Carvana Co. (CVNA) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Carvana Co. (CVNA) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Carvana Co. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Carvana Co. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $66.46B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 16 Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 16.50x is the highest of the 15 peers that report one. Its P/E Ratio of 42.38x is the highest of the 11 peers that report one.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for CVNA is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.6%, strong sell < -1.7% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-14 signals)
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How CVNA ranks among 4004 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Carvana Co. (CVNA) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | CVNA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $66.46B | 1/16 |
| P/E Ratio | 42.38x | 1/11 |
| P/B Ratio | 16.50x | 1/15 |
| Book Value/Share | $3.66 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $22.77 | – |
| FCF/Share | $0.84 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | CVNA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 52.2% | 3/13 |
| ROA | 14.4% | 2/14 |
| ROIC | 17.9% | 3/12 |
| Gross Margin | 19.4% | 7/14 |
| Operating Margin | 10.1% | 3/13 |
| Net Margin | 9.5% | 2/14 |
| EBT Margin | 10.1% | 3/17 |
| Tax Rate | -120.0% | – |
The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.
Financial Health
| Metric | CVNA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.93x | 2/15 |
| Quick Ratio | 2.33x | 2/14 |
| D/E Ratio | 2.34x | 8/17 |
| Financial Leverage | 3.61x | 8/17 |
| Interest Coverage | 3.0x | 8/13 |
| Working Capital | $5.97B | 1/15 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | CVNA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $1.12B | 4/17 |
| Free Cash Flow | $929M | 3/13 |
| Capital Spending | -$191M | 4/13 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 54.7% | 3/13 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 51.1% | 2/11 |
| FCF/Sales | 3.7% | 6/13 |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.8% | 11/13 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | CVNA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.72x | 8/15 |
| Receivables Turnover | 66.5x | 3/12 |
| Inventory Turnover | 6.2x | 7/13 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 8.8x | 6/15 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 5 days | 10/12 |
| Days Inventory | 59 days | 7/13 |
| Payables Period | 7 days | 8/11 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 57 days | 6/8 |
Income Statement
| Metric | CVNA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $25.06B | 5/14 |
| Operating Income | $2.24B | 1/14 |
| Net Income | $2.10B | 1/13 |
| SG&A Expense | $2.62B | 4/12 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $20.20B | 5/14 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | CVNA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 1100M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $8.01B | 55.0% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $2.63B | 18.1% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $377M | 2.6% of assets |
| Inventory | $3.26B | 22.4% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $9.41B | 64.7% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $1.65B | 11.3% of assets |
CVNA quarterly financials and insider trading
Carvana Co. (CVNA) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Carvana Co. (Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations): 18 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| CVNA Carvana Co. | ▲ | $66.46B |
| CPRT Copart Inc | ▶ | $24.41B |
| CASY Caseys General Stores Inc | ▲ | $23.72B |
| PAG Penske Automotive Group, Inc. | ▲ | $12.85B |
| MUSA Murphy Usa Inc. | ▶ | $9.62B |
| KMX Carmax Inc | ▲ | $7.21B |
| LAD Lithia Motors Inc | ▲ | $6.30B |
| RUSHA Rush Enterprises Inc \Tx\ | ▶ | $5.19B |
| AN Autonation, Inc. | ▲ | $5.13B |
| OPLN Openlane, Inc. | ▼ | $4.60B |
| ABG Asbury Automotive Group Inc | ▲ | $2.95B |
| GPI Group 1 Automotive Inc | ▲ | $2.76B |
| SAH Sonic Automotive Inc | ▲ | $1.93B |
| CWH Camping World Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $460M |
| VRM Vroom, Inc. | ▲ | $46M |
| CRMT Americas Carmart Inc | ▲ | $12M |
| KXIN Kaixin Holdings | ▼ | N/A |
| NXXT Nextnrg, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
Where CVNA sits on the market map
Carvana Co. (CVNA) stock news
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Carvana Co. (CVNA) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Carvana Co. (CVNA) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Carvana Co. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Carvana Co. stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for CVNA is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Carvana Co. forecasts updated?
Carvana Co. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.
Which companies are Carvana Co.'s industry peers?
18 issuers in our coverage, CVNA included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations. The largest are: Copart Inc (CPRT), Caseys General Stores Inc (CASY), Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG), Murphy Usa Inc. (MUSA), Carmax Inc (KMX), Lithia Motors Inc (LAD).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.