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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-13

Dollar General Corp (DG) Stock Forecast Oct. 13, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 13, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $27.58B large-cap · #4 of 9 peers
Summary

Dollar General Corp (DG) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Dollar General Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Dollar General Corp is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $27.58B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 9 Retail-Variety Stores issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for DG is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +4.5%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +2.1%, strong sell < +0.9% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, DG included.

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Price

DG price chart and AI forecast

DG
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How DG ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Dollar General Corp (DG) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Variety Stores peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricDGIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $27.58B $21.82B 4/9
P/E Ratio 16.19x 21.16x 6/7
P/B Ratio 2.97x 4.74x 8/9
Dividend Yield 1.89% – –
EPS $7.69 – –
Book Value/Share $42.10 – –
Revenue/Share $197.80 – –
FCF/Share $8.52 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricDGIndustry medianRank
ROE 19.9% 25.8% 5/7
ROA 5.7% 7.6% 7/7
ROIC 9.8% 17.1% 9/9
Gross Margin 31.2% 29.3% 4/9
Operating Margin 5.6% 5.6% 5/9
Net Margin 4.2% 3.0% 2/7
EBT Margin 5.1% 5.1% 5/9
Tax Rate 23.7% – –

Financial Health

MetricDGIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.21x 1.13x 4/9
Quick Ratio 0.31x 0.44x 6/8
D/E Ratio 2.46x 1.52x 3/9
Financial Leverage 3.46x 2.56x 3/9
Interest Coverage 2.1x 48.2x 8/8
Working Capital $1.52B $442M 2/9

Cash Flow

MetricDGIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $3.19B $2.63B 4/9
Free Cash Flow $1.88B $1.50B 4/9
Capital Spending -$1.31B -$1.14B 6/9
OCF Growth YoY -4.7% 18.6% 9/9
FCF Growth YoY -30.0% -2.4% 9/9
FCF/Sales 4.3% 4.3% 5/9
CapEx/Sales 3.0% 3.9% 8/9

Operational Efficiency

MetricDGIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.36x 1.76x 7/9
Inventory Turnover 4.6x 7.3x 6/8
Fixed Assets Turnover 6.6x 5.2x 3/9
Days Inventory 80 days 52 days 3/8
Payables Period 53 days 44 days 2/9

Income Statement

MetricDGIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $43.64B $22.81B 4/9
Operating Income $2.44B $2.20B 4/9
Net Income $1.85B $1.85B 4/7
SG&A Expense $11.16B $8.41B 4/8
Cost of Goods Sold $30.04B $18.65B 4/9

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricDGIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $2.36 – –
Payout Ratio 30.7% – –
Shares Outstanding 221M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$8.78B27.3% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$1.59B4.9% of assets
Inventory$6.55B20.4% of assets
Total Liabilities$22.88B71.1% of assets
Short-term Debt$2.92B9.1% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

DG quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Retail-Variety Stores

Dollar General Corp (DG) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Dollar General Corp (Retail-Variety Stores): 10 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
DG Dollar General Corp ▼ $27.58B 16.2x 3.0x
WMT Walmart Inc. ▼ $890.80B 40.4x 11.5x
COST Costco Wholesale Corp /New ▶ $423.36B 45.9x 11.8x
TGT Target Corp ▶ $69.05B 15.7x 3.9x
DLTR Dollar Tree, Inc. ▼ $21.82B – 6.4x
BJ Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. ▼ $12.58B 21.2x 5.7x
FIVE Five Below, Inc ▶ $11.75B 19.0x 4.7x
PSMT Pricesmart Inc ▶ $5.30B 33.0x 3.8x
OLLI Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. ▼ $5.25B – 2.8x
MNSO Miniso Group Holding Ltd ▼ N/A – –

Where DG sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Retail-Variety Stores
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News

Dollar General Corp (DG) stock news

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FAQ

Dollar General Corp (DG) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Dollar General Corp (DG) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Dollar General Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Dollar General Corp stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for DG is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Dollar General Corp forecasts updated?

Dollar General Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 13, 2026.

Which companies are Dollar General Corp's industry peers?

10 issuers in our coverage, DG included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Variety Stores. The largest are: Walmart Inc. (WMT), Costco Wholesale Corp /New (COST), Target Corp (TGT), Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR), Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. (BJ), Five Below, Inc (FIVE).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.