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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-13

Citi Trends Inc (CTRN) Stock Forecast Oct. 13, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 13, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $414M small-cap · #1 of 6 peers
Summary

Citi Trends Inc (CTRN) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 13, 2026, CTRN is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.

Citi Trends Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $414M. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 6 Retail-Apparel & Accessory Stores issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for CTRN is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

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Price

CTRN price chart and AI forecast

CTRN
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How CTRN ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Citi Trends Inc (CTRN) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Apparel & Accessory Stores peers listed below that report each metric.

Reported net income does not reconcile with earnings per share and the share count, so net-income-based ratios are withheld.

Valuation & Market

MetricCTRNIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $414M $184M 1/6
P/B Ratio 3.32x 1.60x 1/5
EPS $-0.05 – –
Book Value/Share $14.95 – –
Revenue/Share $104.32 – –
FCF/Share $4.60 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricCTRNIndustry medianRank
ROIC 1.8% 1.8% 4/7
Gross Margin 39.8% 34.7% 3/7
Operating Margin 0.6% 0.6% 4/7
EBT Margin 0.8% 0.4% 3/7
Tax Rate 21.4% – –

Financial Health

MetricCTRNIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.13x 1.16x 5/7
Quick Ratio 0.43x 0.46x 5/7
D/E Ratio 2.91x 2.90x 3/6
Financial Leverage 3.91x 3.90x 3/6
Working Capital $24M $24M 4/7

Cash Flow

MetricCTRNIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $67M $22M 1/8
Free Cash Flow $38M – –
Capital Spending -$28M – –
OCF Growth YoY 470.4% – –
FCF/Sales 4.4% – –
CapEx/Sales 3.2% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricCTRNIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.79x – –
Inventory Turnover 4.1x 4.1x 4/7
Fixed Assets Turnover 14.8x – –
Days Inventory 88 days 88 days 4/7
Payables Period 74 days 57 days 3/6

Income Statement

MetricCTRNIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $869M – –
Operating Income $5M $2M 4/8
SG&A Expense $321M $221M 3/8
Cost of Goods Sold $523M $395M 3/7

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricCTRNIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 8M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$203M41.7% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$56M11.5% of assets
Inventory$126M26.0% of assets
Total Liabilities$362M74.4% of assets
Short-term Debt$73M15.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

CTRN quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Retail-Apparel & Accessory Stores

Citi Trends Inc (CTRN) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Citi Trends Inc (Retail-Apparel & Accessory Stores): 8 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
CTRN Citi Trends Inc ▶ $414M – 3.3x
CURV Torrid Holdings Inc. ▲ $235M – –
ZUMZ Zumiez Inc ▶ $216M – 0.8x
VNCE Vince Holding Corp. ▶ $152M – 2.6x
DLTH Duluth Holdings Inc. ▲ $150M – 0.9x
TLYS Tilly's, Inc. ▲ $139M 70.7x 1.6x
DBGI Digital Brands Group, Inc. ▼ N/A – –
FBCD Fbc Holding, Inc. ▼ N/A – –

Where CTRN sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Retail-Apparel & Accessory Stores
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News

Citi Trends Inc (CTRN) stock news

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FAQ

Citi Trends Inc (CTRN) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Citi Trends Inc (CTRN) stock forecast?

On Oct. 13, 2026, CTRN is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Citi Trends Inc stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for CTRN is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Citi Trends Inc forecasts updated?

Citi Trends Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 13, 2026.

Which companies are Citi Trends Inc's industry peers?

8 issuers in our coverage, CTRN included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Apparel & Accessory Stores. The largest are: Torrid Holdings Inc. (CURV), Zumiez Inc (ZUMZ), Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE), Duluth Holdings Inc. (DLTH), Tilly's, Inc. (TLYS), Digital Brands Group, Inc. (DBGI).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.