Graco: A Better Price, But Not Quite A Buy Yet
Graco Inc. remains a Hold, with valuation still above intrinsic value despite a 12% stock decline and improved business ...
Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14
Graco Inc (GGG) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Rating · 90D
Alpha
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
Middle 30%
of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
n/a
No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap
$12.93B
large-cap · #4 of 7 peers
Summary
Graco Inc (GGG) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 14, 2026, GGG is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.
Graco Inc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $12.93B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 7 Pumps & Pumping Equipment issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for GGG is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)
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GGG price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-13
How GGG ranks among 5379 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals
Graco Inc (GGG) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Pumps & Pumping Equipment peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | GGG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $12.93B | 4/7 |
| P/E Ratio | 24.23x | 5/6 |
| P/B Ratio | 5.12x | 2/7 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.46% | 2/6 |
| EPS | $3.19 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $15.58 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $14.00 | – |
| FCF/Share | $3.89 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | GGG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 21.1% | 1/7 |
| ROA | 17.0% | 1/7 |
| ROIC | 23.8% | 1/7 |
| Gross Margin | 52.6% | 1/6 |
| Operating Margin | 28.1% | 1/6 |
| Net Margin | 23.5% | 1/6 |
| EBT Margin | 28.8% | 1/6 |
| Tax Rate | 18.3% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | GGG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.99x | 2/7 |
| Quick Ratio | 2.14x | 2/7 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.24x | 7/7 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.24x | 7/7 |
| Interest Coverage | 222.1x | 1/7 |
| Working Capital | $915M | 4/7 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | GGG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $673M | 3/7 |
| Free Cash Flow | $629M | 3/7 |
| Capital Spending | -$44M | 3/7 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 0.2% | 6/7 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 3.5% | 5/7 |
| FCF/Sales | 27.8% | 1/6 |
| CapEx/Sales | 1.9% | 5/6 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | GGG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.72x | 3/7 |
| Receivables Turnover | 5.6x | 3/7 |
| Inventory Turnover | 2.7x | 7/7 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 3.0x | 6/7 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 65 days | 4/6 |
| Days Inventory | 134 days | 1/7 |
| Payables Period | 35 days | 5/6 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 164 days | 1/5 |
Income Statement
| Metric | GGG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $2.27B | 4/7 |
| Operating Income | $636M | 4/7 |
| Net Income | $533M | 2/7 |
| R&D Expense | $82M | – |
| SG&A Expense | $557M | 5/7 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $1.07B | 5/7 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | GGG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $1.17 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 36.7% | 3/6 |
| Shares Outstanding | 162M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $1.37B | 43.9% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $508M | 16.2% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $403M | 12.9% of assets |
| Inventory | $394M | 12.6% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $608M | 19.4% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $358M | 11.4% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
GGG quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Pumps & Pumping Equipment
Graco Inc (GGG) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Graco Inc (Pumps & Pumping Equipment): 7 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Technology · Pumps & Pumping Equipment
News
Graco Inc (GGG) stock news
Graco Inc (GGG) Q3 2024 Earnings Report Preview: What To Look For
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Graco Inc. Announces Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call
Graco Inc. (NYSE: GGG) announced today that it will release its Third Quarter 2026 earnings after the New York Stock Exchange ...
FAQ
Graco Inc (GGG) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Graco Inc (GGG) stock forecast?
On Oct. 14, 2026, GGG is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Graco Inc stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for GGG is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Graco Inc forecasts updated?
Graco Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.
Which companies are Graco Inc's industry peers?
7 issuers in our coverage, GGG included, share the SEC industry code Pumps & Pumping Equipment. The largest are: Xylem Inc. (XYL), Itt Inc. (ITT), Idex Corp /De/ (IEX), Flowserve Corp (FLS), Gorman Rupp Co (GRC), Ampco Pittsburgh Corp (AP).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.