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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $88.62B large-cap · #1 of 13 peers
Summary

Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Lumentum Holdings Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Lumentum Holdings Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $88.62B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 13 Communications Equipment, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 19.08x is the highest of the 11 peers that report one. Its Net Margin of -230.1% is the lowest of the 12 peers that report one.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for LITE is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +4.5%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +2.1%, strong sell < +0.9% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, LITE included.

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Price

LITE price chart and AI forecast

LITE
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How LITE ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Communications Equipment, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricLITEIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $88.62B $69M 1/13
P/B Ratio 19.08x 1.46x 1/11
EPS $-92.96 – –
Book Value/Share $51.77 – –
Revenue/Share $33.60 – –
FCF/Share $3.35 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricLITEIndustry medianRank
ROE -149.3% -10.5% 9/10
ROA -94.9% -13.0% 11/12
ROIC 10.9% 2.7% 3/13
Gross Margin 44.2% 47.9% 8/13
Operating Margin 17.4% -4.2% 3/13
Net Margin -230.1% -17.9% 12/12
EBT Margin 17.4% -4.1% 4/14
Tax Rate -45.3% – –

Financial Health

MetricLITEIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.68x 1.76x 8/14
Quick Ratio 1.40x 1.30x 6/13
D/E Ratio 0.57x 0.73x 8/12
Financial Leverage 1.57x 1.73x 8/12
Interest Coverage 96.3x 0.2x 3/14
Working Capital $1.68B $11M 1/14

Cash Flow

MetricLITEIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $751M -$20K 1/15
Free Cash Flow $300M $16M 1/9
Capital Spending -$451M -$2M 9/9
OCF Growth YoY 494.9% 19.6% 1/6
FCF/Sales 10.0% 3.5% 4/9
CapEx/Sales 15.0% 3.0% 1/9

Operational Efficiency

MetricLITEIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.41x 0.49x 8/12
Inventory Turnover 2.4x 2.9x 9/13
Fixed Assets Turnover 2.6x 11.0x 10/10
Days Inventory 150 days 125 days 5/13
Payables Period 123 days 84 days 3/10

Income Statement

MetricLITEIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $3.01B $110M 1/12
Operating Income $524M -$2M 1/14
Net Income -$6.93B -$8M 13/13
R&D Expense $356M $13M 1/13
SG&A Expense $363M $32M 1/13
Cost of Goods Sold $1.68B $22M 1/14

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricLITEIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 90M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$4.16B57.0% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$2.04B28.0% of assets
Inventory$692M9.5% of assets
Total Liabilities$2.66B36.5% of assets
Short-term Debt$1.91B26.2% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

LITE quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Communications Equipment, NEC

Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Lumentum Holdings Inc. (Communications Equipment, NEC): 15 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
LITE Lumentum Holdings Inc. ▲ $88.62B – 19.1x
ESE Esco Technologies Inc ▼ $6.75B 21.4x 4.2x
NSSC Napco Security Technologies, Inc ▲ $1.29B 30.1x 6.8x
AIOT Powerfleet, Inc. ▲ $365M – 0.8x
RSKIA George Risk Industries, Inc. ▶ $97M – 1.5x
AMPG Amplitech Group, Inc. ▲ $80M – 1.7x
INSG Inseego Corp. ▲ $69M – –
REKR Rekor Systems, Inc. ▲ $50M – 1.5x
TRCK Track Group, Inc. ▼ $21M – 1.3x
KSCP Knightscope, Inc. ▲ $14M – 0.5x
MTEK Maris Tech Ltd. ▲ $5M – 1.3x
IWAL Iwallet Corp ▼ $2M – –
ASNS Actelis Networks Inc ▶ $1M – 0.2x
TBCH Turtle Beach Corp ▲ N/A – –
VISL Vislink Technologies, Inc. ▶ N/A – –

Where LITE sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Communications Equipment, NEC
Explore the map →
News

Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) stock news

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FAQ

Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Lumentum Holdings Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Lumentum Holdings Inc. stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for LITE is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Lumentum Holdings Inc. forecasts updated?

Lumentum Holdings Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Lumentum Holdings Inc.'s industry peers?

15 issuers in our coverage, LITE included, share the SEC industry code Communications Equipment, NEC. The largest are: Esco Technologies Inc (ESE), Napco Security Technologies, Inc (NSSC), Powerfleet, Inc. (AIOT), George Risk Industries, Inc. (RSKIA), Amplitech Group, Inc. (AMPG), Inseego Corp. (INSG).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.