Home Depot, Inc. (HD) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Home Depot, Inc. (HD) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 14, 2026, HD is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.
Home Depot, Inc. is a mega-cap company with a market capitalization of $293.24B.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for HD is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)
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How HD ranks among 5379 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Home Depot, Inc. (HD) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Lumber & Other Building Materials Dealers peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | HD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $293.24B | – |
| P/E Ratio | 20.61x | – |
| P/B Ratio | 17.65x | – |
| Dividend Yield | 3.14% | – |
| EPS | $14.29 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $16.66 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $169.57 | – |
| FCF/Share | $16.84 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | HD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 79.4% | – |
| ROA | 12.1% | – |
| ROIC | 28.3% | – |
| Gross Margin | 33.2% | – |
| Operating Margin | 12.7% | – |
| Net Margin | 8.0% | – |
| EBT Margin | 11.3% | – |
| Tax Rate | 24.1% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | HD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.08x | – |
| Quick Ratio | 0.31x | – |
| D/E Ratio | 5.58x | – |
| Financial Leverage | 6.58x | – |
| Interest Coverage | 12.9x | – |
| Working Capital | $2.73B | – |
Cash Flow
| Metric | HD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $20.49B | – |
| Free Cash Flow | $16.81B | – |
| Capital Spending | -$3.68B | – |
| OCF Growth YoY | 22.7% | – |
| FCF Growth YoY | 55.4% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 9.9% | – |
| CapEx/Sales | 2.2% | – |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | HD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.55x | – |
| Receivables Turnover | 24.3x | – |
| Inventory Turnover | 4.2x | – |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 6.7x | – |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 15 days | – |
| Days Inventory | 87 days | – |
| Payables Period | 44 days | – |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 58 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | HD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $169.18B | – |
| Operating Income | $21.02B | – |
| Net Income | $13.20B | – |
| SG&A Expense | $31.79B | – |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $113.00B | – |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | HD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $9.24 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 64.7% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 998M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $37.72B | 34.5% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $2.08B | 1.9% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $6.96B | 6.4% of assets |
| Inventory | $26.85B | 24.5% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $92.77B | 84.8% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $21.40B | 19.6% of assets |
HD quarterly financials and insider trading
Home Depot, Inc. (HD) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Home Depot, Inc. (Retail-Lumber & Other Building Materials Dealers): 4 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Home Depot, Inc. (HD) stock news
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Home Depot, Inc. (HD) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Home Depot, Inc. (HD) stock forecast?
On Oct. 14, 2026, HD is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Home Depot, Inc. stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for HD is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Home Depot, Inc. forecasts updated?
Home Depot, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.
Which companies are Home Depot, Inc.'s industry peers?
4 issuers in our coverage, HD included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Lumber & Other Building Materials Dealers. The largest are: Builders Firstsource, Inc. (BLDR), Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. (FND), Jewett Cameron Trading Co Ltd (JCTC).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.