Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
On Oct. 14, 2026, NGVC is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.
Natural Grocers By Vitamin Cottage, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $697M. It ranks number 7 by market capitalization among the 8 Retail-Grocery Stores issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for NGVC is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, NGVC included.
Follow NGVC free90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Grocery Stores peers listed below that report each metric.
| Metric | NGVC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $697M | 7/8 |
| P/B Ratio | 2.91x | 4/7 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.88% | – |
| EPS | $3.05 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $10.39 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $58.31 | – |
| FCF/Share | $0.99 | – |
| Metric | NGVC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 19.9% | 2/6 |
| ROA | 6.9% | 2/6 |
| ROIC | 11.9% | 2/9 |
| Gross Margin | 29.6% | 3/9 |
| Operating Margin | 4.7% | 2/8 |
| Net Margin | 3.5% | 2/6 |
| EBT Margin | 4.5% | 2/8 |
| Tax Rate | 21.3% | – |
| Metric | NGVC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.10x | 6/10 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.87x | 7/10 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.87x | 6/10 |
| Interest Coverage | 22.6x | 3/9 |
| Working Capital | $16M | 6/10 |
| Metric | NGVC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $71M | 8/9 |
| Free Cash Flow | $23M | 7/8 |
| Capital Spending | -$48M | 1/8 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 10.2% | 4/9 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -34.2% | 5/6 |
| FCF/Sales | 1.7% | 4/8 |
| CapEx/Sales | 3.6% | 3/8 |
| Metric | NGVC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.95x | 7/8 |
| Receivables Turnover | 126.6x | 3/7 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 6.5x | 4/8 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 3 days | 5/7 |
| Metric | NGVC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $1.34B | 8/8 |
| Operating Income | $63M | 7/9 |
| Net Income | $47M | 5/6 |
| Metric | NGVC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $0.57 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 18.7% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 23M | – |
| Total Current Assets | $174M | 25.3% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $17M | 2.5% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $11M | 1.5% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $448M | 65.2% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $69M | 10.0% of assets |
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Natural Grocers By Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (Retail-Grocery Stores): 11 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| NGVC Natural Grocers By Vitamin Cottage, Inc. | ▶ | $697M |
| KR Kroger Co | ▲ | $37.21B |
| ACI Albertsons Companies, Inc. | ▲ | $6.18B |
| SFM Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. | ▶ | $5.93B |
| WMK Weis Markets Inc | ▲ | $1.81B |
| YSWY Yesway, Inc. | ▶ | $1.34B |
| GO Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. | ▲ | $1.22B |
| MSS Maison Solutions Inc. | ▲ | $950K |
| ASAIY Sendas Distributor S.A. | ▶ | N/A |
| IMKTA Ingles Markets Inc | ▲ | N/A |
| VLGEA Village Super Market Inc | ▲ | N/A |
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Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NYSE: NGVC) is an expanding specialty retailer of natural and organic groceries, body care products and dietary supplements. The grocery products sold by ...
Good day, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the Natural Grocers Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, today's call is being recorded. I'd ...
On Oct. 14, 2026, NGVC is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for NGVC is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Natural Grocers By Vitamin Cottage, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.
11 issuers in our coverage, NGVC included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Grocery Stores. The largest are: Kroger Co (KR), Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI), Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM), Weis Markets Inc (WMK), Yesway, Inc. (YSWY), Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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