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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Murphy Usa Inc. (MUSA) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $9.62B mid-cap · #5 of 16 peers
Summary

Murphy Usa Inc. (MUSA) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 14, 2026, MUSA is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.

Murphy Usa Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $9.62B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 16 Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for MUSA is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, MUSA included.

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Price

MUSA price chart and AI forecast

MUSA
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How MUSA ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Murphy Usa Inc. (MUSA) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricMUSAIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $9.62B $5.16B 5/16
P/E Ratio 15.58x 13.73x 5/11
P/B Ratio 12.29x 2.21x 2/15
Dividend Yield 0.47% 1.04% 7/8
EPS $32.66 – –
Book Value/Share $42.58 – –
Revenue/Share $1168.59 – –
FCF/Share $29.46 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricMUSAIndustry medianRank
ROE 78.9% 16.3% 2/13
ROA 12.1% 5.0% 3/14
ROIC 23.1% 13.1% 1/12
Operating Margin 4.3% 4.3% 7/13
Net Margin 2.9% 2.8% 5/14
EBT Margin 3.8% 3.5% 8/17
Tax Rate 23.7% – –

Financial Health

MetricMUSAIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.92x 1.02x 12/15
Quick Ratio 0.54x 0.29x 5/14
D/E Ratio 5.50x 2.20x 4/17
Financial Leverage 6.50x 3.20x 4/17
Interest Coverage 14.7x 3.9x 1/13
Working Capital -$82M $35M 12/15

Cash Flow

MetricMUSAIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $985M $439M 5/17
Free Cash Flow $542M $354M 6/13
Capital Spending -$444M -$312M 11/13
OCF Growth YoY 18.1% -4.1% 5/13
FCF Growth YoY 48.5% -5.7% 3/11
FCF/Sales 2.5% 3.5% 8/13
CapEx/Sales 2.1% 1.2% 5/13

Operational Efficiency

MetricMUSAIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 4.22x 1.72x 1/15
Receivables Turnover 56.6x 37.5x 4/12
Fixed Assets Turnover 7.3x 7.3x 8/15
Days Sales Outstanding 6 days 10 days 9/12

Income Statement

MetricMUSAIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $21.48B $20.08B 7/14
Operating Income $921M $737M 6/14
Net Income $617M $617M 7/13
SG&A Expense $238M $2.26B 12/12

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricMUSAIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $2.47 – –
Payout Ratio 7.6% 11.2% 7/7
Shares Outstanding 18M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$1.01B19.8% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$175M3.4% of assets
Accounts Receivable$379M7.5% of assets
Inventory$417M8.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$4.30B84.6% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

MUSA quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations

Murphy Usa Inc. (MUSA) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Murphy Usa Inc. (Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations): 18 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
MUSA Murphy Usa Inc. ▶ $9.62B 15.6x 12.3x
CVNA Carvana Co. ▲ $66.46B 42.4x 16.5x
CPRT Copart Inc ▶ $24.41B 16.5x 2.7x
CASY Caseys General Stores Inc ▲ $23.72B 30.7x 5.8x
PAG Penske Automotive Group, Inc. ▲ $12.85B 13.7x 2.2x
KMX Carmax Inc ▲ $7.21B 24.7x 1.1x
LAD Lithia Motors Inc ▲ $6.30B 8.8x 1.0x
RUSHA Rush Enterprises Inc \Tx\ ▶ $5.19B – 2.2x
AN Autonation, Inc. ▲ $5.13B 6.6x 2.3x
OPLN Openlane, Inc. ▼ $4.60B – 2.9x
ABG Asbury Automotive Group Inc ▲ $2.94B 5.8x 0.8x
GPI Group 1 Automotive Inc ▲ $2.76B 9.5x 1.2x
SAH Sonic Automotive Inc ▲ $1.93B 9.1x 1.9x
CWH Camping World Holdings, Inc. ▲ $460M – 2.2x
VRM Vroom, Inc. ▲ $47M – 0.5x
CRMT Americas Carmart Inc ▲ $11M – –
KXIN Kaixin Holdings ▼ N/A – –
NXXT Nextnrg, Inc. ▼ N/A – –

Where MUSA sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations
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News

Murphy Usa Inc. (MUSA) stock news

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FAQ

Murphy Usa Inc. (MUSA) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Murphy Usa Inc. (MUSA) stock forecast?

On Oct. 14, 2026, MUSA is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Murphy Usa Inc. stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for MUSA is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Murphy Usa Inc. forecasts updated?

Murphy Usa Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Murphy Usa Inc.'s industry peers?

18 issuers in our coverage, MUSA included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations. The largest are: Carvana Co. (CVNA), Copart Inc (CPRT), Caseys General Stores Inc (CASY), Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG), Carmax Inc (KMX), Lithia Motors Inc (LAD).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.