Goldman Sachs Sticks to Their Hold Rating for Firefly Aerospace, Inc. (FLY)
Detailed price information for Firefly Aerospace Inc (FLY-Q) from The Globe and Mail including charting and trades.
Model output · Signal date 2026-10-13
Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) Stock Forecast Oct. 13, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 13, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Rating · 90D
Alpha
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
Middle 30%
of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
n/a
No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap
$3.07B
mid-cap · #4 of 7 peers
Summary
Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 13, 2026, FLY is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.
Firefly Aerospace Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.07B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 7 Guided Missiles & Space Vehicles & Parts issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for FLY is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, FLY included.
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FLY price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-13
How FLY ranks among 5379 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals
Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Guided Missiles & Space Vehicles & Parts peers listed below that report each metric.
Reported net income does not reconcile with earnings per share and the share count, so net-income-based ratios are withheld.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | FLY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $3.07B | 4/7 |
| P/B Ratio | 2.51x | 4/6 |
| EPS | $0.38 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $7.31 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $2.05 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-1.95 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | FLY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | -29.5% | 5/6 |
| Gross Margin | 19.6% | 5/7 |
| Operating Margin | -115.8% | 5/7 |
| EBT Margin | -134.3% | 5/7 |
| Tax Rate | 8.1% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | FLY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.73x | 6/8 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.34x | 4/7 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.34x | 4/7 |
| Interest Coverage | -17.2x | 5/7 |
| Working Capital | $506M | 5/8 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | FLY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$264M | 7/7 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$326M | 4/5 |
| Capital Spending | -$62M | 1/5 |
| FCF/Sales | -95.2% | 4/5 |
| CapEx/Sales | 18.1% | 3/5 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | FLY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.21x | 3/6 |
| Receivables Turnover | 5.9x | 5/6 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 1.8x | 5/6 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 62 days | 2/6 |
| Payables Period | 77 days | 2/6 |
Income Statement
| Metric | FLY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $342M | 4/6 |
| Operating Income | -$397M | 7/7 |
| R&D Expense | $293M | 2/5 |
| SG&A Expense | $172M | 3/5 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $275M | 4/7 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | FLY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 167M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $799M | 48.8% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $460M | 28.1% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $58M | 3.5% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $416M | 25.4% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $235M | 14.4% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
FLY quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Guided Missiles & Space Vehicles & Parts
Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Firefly Aerospace Inc. (Guided Missiles & Space Vehicles & Parts): 8 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| FLY Firefly Aerospace Inc. | ▶ | $3.07B |
| LMT Lockheed Martin Corp | ▲ | $116.32B |
| RKLB Rocket Lab Corp | ▶ | $39.32B |
| KTOS Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. | ▶ | $7.57B |
| VOYG Voyager Technologies, Inc./Tx | ▲ | $1.66B |
| YSS York Space Systems Inc. | ▶ | $938M |
| HLEO Helio Corp /Fl/ | ▼ | $23M |
| MNTS Momentus Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
Where FLY sits on the market map
Manufacturing · Guided Missiles & Space Vehicles & Parts
News
Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) stock news
Firefly Aerospace Appoints Rick Ambrose to Board
Detailed price information for Firefly Aerospace Inc (FLY-Q) from The Globe and Mail including charting and trades.
Firefly Aerospace
Firefly Aerospace, a Texas-based launch venture that was lifted out of bankruptcy, says it’s struck a deal with Space Florida… Read More ...
FAQ
Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) stock forecast?
On Oct. 13, 2026, FLY is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Firefly Aerospace Inc. stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for FLY is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Firefly Aerospace Inc. forecasts updated?
Firefly Aerospace Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 13, 2026.
Which companies are Firefly Aerospace Inc.'s industry peers?
8 issuers in our coverage, FLY included, share the SEC industry code Guided Missiles & Space Vehicles & Parts. The largest are: Lockheed Martin Corp (LMT), Rocket Lab Corp (RKLB), Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS), Voyager Technologies, Inc./Tx (VOYG), York Space Systems Inc. (YSS), Helio Corp /Fl/ (HLEO).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.