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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Phillips 66 (PSX) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $116.81B large-cap · #5 of 13 peers
Summary

Phillips 66 (PSX) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 14, 2026, PSX is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.

Phillips 66 is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $116.81B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 13 Petroleum Refining issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for PSX is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

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Price

PSX price chart and AI forecast

PSX
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How PSX ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Phillips 66 (PSX) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Petroleum Refining peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricPSXIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $116.81B $62.35B 5/13
P/E Ratio 16.47x 17.41x 6/9
P/B Ratio 3.71x 3.15x 5/10
Dividend Yield 1.70% 1.48% 4/8
EPS $17.01 – –
Book Value/Share $78.96 – –
Revenue/Share $299.80 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricPSXIndustry medianRank
ROE 22.5% 18.0% 2/8
ROA 8.7% 7.5% 3/9
Gross Margin -10.5% 5.0% 7/10
Net Margin 5.9% 4.0% 4/9

Financial Health

MetricPSXIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.32x 1.32x 6/11
Quick Ratio 1.00x 0.91x 3/10
D/E Ratio 1.56x 1.43x 5/10
Financial Leverage 2.60x 2.50x 5/10
Interest Coverage 6.0x 4.8x 4/8
Working Capital $5.87B $3.81B 5/11

Cash Flow

MetricPSXIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $8.93B $7.18B 5/11
OCF Growth YoY 165.5% 160.7% 3/8

Operational Efficiency

MetricPSXIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.46x 1.32x 4/11
Receivables Turnover 10.2x 10.5x 6/10
Inventory Turnover 22.3x 13.3x 1/10
Fixed Assets Turnover 3.0x 2.9x 5/11
Days Sales Outstanding 36 days 35 days 5/10
Days Inventory 16 days 27 days 10/10

Income Statement

MetricPSXIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $119.63B $51.84B 3/11
Net Income $7.09B $4.98B 3/9
SG&A Expense $2.41B $1.25B 3/8
Cost of Goods Sold $132.24B $33.95B 2/10

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricPSXIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $4.97 – –
Payout Ratio 29.2% 28.9% 4/8
Shares Outstanding 399M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$24.22B29.6% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$4.10B5.0% of assets
Accounts Receivable$11.72B14.3% of assets
Inventory$5.92B7.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$49.11B60.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

PSX quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Petroleum Refining

Phillips 66 (PSX) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Phillips 66 (Petroleum Refining): 15 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
PSX Phillips 66 ▶ $116.81B 16.5x 3.7x
CVX Chevron Corp ▶ $430.18B 20.9x 2.3x
COP Conocophillips ▶ $169.27B 18.2x 2.6x
MPC Marathon Petroleum Corp ▶ $133.95B 15.7x 5.5x
VLO Valero Energy Corp/Tx ▲ $125.54B 17.4x 4.8x
EQNR Equinor Asa ▶ $112.56B – –
IMO Imperial Oil Ltd ▼ $62.35B 15.0x 2.5x
YPF Ypf Sociedad Anonima ▲ $20.44B – –
PBF Pbf Energy Inc. ▲ $10.81B 8.0x 1.7x
CVI Cvr Energy Inc ▲ $6.35B 92.0x 12.1x
DK Delek Us Holdings, Inc. ▲ $4.94B 22.0x 26.5x
IEP Icahn Enterprises L.P. ▶ $4.77B – 1.2x
SUNC Sunococorp Llc ▲ $3.89B – –
BP Bp Plc ▼ N/A – –
SUN Sunoco Lp ▲ N/A – –

Where PSX sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Petroleum Refining
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News

Phillips 66 (PSX) stock news

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FAQ

Phillips 66 (PSX) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Phillips 66 (PSX) stock forecast?

On Oct. 14, 2026, PSX is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Phillips 66 stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for PSX is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Phillips 66 forecasts updated?

Phillips 66 forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Phillips 66's industry peers?

15 issuers in our coverage, PSX included, share the SEC industry code Petroleum Refining. The largest are: Chevron Corp (CVX), Conocophillips (COP), Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC), Valero Energy Corp/Tx (VLO), Equinor Asa (EQNR), Imperial Oil Ltd (IMO).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.