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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Five Below, Inc (FIVE) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Total
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $11.75B large-cap · #7 of 9 peers
Summary

Five Below, Inc (FIVE) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 14, 2026, FIVE is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.

Five Below, Inc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $11.75B. It ranks number 7 by market capitalization among the 9 Retail-Variety Stores issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Gross Margin of 40.2% is the highest of the 9 peers that report one.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for FIVE is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +4.5%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +2.1%, strong sell < +0.9% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, FIVE included.

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Price

FIVE price chart and AI forecast

FIVE
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How FIVE ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Five Below, Inc (FIVE) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Variety Stores peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricFIVEIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $11.75B $21.82B 7/9
P/E Ratio 18.97x 21.16x 5/7
P/B Ratio 4.74x 4.74x 5/9
EPS $11.90 – –
Book Value/Share $44.98 – –
Revenue/Share $96.52 – –
FCF/Share $12.58 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricFIVEIndustry medianRank
ROE 33.1% 25.8% 1/7
ROA 15.6% 7.6% 1/7
ROIC 18.4% 17.1% 4/9
Gross Margin 40.2% 29.3% 1/9
Operating Margin 13.1% 5.6% 1/9
Net Margin 13.7% 3.0% 1/7
EBT Margin 13.6% 5.1% 1/9
Tax Rate 24.4% – –

Financial Health

MetricFIVEIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 2.22x 1.13x 2/9
Quick Ratio 1.29x 0.44x 1/8
D/E Ratio 1.13x 1.52x 7/9
Financial Leverage 2.13x 2.56x 7/9
Interest Coverage 654.5x 48.2x 2/8
Working Capital $1.23B $442M 3/9

Cash Flow

MetricFIVEIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $898M $2.63B 7/9
Free Cash Flow $693M $1.50B 6/9
Capital Spending -$205M -$1.14B 2/9
OCF Growth YoY 35.1% 18.6% 3/9
FCF Growth YoY -3.7% -2.4% 6/9
FCF/Sales 13.0% 4.3% 1/9
CapEx/Sales 3.9% 3.9% 5/9

Operational Efficiency

MetricFIVEIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.01x 1.76x 8/9
Inventory Turnover 3.4x 7.3x 7/8
Fixed Assets Turnover 4.2x 5.2x 7/9
Days Inventory 108 days 52 days 2/8
Payables Period 50 days 44 days 3/9

Income Statement

MetricFIVEIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $5.31B $22.81B 8/9
Operating Income $783M $2.20B 7/9
Net Income $820M $1.85B 5/7
SG&A Expense $1.16B $8.41B 7/8
Cost of Goods Sold $3.17B $18.65B 8/9

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricFIVEIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 55M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$2.24B42.3% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$561M10.6% of assets
Inventory$941M17.8% of assets
Total Liabilities$2.80B53.1% of assets
Short-term Debt$569M10.8% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

FIVE quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Retail-Variety Stores

Five Below, Inc (FIVE) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Five Below, Inc (Retail-Variety Stores): 10 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
FIVE Five Below, Inc ▶ $11.75B 19.0x 4.7x
WMT Walmart Inc. ▼ $890.80B 40.4x 11.5x
COST Costco Wholesale Corp /New ▶ $423.36B 45.9x 11.8x
TGT Target Corp ▶ $69.05B 15.7x 3.9x
DG Dollar General Corp ▼ $27.58B 16.2x 3.0x
DLTR Dollar Tree, Inc. ▼ $21.82B – 6.4x
BJ Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. ▼ $12.58B 21.2x 5.7x
PSMT Pricesmart Inc ▶ $5.30B 33.0x 3.8x
OLLI Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. ▼ $5.25B – 2.8x
MNSO Miniso Group Holding Ltd ▼ N/A – –

Where FIVE sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Retail-Variety Stores
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News

Five Below, Inc (FIVE) stock news

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FAQ

Five Below, Inc (FIVE) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Five Below, Inc (FIVE) stock forecast?

On Oct. 14, 2026, FIVE is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Five Below, Inc stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for FIVE is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Five Below, Inc forecasts updated?

Five Below, Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Five Below, Inc's industry peers?

10 issuers in our coverage, FIVE included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Variety Stores. The largest are: Walmart Inc. (WMT), Costco Wholesale Corp /New (COST), Target Corp (TGT), Dollar General Corp (DG), Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR), Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. (BJ).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.