermes Plc. ▶ $6.67B – 3.7x
LEGN Legend Biotech Corp ▶ $6.61B – –
AMRX Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▶ $6.25B – –
LGND Ligand Pharmaceuticals Inc ▼ $6.05B 30.7x 6.3x
BLTE Belite Bio, Inc ▲ $5.97B – 7.8x
RYTM Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▶ $5.96B – 57.9x
BLRX Biolinerx Ltd. ▶ $5.67B – –
MIRM Mirum Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▲ $5.17B – –
ERAS Erasca, Inc. ▲ $5.17B – 14.3x
PTCT Ptc Therapeutics, Inc. ▶ $5.00B – –
TVTX Travere Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $4.88B – 199.1x
COGT Cogent Biosciences, Inc. ▼ $4.87B – 9.2x
AMRN Amarin Corp Plc\Uk ▶ $4.86B – 11.0x
MANE Veradermics, Inc ▲ $4.86B – 6.0x
GPCR Structure Therapeutics Inc. ▲ $4.77B – 3.5x
DNTH Dianthus Therapeutics, Inc. /De/ ▲ $4.34B – 3.7x

Where COLL sits on the market map

Life Sciences · Pharmaceutical Preparations
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FAQ

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc (COLL) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc (COLL) stock forecast?

On Oct. 13, 2026, COLL is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for COLL is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc forecasts updated?

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 13, 2026.

Which companies are Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, COLL included, share the SEC industry code Pharmaceutical Preparations. The largest are: Eli Lilly & Co (LLY), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Beone Medicines Ltd. (ONC), Abbvie Inc. (ABBV), Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK), Novartis Ag (NVS).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.