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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
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30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $5.25B mid-cap · #9 of 9 peers
Summary

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $5.25B. It ranks number 9 by market capitalization among the 9 Retail-Variety Stores issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 2.77x is the lowest of the 9 peers that report one. Its Current Ratio of 2.23x is the highest of the 9 peers that report one.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for OLLI is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, OLLI included.

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Price

OLLI price chart and AI forecast

OLLI
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How OLLI ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Variety Stores peers listed below that report each metric.

Reported net income does not reconcile with earnings per share and the share count, so net-income-based ratios are withheld.

Valuation & Market

MetricOLLIIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $5.25B $21.82B 9/9
P/B Ratio 2.77x 4.74x 9/9
EPS $2.39 – –
Book Value/Share $31.91 – –
Revenue/Share $40.67 – –
FCF/Share $2.58 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricOLLIIndustry medianRank
ROIC 11.9% 17.1% 8/9
Gross Margin 35.0% 29.3% 3/9
Operating Margin 11.8% 5.6% 2/9
EBT Margin 12.6% 5.1% 2/9
Tax Rate 24.6% – –

Financial Health

MetricOLLIIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 2.23x 1.13x 1/9
Quick Ratio 0.52x 0.44x 4/8
D/E Ratio 0.60x 1.52x 9/9
Financial Leverage 1.60x 2.56x 9/9
Interest Coverage 896.5x 48.2x 1/8
Working Capital $505M $442M 4/9

Cash Flow

MetricOLLIIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $423M $2.63B 8/9
Free Cash Flow $154M $1.50B 8/9
Capital Spending -$269M -$1.14B 3/9
OCF Growth YoY 152.2% 18.6% 1/9
FCF Growth YoY -1.6% -2.4% 4/9
FCF/Sales 6.4% 4.3% 3/9
CapEx/Sales 11.1% 3.9% 1/9

Operational Efficiency

MetricOLLIIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.80x 1.76x 9/9
Receivables Turnover 309.6x 76.6x 1/5
Inventory Turnover 2.2x 7.3x 8/8
Fixed Assets Turnover 5.8x 5.2x 4/9
Days Sales Outstanding 1 days 5 days 5/5
Days Inventory 164 days 52 days 1/8
Payables Period 44 days 44 days 5/9
Cash Conversion Cycle 121 days 4 days 1/5

Income Statement

MetricOLLIIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $2.42B $22.81B 9/9
Operating Income $310M $2.20B 8/9
SG&A Expense $742M $8.41B 8/8
Cost of Goods Sold $1.57B $18.65B 9/9

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricOLLIIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 59M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$917M30.3% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$121M4.0% of assets
Accounts Receivable$8M0.3% of assets
Inventory$704M23.3% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.13B37.4% of assets
Short-term Debt$221M7.3% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

OLLI quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Retail-Variety Stores

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (Retail-Variety Stores): 10 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
OLLI Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. ▼ $5.25B – 2.8x
WMT Walmart Inc. ▶ $897.15B 40.6x 11.5x
COST Costco Wholesale Corp /New ▲ $423.36B 45.9x 11.8x
TGT Target Corp ▶ $69.05B 15.7x 3.9x
DG Dollar General Corp ▼ $27.58B 16.2x 3.0x
DLTR Dollar Tree, Inc. ▼ $21.82B – 6.4x
BJ Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. ▶ $12.58B 21.2x 5.7x
FIVE Five Below, Inc ▶ $11.75B 19.0x 4.7x
PSMT Pricesmart Inc ▶ $5.30B 33.0x 3.8x
MNSO Miniso Group Holding Ltd ▼ N/A – –

Where OLLI sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Retail-Variety Stores
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News

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) stock news

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FAQ

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for OLLI is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. forecasts updated?

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.'s industry peers?

10 issuers in our coverage, OLLI included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Variety Stores. The largest are: Walmart Inc. (WMT), Costco Wholesale Corp /New (COST), Target Corp (TGT), Dollar General Corp (DG), Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR), Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. (BJ).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.