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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Conocophillips (COP) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 4009 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $169.27B large-cap · #2 of 13 peers
Summary

Conocophillips (COP) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Conocophillips outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Conocophillips is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $169.27B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 13 Petroleum Refining issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Net Margin of 14.7% is the highest of the 9 peers that report one. Its Gross Margin of 62.0% is the highest of the 10 peers that report one.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for COP is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +4.5%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +2.1%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-14 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, COP included.

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Price

COP price chart and AI forecast

COP
Cross-section · 2026-10-14

How COP ranks among 4009 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Conocophillips (COP) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Petroleum Refining peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricCOPIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $169.27B $62.35B 2/13
P/E Ratio 18.24x 18.22x 4/9
P/B Ratio 2.59x 3.15x 6/10
Dividend Yield 2.40% 1.48% 2/8
EPS $7.57 – –
Book Value/Share $54.40 – –
Revenue/Share $52.73 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricCOPIndustry medianRank
ROE 14.2% 18.0% 6/8
ROA 7.5% 7.5% 5/9
Gross Margin 62.0% 5.0% 1/10
Net Margin 14.7% 4.0% 1/9
EBT Margin 23.1% 7.8% 1/9
Tax Rate 36.5% – –

Financial Health

MetricCOPIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.54x 1.32x 2/11
Quick Ratio 1.39x 0.91x 1/10
D/E Ratio 0.90x 1.43x 9/10
Financial Leverage 1.90x 2.50x 9/10
Working Capital $6.74B $3.81B 4/11

Cash Flow

MetricCOPIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $21.93B $7.18B 2/11
OCF Growth YoY 10.6% 160.7% 8/8

Operational Efficiency

MetricCOPIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.51x 1.32x 10/11
Receivables Turnover 10.9x 10.5x 4/10
Inventory Turnover 12.8x 13.3x 7/10
Fixed Assets Turnover 0.7x 2.9x 11/11
Days Sales Outstanding 33 days 35 days 7/10
Days Inventory 29 days 27 days 4/10
Payables Period 103 days 47 days 1/8
Cash Conversion Cycle -41 days 17 days 7/7

Income Statement

MetricCOPIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $63.34B $51.84B 5/11
Net Income $9.28B $4.98B 2/9
SG&A Expense $833M $1.25B 6/8
Cost of Goods Sold $24.05B $33.95B 7/10

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricCOPIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $3.39 – –
Payout Ratio 44.8% 28.9% 2/8
Shares Outstanding 1201M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$19.20B15.4% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$6.57B5.3% of assets
Accounts Receivable$5.79B4.7% of assets
Inventory$1.88B1.5% of assets
Total Liabilities$58.91B47.4% of assets
Short-term Debt$5.69B4.6% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

COP quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Petroleum Refining

Conocophillips (COP) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Conocophillips (Petroleum Refining): 15 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
COP Conocophillips ▼ $169.27B 18.2x 2.6x
CVX Chevron Corp ▼ $430.18B 20.9x 2.3x
MPC Marathon Petroleum Corp ▼ $133.95B 15.7x 5.5x
VLO Valero Energy Corp/Tx ▶ $131.43B 18.2x 5.0x
PSX Phillips 66 ▼ $116.81B 16.5x 3.7x
EQNR Equinor Asa ▼ $112.56B – –
IMO Imperial Oil Ltd ▼ $62.35B 15.0x 2.5x
YPF Ypf Sociedad Anonima ▶ $20.37B – –
PBF Pbf Energy Inc. ▲ $10.81B 8.0x 1.7x
CVI Cvr Energy Inc ▶ $6.35B 92.0x 12.1x
DK Delek Us Holdings, Inc. ▶ $4.94B 22.0x 26.5x
IEP Icahn Enterprises L.P. ▶ $4.77B – 1.2x
SUNC Sunococorp Llc ▼ $3.89B – –
BP Bp Plc ▼ N/A – –
SUN Sunoco Lp ▼ N/A – –

Where COP sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Petroleum Refining
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News

Conocophillips (COP) stock news

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FAQ

Conocophillips (COP) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Conocophillips (COP) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Conocophillips outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Conocophillips stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for COP is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Conocophillips forecasts updated?

Conocophillips forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Conocophillips's industry peers?

15 issuers in our coverage, COP included, share the SEC industry code Petroleum Refining. The largest are: Chevron Corp (CVX), Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC), Valero Energy Corp/Tx (VLO), Phillips 66 (PSX), Equinor Asa (EQNR), Imperial Oil Ltd (IMO).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.