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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Heartland Express Inc (HTLD) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
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30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 4004 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $840M small-cap · #10 of 13 peers
Summary

Heartland Express Inc (HTLD) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Heartland Express Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Heartland Express Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $840M. It ranks number 10 by market capitalization among the 13 Trucking (No Local) issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for HTLD is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.2%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.6%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-14 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, HTLD included.

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Price

HTLD price chart and AI forecast

HTLD
Cross-section · 2026-10-14

How HTLD ranks among 4004 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Heartland Express Inc (HTLD) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Trucking (No Local) peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricHTLDIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $840M $2.91B 10/13
P/B Ratio 1.11x 1.79x 12/13
Dividend Yield 0.73% 1.12% 9/11
EPS $-0.39 – –
Book Value/Share $9.78 – –
Revenue/Share $9.52 – –
FCF/Share $-1.11 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricHTLDIndustry medianRank
ROE -2.9% 1.0% 10/13
ROA -1.9% 0.5% 11/13
ROIC -1.6% 1.7% 11/13
Operating Margin -2.3% 1.9% 11/13
Net Margin -3.0% 0.5% 11/13
EBT Margin -3.4% 0.7% 11/13
Tax Rate 13.3% – –

Financial Health

MetricHTLDIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.58x 1.45x 5/13
D/E Ratio 0.55x 0.86x 10/13
Financial Leverage 1.55x 1.86x 10/13
Interest Coverage 8.8x 7.4x 6/12
Working Capital $69M $143M 8/13

Cash Flow

MetricHTLDIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $78M $274M 12/13
Free Cash Flow -$86M $186M 11/11
Capital Spending -$164M -$164M 6/11
OCF Growth YoY -34.7% -3.2% 12/13
FCF/Sales -11.7% 4.4% 11/11
CapEx/Sales 22.3% 6.8% 1/11

Operational Efficiency

MetricHTLDIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.63x 0.98x 12/13
Receivables Turnover 9.6x 8.4x 2/13
Fixed Assets Turnover 1.3x 1.8x 9/13
Days Sales Outstanding 38 days 44 days 12/13

Income Statement

MetricHTLDIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $736M $3.39B 12/13
Operating Income -$16M $29M 10/13
Net Income -$21M $12M 10/13

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricHTLDIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.08 – –
Shares Outstanding 77M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$186M15.8% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$62M5.3% of assets
Accounts Receivable$77M6.5% of assets
Total Liabilities$419M35.6% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

HTLD quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Trucking (No Local)

Heartland Express Inc (HTLD) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Heartland Express Inc (Trucking (No Local)): 13 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
HTLD Heartland Express Inc ▲ $840M – 1.1x
ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. ▶ $37.98B 34.9x 8.4x
JBHT Hunt J B Transport Services Inc ▲ $21.51B 31.9x 5.9x
KNX Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. ▲ $10.24B 318.5x 1.5x
SAIA Saia Inc ▶ $8.93B 32.1x 3.3x
LSTR Landstar System Inc ▲ $5.67B 46.4x 7.2x
SNDR Schneider National, Inc. ▶ $5.47B 49.0x 1.8x
ARCB Arcbest Corp /Tx/ ▲ $2.91B 178.8x 2.3x
WERN Werner Enterprises Inc ▶ $1.93B – 1.4x
MRTN Marten Transport Ltd ▲ $1.03B 81.5x 1.4x
CVLG Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. ▲ $798M – 1.9x
ULH Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc. ▲ $459M – 0.8x
PAMT Pamt Corp ▲ $248M – 1.2x

Where HTLD sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Trucking (No Local)
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News

Heartland Express Inc (HTLD) stock news

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FAQ

Heartland Express Inc (HTLD) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Heartland Express Inc (HTLD) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Heartland Express Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Heartland Express Inc stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for HTLD is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Heartland Express Inc forecasts updated?

Heartland Express Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Heartland Express Inc's industry peers?

13 issuers in our coverage, HTLD included, share the SEC industry code Trucking (No Local). The largest are: Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL), Hunt J B Transport Services Inc (JBHT), Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (KNX), Saia Inc (SAIA), Landstar System Inc (LSTR), Schneider National, Inc. (SNDR).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.