Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 14, 2026, LITE is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.
Lumentum Holdings Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $88.62B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 13 Communications Equipment, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 19.08x is the highest of the 11 peers that report one. Its Net Margin of -230.1% is the lowest of the 12 peers that report one.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for LITE is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)
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How LITE ranks among 5379 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Communications Equipment, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | LITE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $88.62B | 1/13 |
| P/B Ratio | 19.08x | 1/11 |
| EPS | $-92.96 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $51.77 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $33.60 | – |
| FCF/Share | $3.35 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | LITE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -149.3% | 9/10 |
| ROA | -94.9% | 11/12 |
| ROIC | 10.9% | 3/13 |
| Gross Margin | 44.2% | 8/13 |
| Operating Margin | 17.4% | 3/13 |
| Net Margin | -230.1% | 12/12 |
| EBT Margin | 17.4% | 4/14 |
| Tax Rate | -45.3% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | LITE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.68x | 8/14 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.40x | 6/13 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.57x | 8/12 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.57x | 8/12 |
| Interest Coverage | 96.3x | 3/14 |
| Working Capital | $1.68B | 1/14 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | LITE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $751M | 1/15 |
| Free Cash Flow | $300M | 1/9 |
| Capital Spending | -$451M | 9/9 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 494.9% | 1/6 |
| FCF/Sales | 10.0% | 4/9 |
| CapEx/Sales | 15.0% | 1/9 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | LITE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.41x | 8/12 |
| Inventory Turnover | 2.4x | 9/13 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 2.6x | 10/10 |
| Days Inventory | 150 days | 5/13 |
| Payables Period | 123 days | 3/10 |
Income Statement
| Metric | LITE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $3.01B | 1/12 |
| Operating Income | $524M | 1/14 |
| Net Income | -$6.93B | 13/13 |
| R&D Expense | $356M | 1/13 |
| SG&A Expense | $363M | 1/13 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $1.68B | 1/14 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | LITE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 90M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $4.16B | 57.0% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $2.04B | 28.0% of assets |
| Inventory | $692M | 9.5% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $2.66B | 36.5% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $1.91B | 26.2% of assets |
LITE quarterly financials and insider trading
Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Lumentum Holdings Inc. (Communications Equipment, NEC): 15 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| LITE Lumentum Holdings Inc. | ▶ | $88.62B |
| ESE Esco Technologies Inc | ▼ | $6.75B |
| NSSC Napco Security Technologies, Inc | ▲ | $1.29B |
| AIOT Powerfleet, Inc. | ▼ | $365M |
| RSKIA George Risk Industries, Inc. | ▲ | $97M |
| AMPG Amplitech Group, Inc. | ▲ | $80M |
| INSG Inseego Corp. | ▲ | $69M |
| REKR Rekor Systems, Inc. | ▼ | $50M |
| TRCK Track Group, Inc. | ▶ | $21M |
| KSCP Knightscope, Inc. | ▲ | $14M |
| MTEK Maris Tech Ltd. | ▲ | $5M |
| IWAL Iwallet Corp | ▼ | $2M |
| ASNS Actelis Networks Inc | ▼ | $1M |
| TBCH Turtle Beach Corp | ▲ | N/A |
| VISL Vislink Technologies, Inc. | ▲ | N/A |
Where LITE sits on the market map
Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) stock news
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Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) stock forecast?
On Oct. 14, 2026, LITE is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Lumentum Holdings Inc. stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for LITE is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Lumentum Holdings Inc. forecasts updated?
Lumentum Holdings Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.
Which companies are Lumentum Holdings Inc.'s industry peers?
15 issuers in our coverage, LITE included, share the SEC industry code Communications Equipment, NEC. The largest are: Esco Technologies Inc (ESE), Napco Security Technologies, Inc (NSSC), Powerfleet, Inc. (AIOT), George Risk Industries, Inc. (RSKIA), Amplitech Group, Inc. (AMPG), Inseego Corp. (INSG).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.