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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-13

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) Stock Forecast Oct. 13, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 13, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $1.22B small-cap · #6 of 8 peers
Summary

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.22B. It ranks number 6 by market capitalization among the 8 Retail-Grocery Stores issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for GO is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +4.5%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +2.1%, strong sell < +0.9% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, GO included.

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Price

GO price chart and AI forecast

GO
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How GO ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Grocery Stores peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricGOIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $1.22B $1.60B 6/8
P/B Ratio 1.50x 2.91x 5/7
EPS $-4.12 – –
Book Value/Share $8.24 – –
Revenue/Share $47.86 – –
FCF/Share $0.12 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricGOIndustry medianRank
ROE -46.7% 8.5% 6/6
ROA -12.7% 4.9% 6/6
ROIC -14.4% 7.2% 9/9
Gross Margin 30.0% 27.0% 2/9
Operating Margin -7.9% 2.5% 8/8
Net Margin -8.0% 2.0% 6/6
EBT Margin -8.5% 2.5% 8/8
Tax Rate 5.1% – –

Financial Health

MetricGOIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.29x 1.12x 4/10
Quick Ratio 0.30x 0.43x 8/9
D/E Ratio 2.67x 2.28x 5/10
Financial Leverage 3.67x 2.88x 4/10
Interest Coverage -7.2x 7.7x 8/9
Working Capital $116M $22M 3/10

Cash Flow

MetricGOIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $185M $241M 6/9
Free Cash Flow $12M $102M 8/8
Capital Spending -$173M -$188M 4/8
OCF Growth YoY -5.0% -5.0% 5/9
FCF/Sales 0.3% 1.5% 8/8
CapEx/Sales 3.6% 3.2% 2/8

Operational Efficiency

MetricGOIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.58x 2.20x 8/8
Receivables Turnover 399.7x 80.7x 1/7
Inventory Turnover 8.4x 12.6x 7/7
Fixed Assets Turnover 6.1x 6.3x 5/8
Days Sales Outstanding 1 days 5 days 7/7
Days Inventory 43 days 29 days 1/7

Income Statement

MetricGOIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $4.74B $5.24B 6/8
Operating Income -$374M $123M 9/9
Net Income -$381M $74M 6/6
SG&A Expense $1.35B – –
Cost of Goods Sold $3.32B $4.09B 5/7

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricGOIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 99M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$515M17.2% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$74M2.5% of assets
Accounts Receivable$12M0.4% of assets
Inventory$395M13.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$2.18B72.7% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

GO quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Retail-Grocery Stores

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (Retail-Grocery Stores): 11 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
GO Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. ▲ $1.22B – 1.5x
KR Kroger Co ▼ $37.21B 34.3x 5.4x
ACI Albertsons Companies, Inc. ▶ $6.18B 94.0x 3.4x
SFM Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. ▼ $5.93B 11.8x 4.0x
WMK Weis Markets Inc ▶ $1.83B 18.8x 1.3x
YSWY Yesway, Inc. ▶ $1.37B – –
NGVC Natural Grocers By Vitamin Cottage, Inc. ▼ $697M – 2.9x
MSS Maison Solutions Inc. ▲ $950K – 0.1x
ASAIY Sendas Distributor S.A. ▶ N/A – –
IMKTA Ingles Markets Inc ▶ N/A – –
VLGEA Village Super Market Inc ▶ N/A – –

Where GO sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Retail-Grocery Stores
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News

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) stock news

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FAQ

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for GO is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. forecasts updated?

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 13, 2026.

Which companies are Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.'s industry peers?

11 issuers in our coverage, GO included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Grocery Stores. The largest are: Kroger Co (KR), Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI), Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM), Weis Markets Inc (WMK), Yesway, Inc. (YSWY), Natural Grocers By Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.